A Long Drag on a Mango Juul Pod (w/ Lauren Etter)
Newcomer PodJune 29, 202200:53:3773.65 MB

A Long Drag on a Mango Juul Pod (w/ Lauren Etter)

I got back from Collision, the 35,000-person tech conference in Toronto, Sunday night. Everyone is worried about falling valuations — but the tech world keeps on spinning.

Listen to this week’s episode of Dead Cat, Tom Dotan, Katie Benner, and I catch up, talk about my conference-going experience, and argue about what tech executive we’d most like to see as president. (Katie picks Tim Cook but I’m going with Jeff Bezos.)

Then, Tom and I talk with Bloomberg reporter Lauren Etter. She’s the author of The Devil’s Playbook. We discuss the FDA’s surprise decision to ban Juul starting at around 32:30.

Etter wrote for Bloomberg Businessweek:

In 2019 almost 30% of high school students reported using e-cigarettes, mostly Juul. Former FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb warned that e-cigarette use had become an “almost ubiquitous—and dangerous—trend among teens.” Since then, the portion of high school students vaping has dropped to 11%, and the most popular product is a newer entrant, Puff Bar, not Juul.

Yet it apparently wasn’t the company’s appeal to young people that led the agency to pull Juul off the market. A 2016 rule gave the FDA the authority to grant or deny “marketing orders” to e-cigarettes and other alternative tobacco products based on whether they met the standard of being “appropriate for the protection of the public health.” The agency found that Juul didn’t meet that standard because the company failed to provide sufficient evidence “to assess the potential toxicological risks of using the JUUL products”—even though Juul spent more than $150 million and hired an army of scientists to make its case.

On Friday, a federal court stayed the FDA’s ban to give Juul time to appeal.

Give it a listen.

Read the automated transcript.



Get full access to Newcomer at www.newcomer.co/subscribe

00:00:00
Okay, I'm going to do my new low-voiced intro, so that your

00:00:03
lower, you have a lower voice, Eric said that, my voice is too

00:00:06
high on the internet. Pitches up.

00:00:08
When he does the intros I pitches a I speak in Millennial

00:00:11
up talk so that people can feel comfortable immediately and then

00:00:15
I hit him with my podcast. Hey everybody.

00:00:29
Welcome Welcome to dead cat. Tom here.

00:00:31
Got the Full House Eric and Katie and very exciting episode

00:00:36
for you guys. It's a two-parter.

00:00:37
We haven't done one of those in a while.

00:00:39
But first off, Eric is going to fill us all in on his time.

00:00:42
At Collision, the u.s. branch of the web Summit conference and

00:00:47
his takes on the state of venture capital investing.

00:00:51
And I don't know, whatever fun panels that he contributed to,

00:00:55
and then we've got an interview that Eric and I did a couple

00:00:58
days earlier with Lord eddard, a Bloomberg journalist who wrote a

00:01:02
book about Jewel, which is a tech company.

00:01:05
We decided through the course of that interview and it is a text

00:01:08
story. You were skeptical.

00:01:09
I'm like if their nose becomes a text Story.

00:01:12
I mean do you want? You won the Overture back.

00:01:14
Yes, art up. And we get into it and yeah, you

00:01:17
won me over was like yeah, it's Hardware.

00:01:19
Its Hardware, I got it now. But anyway, so we talked we

00:01:22
talked to Lauren in the wake of jewels the decision by the FDA

00:01:26
to yank Jewel of the shells which now apparently has been

00:01:29
stayed. And and so when we recorded that

00:01:31
interview Jewel, I believe was not like it had just been struck

00:01:36
down by the FDA but since then there's been an injunction so

00:01:39
keep that in mind as you listen to her interview.

00:01:41
So is that fair that's a good update on where things are with

00:01:43
Jewel and the FDA? Yeah, I'm glad we get a moment

00:01:46
of just the three of us hanging out.

00:01:49
I feel like we always have guests on and then and there's

00:01:51
someone choose if they have their own opinions.

00:01:53
I know who Jerry, I love the Gary as guests talking about.

00:02:00
Artificial intelligence. What I hear?

00:02:02
He was a man after my own heart and that he had a lot of takes

00:02:06
that he wanted to make sure he distributed to the world.

00:02:09
He was like, this is a random sidebar that I want to miss my

00:02:13
show down random sidebars and I want to unload on people games.

00:02:17
Like, I'm going to serve up a couple takes on.

00:02:20
Stoughton, exactly everything. I'm too lazy to write up for a

00:02:26
newsletter. I intend to get on the air here

00:02:29
so at least I'm like On the record somewhere, but this is

00:02:32
all our gas. This is really muddy it up.

00:02:33
This is the alternative to Twitter.

00:02:35
This is what I always tell myself, it's like I had this

00:02:37
take, there is no upside for me, tweeting it out, but if I can do

00:02:40
it here, maybe no one will cancel known right out of you

00:02:44
and there's no Barrel mechanisms, right?

00:02:49
So few people get cancelled for podcast episodes in comparison

00:02:52
to tweets. That's, that's not how there's

00:02:53
time yet. Yeah, Eric give us the rundown

00:02:56
on collision. Why don't you even explain what

00:02:58
Collision is? I don't know if I did the best

00:02:59
job. What is this conference in

00:03:01
Toronto? This case?

00:03:03
Okay. So not only is this a conference

00:03:04
in Toronto it was once a conference in Spain.

00:03:06
In the year of Our Lord 2016 isn't that when you were you at

00:03:10
Collision then? Yeah.

00:03:11
Listen is this like huge huge. Huge Tech conference.

00:03:15
It is so huge. That you actually feel like you

00:03:18
are in a cattle call. It doesn't make any sense.

00:03:21
You'd I don't hate it. So much Eric's going to give us

00:03:23
a real definition but I just know that a collision in 2016.

00:03:26
Tom was there then thank you, commissioner web.

00:03:29
Some it was Of summit. It's owned by the same company.

00:03:32
Yeah. They're the same web Summits.

00:03:34
The huge one in Lisbon, which is 100 people.

00:03:37
Collisions big is 35, so it is a smaller one, a 35.

00:03:41
They're both organized by ADI Cosgrave.

00:03:43
It's a bunch of Irish people. You know, if you hear anybody

00:03:45
with an Irish accent, you're like, are you you're in church?

00:03:48
Are this? Yeah, that's analogous.

00:03:50
Irish were in charge of collisions in Toronto, web,

00:03:53
Summits and Lisbon. I think both cities pay them a

00:03:55
bunch of money. I think Lisbon pays them like 11

00:03:58
million dollars a year or something.

00:04:00
I'm not saying it almost insane government handout I've ever

00:04:03
seen in my life. We had regular dinners and like

00:04:05
16th century castles. Yeah, I moderated two panels on

00:04:10
sort of the Venture Capital Stage, which is smaller more

00:04:13
intimate about sort of the, you know, Venture World crumbling

00:04:18
and one with hey, mate, General Catalyst, who had profiled then

00:04:22
I did a main stage interview which is huge, similar similar.

00:04:27
Sort of is the bubble bursting themes.

00:04:30
My main take honestly, is that they're the conference?

00:04:33
I loved it. The conference is really good at

00:04:37
giving the elites I totally different conference that

00:04:39
everybody else. Like, if you're a speaker, you

00:04:42
get a badge that allows you into the forum where, you know, only

00:04:47
the speaker's go and they serve you lunch and dinner and

00:04:50
breakfast, and there's coffee. And you can like, never have to

00:04:54
go in with the riffraff. There's a similar one for media.

00:04:57
That's like much worse. So I just Out in the Forum all

00:05:01
day and then yeah, they invite speakers to drinks it.

00:05:05
So I feel bad almost even admitting it but it is a very

00:05:08
like, I mean you can see the logic to it which is you get the

00:05:13
speakers to go because they're going to have this sort of more

00:05:16
intimate conference experience and then you get everyone else

00:05:20
to go because they're going to be able to hear from the

00:05:22
speakers that they want to. So there there is a certain

00:05:25
logic but it is sort of yeah. My experience was Great.

00:05:30
Because it was sort of the rarefied version of the calm.

00:05:34
You think it's the rarefied, I'm sure there's a version of it,

00:05:36
that's even a higher level above you that you're not invited to.

00:05:39
Well, you said, I don't the real cute.

00:05:41
This is like, see what is it? CES and Vegas is so similar,

00:05:45
right? You have this huge conference

00:05:47
with far, too many people coming together to basically, look at

00:05:51
an exhibition Hall, and go here speakers.

00:05:54
And then there is the presenters area their experience.

00:05:57
And then there are the people who go to CES and never pretend

00:06:00
anything that's private dinner, right?

00:06:02
They go to Rupert Murdoch. Sweet, exactly.

00:06:05
Yeah. Well there, yeah, they have an

00:06:06
event afterwards called Founders, which is sort of a

00:06:09
small scale. I think I could have gotten into

00:06:12
that. I I've been to Founders.

00:06:14
We will do an episode about Founders and which I will bring

00:06:16
other people that read founders with me 16, because it's a real,

00:06:19
it's a real experience, it's crazy, but I did.

00:06:22
I got to go to a dinner. The beauty of being a one-man

00:06:26
show is that I like that the top person in my, my media

00:06:29
organization. So yeah, he's at a dinner with

00:06:32
the what the I guess, editor-in-chief of the

00:06:34
Washington Post, like president of ABC News executive producer

00:06:38
of 60 Minutes, Sean Kelly from Puck Peter Kafka was there.

00:06:43
So that was a cool sort of media.

00:06:46
Who's, who experienced the editor of refinery29 was sitting

00:06:51
across from me. It's immediate, I'm so curious.

00:06:53
So, The obviously venture-backed media is struggling, so,

00:06:59
bizarre, conversation about that, where people talking about

00:07:01
was going on with Bice, I mean, refinery29 had its own issues,

00:07:05
what's their part of speed? Exactly.

00:07:08
What's going on at BuzzFeed and they sort of disaster that that

00:07:13
became or did the dinner completely?

00:07:15
Do you guys just ignore ignore this all together and have fun?

00:07:18
No, I'm over talking about media.

00:07:19
Was it off the Record? Can you what did who by the way

00:07:22
is the editor-in-chief of the Washington Post.

00:07:24
Isn't it Sally Busby I was just like Sally Busby.

00:07:27
Yeah I wasn't seated near her. She was definitely.

00:07:30
I mean a lot a lot of questions for Busby I did hear someone.

00:07:32
I don't know if it was off the Record or not, so I'm gonna be

00:07:35
someone definitely did. There's like I'm, you know,

00:07:37
you've really handled this like Twitter thing, very well, you

00:07:41
know, just like someone's like, yeah, I'm sure like she doesn't

00:07:44
want to, even be brought up, but like this Twitter thing, being

00:07:48
the insane implosion that happened around two reporters.

00:07:53
It's everything you Imagine with like top people will sort of

00:07:56
back slapping each other where they probably have only like

00:07:58
consume like a tenth of what's go, you know.

00:08:00
They just like it's like God there's there's definitely some

00:08:04
of it where it feels like I don't know.

00:08:07
Senior people and media are. I didn't talk to her at all so

00:08:10
I'm not talking about her but they're not.

00:08:13
As in the weeds, the senior people in media necessarily is

00:08:16
all the reporters and you can get sort of feel the make much,

00:08:20
much, much more money than a reporter for doing more work.

00:08:25
If someone is complimenting Busby, I can say, that's gonna

00:08:28
work. There was, someone is

00:08:29
complimenting Busby for handling the Twitter thing.

00:08:32
Well, that's kind of the point of the dinner where I maybe I

00:08:34
get up and get these Twitter. Things is to handle them.

00:08:39
Well, is literally to try to pretend they didn't happen

00:08:41
because so I talked to somebody who is thinking about should I

00:08:44
go, you know, I want to go to Washington Post, or should I go

00:08:48
to the New York Times, the post's just had this issue and I

00:08:50
said, what do you remember? This thing that happened at the

00:08:54
New York Times that eventuated in the firing of the head of our

00:08:58
op-ed section. He literally couldn't remember,

00:08:59
it happened two years ago. So I think these things go James

00:09:03
Bennett and are forgotten, right?

00:09:05
As quickly as they like explodes, only the sickest

00:09:08
external is the remember that fire, right, right?

00:09:11
Yeah, that is not. So the funny thing about asking

00:09:14
you this question, Eric is like what everyone would want to say,

00:09:16
coming out of a conference was like, what was the temperature?

00:09:19
What was the sense of it? But either you weren't really in

00:09:21
like the, you know the riffraff you were just The elites, which

00:09:25
I may be gives you like the high level understanding what's going

00:09:28
on the mood. I mean, all the panels were

00:09:30
like, is the world ending but then the, you know, the

00:09:33
panelists themselves backstage, you know, want to like, have you

00:09:35
ever? No, stay stay upbeat so I think.

00:09:39
Yeah, I definitely sort of the market turning.

00:09:42
I mean, ever, that's everybody. Everybody's talking about that

00:09:46
and crypto taking a nosedive. I mean, that was definitely a

00:09:48
big Conversation Piece, you know, Wesley Chan was there, he

00:09:52
just started a new fun. So I mean even though the

00:09:55
world's ending people are clearly willing to like start

00:09:58
start new things. I mean, know those things

00:10:00
probably took a long time to get going.

00:10:02
It takes a long time for the world to end.

00:10:03
I think that's what people forget.

00:10:05
You know. Like even if you agree that

00:10:06
we're on like an inexorable March towards some sort of

00:10:09
dissolution, it's not going to happen overnight.

00:10:12
You know these things right funds will still be raised.

00:10:14
Its capital will be deployed Ryan Peterson and Flex for.

00:10:17
It was definitely the best speaker.

00:10:20
I mean he's just good at being history story in that he was

00:10:23
doing. So some of it it's like okay

00:10:25
I've heard this so many times now but he is good at he's like

00:10:29
oh we think we're going to do five billion in Revenue, you

00:10:31
know, he's just he drops in very specific stuff.

00:10:34
He was also really Self-flagellating when it came

00:10:38
to hiring Dave, Clark, from Amazon, you know, he's like,

00:10:41
Ryan's just like, you know, I was looking at everything, I

00:10:44
know how to do and everything he knows how to do, and he's better

00:10:47
me than all of it. So I was like, oh, I guess you

00:10:49
should be CEO with that but then he couldn't help using the

00:10:52
euphemism of. I'm stepping up to be executive

00:10:56
chairman. You know, like people love to

00:10:57
get promoted out of the CEO job but overall he was very good.

00:11:03
I think you re spoke I was promoted out of the top jaw.

00:11:06
Job. I was that's good.

00:11:09
Anyway, Ryan is great that we should have him on the show.

00:11:12
I feel like there's always it's Logistics lot going on there.

00:11:17
I feel like you're kind of at the Nexus of a low points in the

00:11:20
international capitalistic Market.

00:11:22
I just find it. So shocking that people still

00:11:24
want to go to things like Collision like this.

00:11:26
Pandemic was forced to make some of the worst things go away and

00:11:29
conferences are like back by the fact that Davos just happened.

00:11:33
I have always hated conferences. So this is my bias but I did

00:11:38
think to myself. Maybe people want to do

00:11:40
something else with their time. I was wrong.

00:11:44
I was so wrong. Conferences are back.

00:11:46
It's efficient way to see a lot of people that you would like to

00:11:49
talk to. I definitely feel like I made a

00:11:51
bunch of news sources. I did a hysterical small rent

00:11:55
Round Table. It was like me and like four

00:11:57
other people, explaining them, how to build lifelong

00:12:01
relationships with media, where like, I feel like if that if

00:12:05
that were Did I ever really gave all my my media dark arts to for

00:12:09
random people that I'd never met the random for people who showed

00:12:20
up at a round table for an hour where I just monologue to about,

00:12:23
you know, media you should have charged for that.

00:12:26
Are you still collecting business cards at conferences?

00:12:28
No, that was your thing for a while.

00:12:29
No, I don't bring mine, but now I just ask your peoples number

00:12:33
right, right there. Very personal, it is funny.

00:12:36
Conference, it's the sea adult. It's the last adult place.

00:12:39
You can go to have Camp friends. You know, you have those people

00:12:42
that you like meet up with early and then you're like, oh, we

00:12:45
should hang out at all the different events together.

00:12:48
Yeah. Yeah, they were Myself by

00:12:49
Southwest bloody. Right.

00:12:50
I think the reason conference is persist is that there's just

00:12:53
enough to make like to appeal to the weaknesses and narcissism is

00:12:56
of all the different types of person that goes to a

00:12:59
conference. But no one's really willing to

00:13:01
call it out for the uselessness that every other part of it is,

00:13:04
you know, right. Because nobody, I mean the

00:13:06
panels are sort of beside the point.

00:13:09
I'm not really sure what I've ever heard.

00:13:10
But execs like to be asked to speak on the panel there, like I

00:13:13
get to be on a stage, right? Because I have a microphone

00:13:16
enough to spell a plowed, dude, on CNBC, I need to say the same

00:13:21
thing, that doesn't say anything to it.

00:13:23
Even smaller group of people write, I write a truly insane,

00:13:27
though. The people who just fly in just

00:13:29
for their panel. I'm like, nobody loves consuming

00:13:32
this, like, what what's the point?

00:13:34
Because it's live, audiences you You get a here, you get to see

00:13:37
on their faces, the recognition, when they in take your

00:13:39
Brilliance, whereas when you're doing on CNBC you're talking

00:13:42
into a piece of glass. So our Executives like just

00:13:45
frustrated former theater kid. They talked down to the theater

00:13:48
kids. Like they definitely bullied

00:13:49
them but they also understood the core truth of what the

00:13:54
theater kids wanted, which was, you know, they want to be on

00:13:56
stage, they want to show. They need to fill that hole in

00:13:59
their, in their heart, and their and their soul.

00:14:01
So after you came out of collision, what are the, what

00:14:05
are the It's of the venture-backed world that just

00:14:07
don't really make sense anymore. We're not going to see as much

00:14:10
of, you know, I think I feel like when obviously I don't

00:14:12
cover Tech anymore but when I did it was Hardware with the

00:14:15
future and like, direct-to-consumer.

00:14:19
Woodstock some substance. I think, you know, a lot of

00:14:22
people are turning on crypto that wouldn't have been willing

00:14:25
to before or now, right. Well, you know, there are people

00:14:29
who are like, who are skeptical dipping their toes in it,

00:14:32
without it, who, you know, who now are seem Skeptical, trauma

00:14:37
on all in was talking about uh Chris Dixon and sort of the, you

00:14:42
know, Venture firms. Basically, you know, selling

00:14:45
tokens along the way and getting rich quick and like that being

00:14:48
sort of a big area, big question marks that super interesting, it

00:14:52
was hysterical to see each machine on someone else.

00:14:55
When of course, his SPAC performance has been totally

00:14:59
under scrutinized. It was like a bullet point of my

00:15:01
newsletter, but definitely on a permanent to-do list of hold

00:15:05
Shema. Ah, accountable for taking a

00:15:08
bunch of companies public that have seen their stocks, tanked

00:15:11
in the beauty, of course abuse sponsor, you get a cut of the

00:15:14
value, the company and it's only if you had to do the private

00:15:17
round and evaluation you really got screwed.

00:15:20
I think in most cases, he avoided doing that.

00:15:22
He got other people told the bag.

00:15:24
So I mean, the death of spax, is ongoing the death of not death,

00:15:28
but a sort of sinking values of crypto.

00:15:32
I mean, bird is down to like 160 160.

00:15:36
Yeah in yeah I just reported that even Sequoia, you know, has

00:15:39
held onto doordash and unity some two of their biggest bets.

00:15:44
Those are down significantly. BuzzFeed is a spec that's

00:15:47
obviously eating shit. Yeah, it'll be funny.

00:15:50
I'm interested which of these high-profile spax like eats it

00:15:53
first. Like if BuzzFeed is like the I

00:15:57
don't know. One of the iconic companies of

00:15:59
this downturn that would be really lame for media, but I

00:16:02
think I think you're onto something Erica.

00:16:04
I really do think that shimoff is going to Be held accountable

00:16:07
and sort of be seen as, like, one of the great, you know, snow

00:16:10
almost you could add. Some will say, I would not say

00:16:12
this, but some could say, kind of charlatans of the spec era.

00:16:15
And I think you'll see a real change, their somebody has to do

00:16:18
the math. Like, how much did he make?

00:16:20
And how much did other people lose?

00:16:21
And, yeah, I mean, yeah, the math there.

00:16:24
So, I think what's interesting is that Tech is the most visible

00:16:27
part of the downturn because the stocks for, it's a lot of public

00:16:30
market companies and they were doing so, so well, so it feels

00:16:34
like an early indicator but I I think that we live in a world

00:16:37
especially because we have the combination, very low, interest

00:16:40
rates and a lot of money. When I say a lot of money, I

00:16:43
made a lot of money being taken out of things like the stock

00:16:47
market and put into the hands of private equity.

00:16:50
And that the downturn that happens in other sectors might

00:16:54
not be as visible this early on, but we could see later and have

00:16:58
real impact later. It's almost like it for our

00:17:01
purposes tech stocks, or the canary in the coal.

00:17:04
Mine of something bigger, right? And the world is so

00:17:07
interconnected and at the very sort of like riskiest part of

00:17:11
the of the market. So everything from like public

00:17:14
companies out to private equity and Venture Capital that it's

00:17:18
hard for me to believe that this the this stops with tech stocks

00:17:22
and sort of a tech industry, right?

00:17:24
And then I guess the last thing is that the first the first like

00:17:28
would like really Clarion call about housing bubble and the

00:17:32
residential mortgage-backed security risk.

00:17:34
This started happening was probably a 20 2005.

00:17:38
So it took until September of 2008 for the collapsed.

00:17:44
I know these things are so slow. Being in the preview, read about

00:17:47
faith and it's about trust. And so, people will fall

00:17:50
themselves for a really long time, until they suddenly wake

00:17:52
up and say, we can't do it anymore, then they all label and

00:17:54
then the books. Don't even come until after

00:17:56
that. And that's when everybody

00:17:57
concludes would actually happen. So it is this amazing thing

00:18:00
where the reporters early on are like, oh, this is looking bad,

00:18:03
it's starting to happen and then the big Stories.

00:18:06
Come you know and then the final actions come and then the books

00:18:09
time your let you know I mean in the movies or even later, right?

00:18:12
Exactly. It's just like the movies about

00:18:14
the founders came exactly as we've been processing on this

00:18:17
podcast so long after you know years after and so yeah right

00:18:23
The Big Short came years after the last downturn.

00:18:25
So I think what's changed is we have this Twitter world where

00:18:28
people not just reporters would everybody is consuming the

00:18:31
narratives very quickly get the information right away but then

00:18:35
the sort of Entertainment, info, industrial complex.

00:18:38
Still takes a while to what I said, wonder about is like, with

00:18:42
the housing bubble and the collapse.

00:18:45
There was all of this interconnectedness and and

00:18:47
over-leveraged companies, over-leveraged assets and I

00:18:50
don't really see the same. I'm trying to find like, what is

00:18:53
the over-leveraged or like, what is the leverage here with time?

00:18:56
It was, the issue is that the banks were amongst the group of

00:18:59
over-leveraged, lenders and over-leveraged actors.

00:19:03
And the banks also had to do a lot of other functions.

00:19:05
Or the economy, keeping the money flowing all around the

00:19:08
world and like keeping keeping our savings accounts open.

00:19:12
I mean like there was. So part of the issue, is that

00:19:15
such a central part of the economy was in such big trouble,

00:19:19
and shirer and Banks, because of Dodd-Frank.

00:19:24
I mean, Jesus Christ, I can't believe I'm saying this if

00:19:26
nothing else that possible piece of legislation, if nothing else

00:19:30
but it did is it did Force big financial institutions to hold

00:19:34
cash on hand. To offset risky assets like if

00:19:38
even if that's all it actually accomplish, that's good because

00:19:41
it means it's less. Likely that a central player in

00:19:44
the economy, could go down in flames but so Tom, you're right.

00:19:48
What if it is just a lot of hedge funds that start

00:19:50
imploding. It's hard for me to argue that.

00:19:54
Even a very large hedge fund is so interconnected.

00:19:56
And so important to the world that its collapse will really,

00:20:02
really hurt Main Street. And the way that the Housing,

00:20:06
collapse and attendant. Securitized Finance.

00:20:09
Collapse hurt. Yeah.

00:20:11
Like the most that I could see here is the contagion sort of

00:20:14
spreading to quote unquote, non tech stocks because from my

00:20:19
perspective, what's really happening here is just a

00:20:21
revaluation of these companies. A lot of them have businesses

00:20:24
that are more or less the same. You haven't seen a huge downturn

00:20:27
and revenue quarterly that may happen.

00:20:29
But what's happened is, you know, investors basically said,

00:20:31
oh maybe they're not worth a hundred X multiples on their

00:20:34
revenue, maybe they're only worth.

00:20:35
Or 3x or 10x or something. And over the last couple of

00:20:39
years, I just saw this covering media.

00:20:41
There were a lot of companies that were looking very

00:20:43
longingly. At these insane multiples, the

00:20:45
tech companies had and they're like, oh, how can we pinch

00:20:47
ourselves in a tech like way in a growth like way?

00:20:50
So it seems like it's a, we can get the and that's what Disney

00:20:52
did, right? They basically said, actually,

00:20:54
we're streaming company and they one day just got valued at like,

00:20:58
you know, I can't remember that the multiple difference, but,

00:21:01
you know, significantly more than they were just because they

00:21:03
call themselves a streaming company.

00:21:05
And They're down along with, you know, the rest of the market

00:21:08
about. I mean, valuation, we says been

00:21:10
sort of a key key piece of this. I wanted.

00:21:12
I forgot a funny thing. I didn't tell you I was looking

00:21:15
at but finally my ears were figuring out the market painting

00:21:19
classic fashion, you know? You know, I was in here, I went

00:21:22
early for like the ventured a collision.

00:21:25
And, you know, there was a guy, you know, in shorts, right,

00:21:30
which of course, I think was the richest guy.

00:21:32
There he is. One of the top people.

00:21:35
Or if not the top people at multi coin.

00:21:39
Have you even heard of this one? Either of you heard of this

00:21:42
fund. I love the name, though.

00:21:44
Multi coin according to their last filing which I pulled up

00:21:48
while we're on this call. This was at the end end of last

00:21:51
year, I think so. So they've certainly sunk

00:21:54
significantly from this. But they had eight point nine

00:21:59
billion dollars in assets under management.

00:22:01
You never even heard of them. I mean that's how big some of

00:22:04
these crypto funds have gotten this.

00:22:05
Guys standing around shorts that I think there are 17 people that

00:22:09
work there. So this guy got they're huge in

00:22:12
Solana and they're huge in helium.

00:22:15
And I mean, it seemed like they were just holding it holding on

00:22:20
tight, you know. It's like we don't sell that

00:22:22
sort of. That was the attitude.

00:22:24
Yeah, it was he was amazed that you should follow up with that

00:22:26
guy that. Yeah.

00:22:28
Yeah, he may, he may lose his shorts with the last few minutes

00:22:31
before we catch her interview with Lauren.

00:22:32
Do you want to quickly talk about the overturn of Road?

00:22:35
Wade and all the tech companies that put out statements saying

00:22:39
that they will support their employees crossing state lines,

00:22:42
but Duolingo, did a good job, right?

00:22:43
Didn't they say he was threatening Pennsylvania?

00:22:47
I don't know. Katie Katie, do you have?

00:22:49
I think that there are tech companies.

00:22:51
There were also like larger companies like Dick's Sporting

00:22:54
Goods. I think, JP Morgan said we will

00:22:58
pay if our employees need to cross their minds on that

00:23:02
tangent portion. Yeah.

00:23:03
And and Susan will. She keep basically came out and

00:23:04
said, like, I understand? I run a company and I understand

00:23:07
there are a lot of different opinions on this issue in the

00:23:09
company but my personal opinion is terrible.

00:23:12
So I think the two questions Beyond like the making of the

00:23:16
statements, which being realistic people inside, those

00:23:19
companies are going to have a variety of opinions on.

00:23:21
They're not going to agree is for corporate.

00:23:25
America one do States passed a legislation.

00:23:30
We're doing something like providing that kind of funding

00:23:33
and transport violates law. Not that the I moved from one

00:23:37
state to another and cross the border, which I think have a

00:23:40
knot in his separate. Decision says, he does not think

00:23:43
should you know, he lets you can't go after people just for

00:23:46
leaving their state to obtain an abortion, but can a company be

00:23:50
attacked for aiding and abetting an illegal act.

00:23:53
So I think that's like a big gray area that have to be worked

00:23:55
out. The other thing is our will

00:23:58
companies be eager to headquarter in states, where

00:24:01
abortion is just straight-up illegal or highly restricted.

00:24:05
So so that throws Texas which has been the recipient of so

00:24:09
much business. So many people setting up

00:24:11
companies, they're so much investment.

00:24:13
What happens to Texas what happens to Florida and then what

00:24:16
happened? You know.

00:24:17
So there there are definitely bigger questions Beyond like the

00:24:20
making of the statement which of course would make sense that

00:24:23
that happens in the moment, but you were going to have to see

00:24:27
those bigger questions. Worked out.

00:24:29
And worked out pretty quickly. Yeah.

00:24:30
No, I completely agree. I'm actually more interested in

00:24:34
people Reckoning with that. That reality of so much energy

00:24:38
and effort. I mean, basically boosterism for

00:24:40
Texas and Florida by prominent people in The Tech Community.

00:24:44
Now, having to deal with the fact that, yeah, these states

00:24:46
are not politically aligned with what you claim to stand for.

00:24:49
And what are you going to do? I mean, you can shit all over

00:24:51
California for its anti business proposals, and statutes and

00:24:55
culture. But politically you're far more

00:24:58
aligned with the people that you are in those other states.

00:25:00
And what you going to do, I do, there will be another, I think

00:25:03
be to the story in that you Do a lot of the actual humans doing

00:25:08
the work for these. Big tech companies are employed

00:25:11
by outside contractors and they rarely get the benefit of tech

00:25:17
protections and so they're, they're all.

00:25:19
So, you know, I mean, what the poor people are more affected by

00:25:25
by these abortion rules. Obviously, they're not making

00:25:27
the high salaries and I think in a lot of critiques, the outside

00:25:32
contractor issue has sort of been met with.

00:25:36
Shrug is maybe too strong but I feel like it hasn't really hit

00:25:40
these companies. But I do think on an issue like

00:25:43
abortion where people, you know, really want everyone to have

00:25:47
access. I I would not be surprised if

00:25:50
companies like you on. Facebook got a lot more pressure

00:25:53
to make sure they're contractors.

00:25:56
Could get out to or not to have contractors in these, in these

00:25:59
states. And then, you know, yeah, we

00:26:01
talked about that in the Kiki Freeman episode that it's one

00:26:04
thing to kind of make make statements in favor of what your

00:26:07
employees want. But when you do start Crossing

00:26:10
into a world where yeah these contractors that you have are

00:26:13
not eligible for the same rights and you know, if they want to be

00:26:16
they choose to be unionized that is directly in contradiction to

00:26:18
your business interests and they have no interest in these

00:26:21
companies in furthering that at all.

00:26:24
And so they're going to walk very gingerly on this line.

00:26:27
Even though, you know, politically speaking, you know,

00:26:30
their Pappy to make statements, you know, in support of abortion

00:26:34
rights of their employees, you know, Freedom to get them, it's

00:26:37
terrible. I can say that hard hard not to

00:26:39
be like a legal realists. After this that it's just an

00:26:43
exercise of power and not sort of argument or coherency.

00:26:48
I don't know. Very, very disillusioned young

00:26:50
always hard. I don't know when these National

00:26:54
stories, sort of swamp. What's going on in?

00:26:58
Techland can be a little bit like well I think it's actually

00:27:01
just a very clear reminder When I got to think about something

00:27:07
other than Venture Capital, this is sort of the opposite.

00:27:10
It's like, how can you expect me to think about venture capital

00:27:13
and the days where I feel a little silly, sometimes, you

00:27:16
know, publishing thing. And then my cloud is so much

00:27:19
lesser in these nets, right? Or and I also feel dumb, I don't

00:27:22
know. I don't sometimes, it's good,

00:27:23
you know, you covered Tech, you repurpose it, you know, you

00:27:26
could talk about the contractor thing, but it can be a little

00:27:29
ridiculous. Every Tech reporter just trying

00:27:31
to recontextualize their bead into the national political

00:27:34
issue of And sometimes it's like you're not really the heart of

00:27:38
the story, you just happened to cover this other thing, I don't

00:27:40
know. It's a, you know, it's just an

00:27:42
awkward dance for. I also think it's just a good

00:27:44
reminder, for Tech reporters of what power really is and where

00:27:49
power really resides in this country and certainly business

00:27:51
has with Cal was awkward. Yeah, exactly.

00:27:58
Power resides in the Vatican, it's like, we think about like

00:28:01
the Chamber of Commerce or we think about big companies being

00:28:04
able to Lobby or Mark Zuckerberg.

00:28:05
Having private dinners with Trump.

00:28:07
But really it's about, you know, it's still about the three

00:28:11
branches and our state legislators but dang

00:28:14
Constitution. Well, we're going to get rid of

00:28:16
that soon enough on one level. I'm like, oh, I guess I do

00:28:20
believe in like I was thinking, oh, would I support?

00:28:24
Jeff Bezos for president, I think I would support Jeff.

00:28:27
Yes, I just had a meeting with somebody who is an executive and

00:28:31
he was so interesting. He was explaining why he doesn't

00:28:33
think the executives actually make Good political leaders

00:28:38
present, because a CEO, your job is to figure out what works

00:28:41
quote-unquote. And then do it over and over and

00:28:44
over again with only enough deviation to keep up with the

00:28:48
changes that are buffeting your business.

00:28:50
But at the end of the day, your you have one goal truly or if

00:28:54
you have multiple business line, each line has a goal but they're

00:28:57
all rowing in the same direction.

00:28:59
It's like if you are the mayor or you are the governor or

00:29:02
you're the president, you have competing Constituents not,

00:29:07
everybody is rowing in the same direction.

00:29:09
You are not supposed to the same thing over and over and over

00:29:11
again. Because you will fail.

00:29:13
And there is no measure of success, like pnl against like

00:29:17
and so people come in wanting to think it's actually very simple

00:29:20
and then they realize unfortunately that it's much

00:29:23
harder. I don't know.

00:29:24
And that was from somebody who is a CEO Katie, you know, you

00:29:26
need to go back and read him as on Unbound Brad's book on is a,

00:29:31
I mean, it really there really Hard or they're taking a lot of

00:29:37
time off because their knees hurt because I'm making them

00:29:39
pack your boxes on the floor. So I'm going to get them knee

00:29:42
pads and I thought, there you go.

00:29:43
Tactical exactly what I mean. Phasers comes off as someone

00:29:47
who's good at like okay, we hear all the fires burning.

00:29:49
I'm gonna push you on this but you and that you know I don't

00:29:52
know, fires burning around a single goal making money for the

00:29:57
company. It's not like a look at sure.

00:30:01
This is their fight because keep in mind that when Roe versus

00:30:04
Wade happened, there was a significant portion the country

00:30:06
that was very happy and felt that a goal had been realized.

00:30:10
So you're managing just on one issue, completely competing

00:30:16
constituencies because when you're president, even if you're

00:30:18
democrat or republican, it's still all the people.

00:30:21
I this tight, I can see your argument an abstract.

00:30:24
But then if I actually had to compare the strengths and

00:30:29
weaknesses of the, various top Democratic contenders or the

00:30:32
current president, I'd say, uh, I Of these people, you know, the

00:30:37
Caribbean. What, what's his name

00:30:39
Transportation? True P mayor.

00:30:42
Pete boot each Edge like that guy's next Consultants.

00:30:45
He's not even a good X. Business-minded at least basis

00:30:48
is done with the, I mean, No One's Gonna like Bezos

00:30:50
obviously, so it's sort of it's a moot point, but I was just as

00:30:54
a thought, exercise, if I could actually like, say, who would I

00:30:58
really want? Like, if I could install

00:30:59
anybody, that's the closest I come Bezos.

00:31:03
I think Tim I you know I go to Tim Cook.

00:31:06
I go Tim Cook because at least he's had to negotiate with

00:31:09
leaders around the world. Yeah, yeah, you're right.

00:31:12
He's done more of the foreign policy and he actually manages

00:31:15
like a huge Workforce. Has you be good at running an

00:31:18
Empire? It is sort of like

00:31:34
I see that. Not one.

00:31:36
Mark Zuckerberg suck forced himself to learn Mandarin.

00:31:40
So he could connect with the Chinese market that never wanted

00:31:42
Facebook in the first place. Whereas Tim actually operates in

00:31:45
China, and probably doesn't speak a word of maybe ruined.

00:31:48
So one is power. The other one is, you know,

00:31:51
goals. Anyway, on that front, we should

00:31:53
probably kick it on over to our interview with Lauren, editor of

00:31:56
Bloomberg and are fascinating discussion about the state

00:32:00
present and future of Jewel. And jewels already already

00:32:04
fought the Anning. I think temporarily.

00:32:07
So this is a story that some keep turning and she is the

00:32:10
expert. So it was you couldn't times.

00:32:12
Also keep in mind that as Eric and I were doing that interview,

00:32:14
both of us were like man, that actually sounds great like Kevin

00:32:17
Jewel. Like I said yeah I need more

00:32:19
vices, that's whatever. Yeah, because they go long take

00:32:22
a long drag on a mango Jewel pod right now.

00:32:33
We've got boring editor from Bloomberg who I've interviewed

00:32:36
once before about her book, The Devil's Playbook on Jule and

00:32:42
now, jewel is back in the news, I was hurt.

00:32:45
I was shocked to find out that the fda's thinking about or

00:32:51
intends to take them off the shelves, right?

00:32:54
What's was were you surprised by this or do you saw this one

00:32:58
coming? I definitely did not see this

00:33:00
one coming. In fact I was very And I've been

00:33:03
asked several times over the past year, what do you think the

00:33:06
FDA is going to do? And I really would have put

00:33:08
money on the FDA keeping Jewel on the market and we can talk

00:33:11
about the reasons why, but I was very surprised by the decision.

00:33:15
Yeah. I mean, you know, in some ways

00:33:18
it seems like as in lame, not as like in a scholar of the FDA or

00:33:22
something. It feels like very deserved in

00:33:25
that this was a company that, you know, as you can tell from

00:33:28
your book sort of flouted, the rules like Market it

00:33:32
aggressively Lovely. But we can you really be

00:33:35
punished for that? Sort of, I don't know when their

00:33:37
product today seems like in line with other e-cigarettes or I

00:33:40
don't know, what what have is this about I guess is this about

00:33:45
past Acts or is this about sort of the status quo a jewel?

00:33:49
Yeah, that's really interesting. I mean, going going into it, you

00:33:52
know I would have thought that the FDA would have used the

00:33:54
youth usage crisis as a way to sort of punished Jewel or to

00:33:59
seek retribution or to hold their feet to the fire.

00:34:03
But it turns out that in the decision by the FDA they didn't

00:34:07
even mention, I mean in the they sort of mentioned the youth

00:34:12
issue but that was not the reasoning that the FDA gave for

00:34:16
pulling Jewel off. The market, the FDA essentially

00:34:20
said that Jewels application that for having their product in

00:34:24
the market did not provide enough evidence and in fact,

00:34:28
sometimes provided conflicting data on some key health.

00:34:32
Shoes, including something called genotoxicity whether or

00:34:35
not the product could affect cellular change in the body of

00:34:39
potentially lead to cancer. And they mentioned that they

00:34:42
provided insufficient and conflicting data on the toxic

00:34:45
toxicology of the product. So inside of Jewel, inside of a

00:34:49
jewel pod, the little heating element that is essentially used

00:34:54
to heat up the beep to heat up the liquid, and turn it into a

00:34:56
vapor is made out of chromium and nickel and there's studies

00:35:02
out there. That indicate that when you

00:35:04
inhale the jewel Vapor, you're also inhaling some level of

00:35:10
heavy metals, so the FDA didn't specifically point to that.

00:35:14
They just said that they provided insufficient data on

00:35:18
the genotoxicity issue and on this potentially and leaching

00:35:23
issue related to the Pod. So to me it was really

00:35:27
interesting because it wasn't even, they did even conclude

00:35:30
that the data showed that there was a problem.

00:35:32
And the FDA, in fact said we don't believe that there's an

00:35:35
immediate harm associated with using this product.

00:35:38
We'd we just believe or we conclude that the that the

00:35:42
company didn't provide enough data or conflicting data so to

00:35:47
meet which seems like a technicality with their

00:35:50
application. So it's a really interesting

00:35:54
finding by the FDA. It didn't find that.

00:35:57
You know, this is a company that created a new generation of kid

00:36:01
teen nicotine addict. And therefore were punishing

00:36:04
you. So, it is actually very

00:36:06
surprising and interesting decision by the, by the FDA.

00:36:10
And obviously, Jewel has already filed a motion in court to try

00:36:14
to seek a stay to keep their products on the market.

00:36:18
And so, they're not going to go down easy.

00:36:20
There's gonna be a legal fight, the FDA could get sued.

00:36:23
So, it's definitely, you know, does not bode well for Jewel,

00:36:27
but it also, we still have some legal maneuvering.

00:36:32
In ahead of us, it seems like the story is, you know, this is

00:36:36
like the latest step in this long, slow Descent of this

00:36:40
company from its height, maybe four or five years ago to.

00:36:44
Now, whereas once, you know, they were this hugely successful

00:36:48
e-cigarette. Business that I just, as I was

00:36:51
following, it story, just as a tech reporter living in San

00:36:55
Francisco. Where, you know, there was a

00:36:56
whole controversy about them, even being headquartered in the

00:36:58
city. You know, it went from May, you

00:37:01
know, the jewel pod. Cells being banned flavor,

00:37:04
Jewel. Paul's being banned to just

00:37:08
they're generally, there was concern around at the beginning

00:37:10
of covid that vertical first, they came for our mango Jewel

00:37:13
pods. Now they writing that sort of

00:37:16
the red a. Yeah, it's been so interesting

00:37:18
to watch its paths from being, you know, what was maybe

00:37:22
arguably. One of the hottest.

00:37:23
Quote-unquote tech companies, we can get into whether you know

00:37:26
this is Tech or like what the tech connection is here to

00:37:29
something that it seems like nobody wants any part of and the

00:37:31
FDA is using Essentially technicalities to kill this

00:37:35
thing. It's quite an incredible story

00:37:37
over. Not that long a period of time.

00:37:40
Yeah, yeah, I know certainly arise.

00:37:42
Very stunning rise and fall. Remember this is a company with

00:37:46
that was valued at 38 billion dollars at its peak.

00:37:49
At one point it was bigger than the valuation of SpaceX.

00:37:52
I mean it was a huge, it was a unicorn, this kind of huge.

00:37:57
Success story investors piling in from Tiger Global to

00:38:01
Fidelity. You know, I mean the growth, the

00:38:04
growth potential and Prospect of Jewel on its Ascent was really

00:38:09
something that was stunni and it was, it was like, you couldn't

00:38:13
have a better product. In terms of customers, your

00:38:15
customer becomes highly addicted to your product and we'll buy it

00:38:20
first before food and anything else.

00:38:22
Like so they, they describe this them as sticky customers.

00:38:27
So yeah, it was a it was a very it was a very valuable tickets.

00:38:32
Nicky get that, right? Yeah.

00:38:33
That's between your fingers. All over your addiction is the

00:38:37
greatest business model of all time.

00:38:39
Yeah, Tom and I have been arguing, you see, I mean, it

00:38:43
sort of fits into the there are knows ambiguity or but you see

00:38:47
Jewel as a tech company or ever again, is this a text or a lord?

00:38:51
Yeah, I mean, it's definitely a text story.

00:38:53
You know, this is, this is a company that innovated on an old

00:38:57
product and innovated on a product and brought to bear

00:39:00
technology, if you want to call it that, I mean it you know is a

00:39:04
little essentially a little flash drive like that's it's

00:39:06
literally what they modeled their product after was a flash

00:39:09
drive. So you know, it is one of those

00:39:12
companies that kind of Falls in between the cracks, is that a

00:39:14
tech company is that a single cigarette company?

00:39:18
Is that a health company? Because there are all the really

00:39:21
there are all those Blurred Lines and there are people who

00:39:24
believe that this is a product that is for the benefit of the

00:39:28
public health because it can potentially theoretically help

00:39:31
smokers, Get off of there. They're addictive, smoking

00:39:35
habit, which we know to be very deadly.

00:39:36
So it is it is an interesting company that's for sure.

00:39:39
Blurs lies. I think it's a tobacco company.

00:39:42
At the end of the day you can't really ignore the fact that they

00:39:47
are selling nicotine clean and simple that is what they're

00:39:50
selling and to me that fits into the tobacco category.

00:39:54
But yeah, has a tech element. You got the you got the Silicon

00:39:57
Valley kind of element you. It you have the Stanford

00:40:00
creators so yeah, I don't know. I do think it's kind of falls

00:40:04
into two lines. Yeah, yeah.

00:40:05
Yeah. I know and it's funny as you're

00:40:07
going through the argument, I mean the theranos connection not

00:40:10
you know, as in this was an out-and-out scam.

00:40:12
But the fact that it was really pulling from The Playbook that

00:40:16
so many tech companies want like Stanford like raising from

00:40:18
Venture Capital like pitching it as a hardware, you know, like a

00:40:21
hardware type product whether or not it is a, you know, in its

00:40:24
Essence, a tech company or not the company Tom.

00:40:27
What is also spending a lot of energy on innovating on this?

00:40:31
Yeah, device And the flavors and it's easy to laugh at that from

00:40:35
the outside. But there was a lot of like that

00:40:37
was a big part of the come. And I want to point out that

00:40:40
this was a highly successful Innovation.

00:40:43
The cigarette hadn't been innovated in over a century

00:40:47
literally still rolling plant matter in paper and setting it

00:40:53
on fire that had not been changed.

00:40:55
So they actually did bring to bear a very a genius Innovation

00:40:59
part of which came from the tobacco industry's own.

00:41:02
Playbook from their secret files and as you document in your

00:41:06
bright and they, they did it brilliantly, their product

00:41:12
really delivered. What smokers were looking for?

00:41:15
Which was that, that throat hit that fairy quick spurred of

00:41:20
nicotine. That goes to your brain, Braga

00:41:23
surgery. Get that right.

00:41:24
All right, I gotta tell ya, I mean, I need to go for it.

00:41:26
So right now, the crazy crazy thing about it, their product

00:41:30
was highly successful. It It was in it arguably too

00:41:34
successful. They put too much nicotine in it

00:41:38
and then they didn't disclose the risks.

00:41:40
They didn't tell people that oh there's actually a shitload of

00:41:43
nicotine in there so much that you use it once and you're

00:41:45
getting it hooked right now, there are lots of copycats,

00:41:48
right? I mean that's that's relevant,

00:41:50
both for Jewel's business but also this sort of Crackdown,

00:41:53
it's interesting. They're going after Jewel but

00:41:55
not the copycats is that again one Theory would be their matted

00:41:59
tool. Another would be Jules just the

00:42:01
furthest along. So that, you know, there's more,

00:42:05
there's more history here. So, the FDA is ready to go after

00:42:08
them or that Jewels product is distinct in some way, from the

00:42:13
follow-on competitors. I mean, I know this is just

00:42:15
plain out but you have a theory of sort of which of those

00:42:18
buckets, this FDA action, sort of fits into.

00:42:20
I mean, I think there have to be a pretty big conspiracy against

00:42:23
Jewel inside the FDA that I don't know if that actually took

00:42:26
place. You know, you have to take them

00:42:28
at their word that they evaluated their application and

00:42:31
they found that their application was Is deficient,

00:42:33
and that's why they denied the application.

00:42:35
It is hard to imagine that there were no political kind of

00:42:40
aspects to this. And it's also impossible to

00:42:43
ignore the harm that Jewel inflicted on the American

00:42:46
public. And so, yeah, did that color?

00:42:49
The fda's decision. It's not supposed to.

00:42:52
This is supposed to be purely a scientific review.

00:42:55
So you got it. I at least take the FDA, the

00:42:57
word that they did. The set there were that they did

00:43:00
a scientific review and arrived at this at this.

00:43:02
Decision. So, so, yeah, I mean, in terms

00:43:05
of a copycats, it's a really interesting point in question.

00:43:09
I mean, the market is being flooded with brand new nicotine

00:43:12
products all the time and some of them fly under the radar.

00:43:16
They're not spending a hundred fifty million dollars to ask the

00:43:20
FDA for approval to sell their product.

00:43:23
They're just this product that's on the market, they end up in

00:43:25
vape shops. People are selling it, then

00:43:27
there's a black market, you can get it on the black market and

00:43:29
remember a lot of these products.

00:43:32
Are really built on the back of jewels Innovation, which is very

00:43:36
stinging for Jewel because some of them are literal copycats

00:43:40
Black Market. But others actually just derive.

00:43:43
Some of the Innovation from Jewel, for example, the the

00:43:46
nicotine salts that was jewels kind of discovery that really

00:43:51
made their product pop. Now, there are a million

00:43:54
products that have nicotine salts in them, some of the

00:43:57
products, even look like Jewel. So, you know, it is a little in

00:44:02
terms of Like, is this going to solve a problem?

00:44:04
Like, will taking Jewel off the market solve, some bigger

00:44:07
problem about youth, nicotine addiction?

00:44:09
It's just the fact is that there are so many products that are

00:44:13
currently on the market that came after Julian that are.

00:44:15
In fact, very similar to Jewel and the FDA doesn't really have

00:44:18
the enforcement resources to go to all these deep shops to see

00:44:23
what's being sold. You know, they are they actually

00:44:25
are a little bit stretched in terms of the enforcement

00:44:29
resources that they have. So yeah, it's a huge.

00:44:32
Huge loss for Jewel. They're going to fight it

00:44:35
obviously, but I will say it's a huge win for all of these other

00:44:39
companies and all of the end, the two companies that are so

00:44:43
Jules number one right in the market.

00:44:45
Yeah, number two is Reynolds views.

00:44:48
Number three is enjoy both of those products.

00:44:52
Receipt, their pmta authorization, it's funny.

00:44:56
By the way Lauren that you bring up Reynolds.

00:44:58
As one of the winners here, I've been bugging Eric and almost

00:45:00
everyone else about this recently but I I'm rereading

00:45:03
Barbarians at the gate and there's a hilarious passage or

00:45:06
section where they talk about their attempts to develop, you

00:45:09
know, 30 years ago, the smokeless cigarette, which was a

00:45:13
disaster back then, you know, it right?

00:45:15
It tasted like shit. He said, right?

00:45:17
Right, yeah, hilarious scene. Where the CEO of RJR Nabisco is

00:45:20
like making all of his wealthy friends try.

00:45:23
You know, an early prototype of the smoke was cigarette and

00:45:25
they're all like, dude, this is disgusting.

00:45:27
You cannot use that. And that would kind of ends up

00:45:29
precipitating, but, you know, the whole drama on the story

00:45:31
because they can't innovate at all.

00:45:32
But It is funny to see, you know, a cigarette company, not

00:45:35
able to do it a tech company, does it 30 years later?

00:45:38
Now it's getting fucked by the regulatory, you know, a

00:45:41
structure and big tobacco, whatever you want to call

00:45:43
Reynolds these days. Somehow, emerges Victorious, all

00:45:46
these years later to kind of leap off the, you know, the

00:45:49
technology and product that was built by another company.

00:45:52
So it seems like the establishment if you want to

00:45:55
refer to it as that kind of one in the end here.

00:45:58
Yeah, well yeah. And then that also the irony

00:46:01
layered on top of that Is that Altria, of course, formerly

00:46:05
known, as Philip Morris the maker of Marlboro, cigarettes

00:46:08
had this huge investment in Jewel were twelve point eight

00:46:11
billion dollars. It's now worth a fraction of

00:46:13
that like 1.6, I'm sorry billion now worth about 1.6 billion

00:46:17
dollars. They had their own product and

00:46:19
they took their own product off the market to back Jewel.

00:46:23
So not only. Yeah, not only did they have the

00:46:27
worst investment make the worst investment or one of the worst

00:46:31
in American history, history. But they also lost out on an

00:46:35
opportunity to develop their own IP, their own product and

00:46:40
basically bet on the wrong horse.

00:46:42
Yeah. Did the original on is what I

00:46:44
always wanted. Did they get away with it?

00:46:46
Did did the original sort of Jewel, Founders, truel, money

00:46:50
tiger, like, are there? So, I mean, they got paid out

00:46:53
big by Ultra and then had some steak or who's sort of still up

00:46:58
big time over this Jewel project and use who's out of the.

00:47:01
Yeah, I think so. This or this coming.

00:47:03
I mean the absolutely if you want to say they got away with

00:47:07
it fine. Absolutely.

00:47:10
The the founder, you're like your word Islanders habitual

00:47:15
made out like Bandits the board of directors made out like

00:47:19
Bandits on that twelve point eight billion dollar deal and

00:47:23
basically you know, they're not at the company anymore or have a

00:47:27
diminished role. Not really involved in the

00:47:29
day-to-day Affairs and became billionaires.

00:47:32
There's and then those that were already billionaires, including

00:47:35
Nick pritzker are, you know, even more billionaire, ask X

00:47:40
over 3 billion are rolling back. The clock a little bit to the

00:47:44
are aware tool was on the rise and I remember at when I was

00:47:48
working at the information at the time, we ran a couple

00:47:50
stories about the dithering among Venture capitalists about

00:47:53
whether or not they could even invest in Joule, because it

00:47:56
would be you run afoul of their advice Clauses that they

00:47:59
couldn't really be investing in a company, that was contributing

00:48:01
to, You know, addiction and well Nellie's nicotine addiction,

00:48:07
what is your sense of how those people might be feeling at this

00:48:10
point? I mean, you know, what do you

00:48:12
mean like, was the, what was going on among the VC Community

00:48:15
as Jewell is on the rise. So we know that Jewel was

00:48:18
brilliant at its marketing. Maybe, you know, obviously there

00:48:21
early marketing was ended up going down in history as being

00:48:25
maybe their original sin if you will.

00:48:27
But I'm only saying that because too good, but I will say in The

00:48:32
reason I bring that up is because they were also very good

00:48:34
salesman on these. The two founders of the company,

00:48:38
really, first of all, they believed in their product, they

00:48:41
believe, like why are we still smoking?

00:48:43
It's really stupid. It kills people, why can't we

00:48:45
find a healthier safer way to do it?

00:48:47
So they come up Jewel. So they really did believe.

00:48:51
And there's actually this very big Public Health movement,

00:48:54
that's been gaining Steam for the past two decades that argues

00:48:57
that if smokers really want to keep smoking because they're

00:49:01
addicted to nicotine. That's You continue smoking.

00:49:03
If we just find a way to give them nicotine in a way that

00:49:07
doesn't involve combustion, then like that would be great.

00:49:10
You could save a lot of lives. You could, you could, you could

00:49:13
render the cigarette moots. So they really sold that story.

00:49:19
They sold the story of this being not only an innovation but

00:49:23
it's an innovation that is a very promising for public health

00:49:28
and the greater good. So, that's the story that they

00:49:31
shopped around and I think that Really got the attention, a lot

00:49:33
of a lot of venture capitalists and that made them sort of like

00:49:37
set aside, this kind of like, dirty association with big

00:49:40
tobacco and you know, doesn't really run afoul of the vice

00:49:43
Clause because it's actually helping people.

00:49:46
So that's been always kind of like the twin kind of thing with

00:49:49
Jewel. It's like it's like the problem

00:49:53
is that they they packaged it as it as it having this health

00:49:58
promise but then they sold it like a Silicon Valley.

00:50:02
Company sells widgets like a Silicon Valley company sells

00:50:06
scooters, you know bird Scooters or you know, you name whatever

00:50:10
product and they sold it in a way that was, very

00:50:13
irresponsible, so the initial launching of it, and sort of

00:50:16
like the get the Gathering of the money and finding backers,

00:50:21
and Gainey earning, sympathy of them.

00:50:23
Like it was kind of all wrapped up in this package and I don't

00:50:28
think that it caused too many people.

00:50:30
Too many of these investors a lot of Heartache.

00:50:33
Honestly, because ultimately they could say, you know, this

00:50:36
is. Yeah, sure might be a

00:50:37
controversial product, but at the end of the day, it's going

00:50:40
to help a lot of people. If this truly were embraced by

00:50:43
Tech, you would have seen a lot more people out there right now,

00:50:46
you know, railing against the regulatory state for stopping

00:50:49
this Innovation from from, you know, continuing its March.

00:50:52
And instead there's really not been that much.

00:50:55
I've seen from the tech community.

00:50:56
So it again, puts it in this weird nether region.

00:50:59
I think, you know, a lot of people aren't really excited to

00:51:01
get out and defend Will they are certainly a lot of, you know,

00:51:04
the people, this Pro-V promote movement, that fair feel very

00:51:07
strongly about the right to vape and you know, that, you know,

00:51:10
come out in their defense but, you know, going forward.

00:51:14
Yeah, there's going to be a lot of legal maneuvering if they get

00:51:16
a stay that potentially means that they could keep their

00:51:18
product on the shelves. So remember, 90% of jewels sales

00:51:23
are in the United States. They have the res open the 90%,

00:51:27
so wiping out that market potentially wipes out Jewel.

00:51:31
They have some foreign It's but they're very tidy so if they

00:51:34
don't win or if they don't if they are able to push back or if

00:51:38
they are able to continue selling the product or screwed

00:51:41
but yeah so what does that mean? For Jewel bankruptcy potentially

00:51:46
likes. You know, it's it's definitely a

00:51:50
potential there but I don't think jewel is going to give up

00:51:53
that easily. They have an arsenal of lawyers,

00:51:57
they have a lot of very smart lawyers, who have litigated in

00:52:00
this space for It's and who are veterans of the Tobacco Wars and

00:52:05
know exactly how the game works. So I would have write them off

00:52:10
immediately, but it's definitely gonna spend it.

00:52:12
They're going to spend a lot of money to keep the product on the

00:52:15
shelf and it's gonna be, you know, it's going to be a cloud

00:52:17
that's continuing to hang over the company for, for quite some

00:52:21
time. So yeah, we shall see what

00:52:23
happens in the meantime. Nicotine isn't going away

00:52:26
anytime soon. If I'm, if I'm Jewel, my game

00:52:29
plan here is just get this tied up in the courts for as long as

00:52:32
possible. Possible until you have enough

00:52:34
Millennial judges on the bench enough like activists Millennial

00:52:37
vaping judges all their, we're going to be sympathetic to their

00:52:40
cause and then you've got it. I mean, we've seen we've seen

00:52:43
how this works the parties. Get more polarized.

00:52:45
We have some. All right Baker's?

00:52:47
That's that's the thing. That brings the fart.

00:52:49
That's the worst shooter series is Vey together.

00:52:51
Yeah, exactly. I don't belong.

00:52:53
The long-term plan is actually a very solid one for them, but

00:52:56
they just need to stick it through, not that I'm advocating

00:52:58
for it, but I see well, I guarantee it might.

00:53:01
It might drag Gone for that long.

00:53:03
So you make may end up being right in the at the end of the

00:53:07
aisle of the headline Jewel, drags on, there you go.

00:53:10
All right, thank you very much guys.

00:53:12
Hi guys, goodbye, goodbye, goodbye,

00:53:27
goodbye, goodbye. Goodbye.