I got back from Collision, the 35,000-person tech conference in Toronto, Sunday night. Everyone is worried about falling valuations — but the tech world keeps on spinning.
Listen to this week’s episode of Dead Cat, Tom Dotan, Katie Benner, and I catch up, talk about my conference-going experience, and argue about what tech executive we’d most like to see as president. (Katie picks Tim Cook but I’m going with Jeff Bezos.)
Then, Tom and I talk with Bloomberg reporter Lauren Etter. She’s the author of The Devil’s Playbook. We discuss the FDA’s surprise decision to ban Juul starting at around 32:30.
Etter wrote for Bloomberg Businessweek:
In 2019 almost 30% of high school students reported using e-cigarettes, mostly Juul. Former FDA Commissioner Scott Gottlieb warned that e-cigarette use had become an “almost ubiquitous—and dangerous—trend among teens.” Since then, the portion of high school students vaping has dropped to 11%, and the most popular product is a newer entrant, Puff Bar, not Juul.
Yet it apparently wasn’t the company’s appeal to young people that led the agency to pull Juul off the market. A 2016 rule gave the FDA the authority to grant or deny “marketing orders” to e-cigarettes and other alternative tobacco products based on whether they met the standard of being “appropriate for the protection of the public health.” The agency found that Juul didn’t meet that standard because the company failed to provide sufficient evidence “to assess the potential toxicological risks of using the JUUL products”—even though Juul spent more than $150 million and hired an army of scientists to make its case.
On Friday, a federal court stayed the FDA’s ban to give Juul time to appeal.
Give it a listen.
Read the automated transcript.
Get full access to Newcomer at www.newcomer.co/subscribe
00:00:00
Okay, I'm going to do my new low-voiced intro, so that your
00:00:03
lower, you have a lower voice, Eric said that, my voice is too
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high on the internet. Pitches up.
00:00:08
When he does the intros I pitches a I speak in Millennial
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up talk so that people can feel comfortable immediately and then
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I hit him with my podcast. Hey everybody.
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Welcome Welcome to dead cat. Tom here.
00:00:31
Got the Full House Eric and Katie and very exciting episode
00:00:36
for you guys. It's a two-parter.
00:00:37
We haven't done one of those in a while.
00:00:39
But first off, Eric is going to fill us all in on his time.
00:00:42
At Collision, the u.s. branch of the web Summit conference and
00:00:47
his takes on the state of venture capital investing.
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And I don't know, whatever fun panels that he contributed to,
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and then we've got an interview that Eric and I did a couple
00:00:58
days earlier with Lord eddard, a Bloomberg journalist who wrote a
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book about Jewel, which is a tech company.
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We decided through the course of that interview and it is a text
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story. You were skeptical.
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I'm like if their nose becomes a text Story.
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I mean do you want? You won the Overture back.
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Yes, art up. And we get into it and yeah, you
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won me over was like yeah, it's Hardware.
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Its Hardware, I got it now. But anyway, so we talked we
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talked to Lauren in the wake of jewels the decision by the FDA
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to yank Jewel of the shells which now apparently has been
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stayed. And and so when we recorded that
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interview Jewel, I believe was not like it had just been struck
00:01:36
down by the FDA but since then there's been an injunction so
00:01:39
keep that in mind as you listen to her interview.
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So is that fair that's a good update on where things are with
00:01:43
Jewel and the FDA? Yeah, I'm glad we get a moment
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of just the three of us hanging out.
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I feel like we always have guests on and then and there's
00:01:51
someone choose if they have their own opinions.
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I know who Jerry, I love the Gary as guests talking about.
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Artificial intelligence. What I hear?
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He was a man after my own heart and that he had a lot of takes
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that he wanted to make sure he distributed to the world.
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He was like, this is a random sidebar that I want to miss my
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show down random sidebars and I want to unload on people games.
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Like, I'm going to serve up a couple takes on.
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Stoughton, exactly everything. I'm too lazy to write up for a
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newsletter. I intend to get on the air here
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so at least I'm like On the record somewhere, but this is
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all our gas. This is really muddy it up.
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This is the alternative to Twitter.
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This is what I always tell myself, it's like I had this
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take, there is no upside for me, tweeting it out, but if I can do
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it here, maybe no one will cancel known right out of you
00:02:44
and there's no Barrel mechanisms, right?
00:02:49
So few people get cancelled for podcast episodes in comparison
00:02:52
to tweets. That's, that's not how there's
00:02:53
time yet. Yeah, Eric give us the rundown
00:02:56
on collision. Why don't you even explain what
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Collision is? I don't know if I did the best
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job. What is this conference in
00:03:01
Toronto? This case?
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Okay. So not only is this a conference
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in Toronto it was once a conference in Spain.
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In the year of Our Lord 2016 isn't that when you were you at
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Collision then? Yeah.
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Listen is this like huge huge. Huge Tech conference.
00:03:15
It is so huge. That you actually feel like you
00:03:18
are in a cattle call. It doesn't make any sense.
00:03:21
You'd I don't hate it. So much Eric's going to give us
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a real definition but I just know that a collision in 2016.
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Tom was there then thank you, commissioner web.
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Some it was Of summit. It's owned by the same company.
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Yeah. They're the same web Summits.
00:03:34
The huge one in Lisbon, which is 100 people.
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Collisions big is 35, so it is a smaller one, a 35.
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They're both organized by ADI Cosgrave.
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It's a bunch of Irish people. You know, if you hear anybody
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with an Irish accent, you're like, are you you're in church?
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Are this? Yeah, that's analogous.
00:03:50
Irish were in charge of collisions in Toronto, web,
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Summits and Lisbon. I think both cities pay them a
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bunch of money. I think Lisbon pays them like 11
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million dollars a year or something.
00:04:00
I'm not saying it almost insane government handout I've ever
00:04:03
seen in my life. We had regular dinners and like
00:04:05
16th century castles. Yeah, I moderated two panels on
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sort of the Venture Capital Stage, which is smaller more
00:04:13
intimate about sort of the, you know, Venture World crumbling
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and one with hey, mate, General Catalyst, who had profiled then
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I did a main stage interview which is huge, similar similar.
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Sort of is the bubble bursting themes.
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My main take honestly, is that they're the conference?
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I loved it. The conference is really good at
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giving the elites I totally different conference that
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everybody else. Like, if you're a speaker, you
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get a badge that allows you into the forum where, you know, only
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the speaker's go and they serve you lunch and dinner and
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breakfast, and there's coffee. And you can like, never have to
00:04:54
go in with the riffraff. There's a similar one for media.
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That's like much worse. So I just Out in the Forum all
00:05:01
day and then yeah, they invite speakers to drinks it.
00:05:05
So I feel bad almost even admitting it but it is a very
00:05:08
like, I mean you can see the logic to it which is you get the
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speakers to go because they're going to have this sort of more
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intimate conference experience and then you get everyone else
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to go because they're going to be able to hear from the
00:05:22
speakers that they want to. So there there is a certain
00:05:25
logic but it is sort of yeah. My experience was Great.
00:05:30
Because it was sort of the rarefied version of the calm.
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You think it's the rarefied, I'm sure there's a version of it,
00:05:36
that's even a higher level above you that you're not invited to.
00:05:39
Well, you said, I don't the real cute.
00:05:41
This is like, see what is it? CES and Vegas is so similar,
00:05:45
right? You have this huge conference
00:05:47
with far, too many people coming together to basically, look at
00:05:51
an exhibition Hall, and go here speakers.
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And then there is the presenters area their experience.
00:05:57
And then there are the people who go to CES and never pretend
00:06:00
anything that's private dinner, right?
00:06:02
They go to Rupert Murdoch. Sweet, exactly.
00:06:05
Yeah. Well there, yeah, they have an
00:06:06
event afterwards called Founders, which is sort of a
00:06:09
small scale. I think I could have gotten into
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that. I I've been to Founders.
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We will do an episode about Founders and which I will bring
00:06:16
other people that read founders with me 16, because it's a real,
00:06:19
it's a real experience, it's crazy, but I did.
00:06:22
I got to go to a dinner. The beauty of being a one-man
00:06:26
show is that I like that the top person in my, my media
00:06:29
organization. So yeah, he's at a dinner with
00:06:32
the what the I guess, editor-in-chief of the
00:06:34
Washington Post, like president of ABC News executive producer
00:06:38
of 60 Minutes, Sean Kelly from Puck Peter Kafka was there.
00:06:43
So that was a cool sort of media.
00:06:46
Who's, who experienced the editor of refinery29 was sitting
00:06:51
across from me. It's immediate, I'm so curious.
00:06:53
So, The obviously venture-backed media is struggling, so,
00:06:59
bizarre, conversation about that, where people talking about
00:07:01
was going on with Bice, I mean, refinery29 had its own issues,
00:07:05
what's their part of speed? Exactly.
00:07:08
What's going on at BuzzFeed and they sort of disaster that that
00:07:13
became or did the dinner completely?
00:07:15
Do you guys just ignore ignore this all together and have fun?
00:07:18
No, I'm over talking about media.
00:07:19
Was it off the Record? Can you what did who by the way
00:07:22
is the editor-in-chief of the Washington Post.
00:07:24
Isn't it Sally Busby I was just like Sally Busby.
00:07:27
Yeah I wasn't seated near her. She was definitely.
00:07:30
I mean a lot a lot of questions for Busby I did hear someone.
00:07:32
I don't know if it was off the Record or not, so I'm gonna be
00:07:35
someone definitely did. There's like I'm, you know,
00:07:37
you've really handled this like Twitter thing, very well, you
00:07:41
know, just like someone's like, yeah, I'm sure like she doesn't
00:07:44
want to, even be brought up, but like this Twitter thing, being
00:07:48
the insane implosion that happened around two reporters.
00:07:53
It's everything you Imagine with like top people will sort of
00:07:56
back slapping each other where they probably have only like
00:07:58
consume like a tenth of what's go, you know.
00:08:00
They just like it's like God there's there's definitely some
00:08:04
of it where it feels like I don't know.
00:08:07
Senior people and media are. I didn't talk to her at all so
00:08:10
I'm not talking about her but they're not.
00:08:13
As in the weeds, the senior people in media necessarily is
00:08:16
all the reporters and you can get sort of feel the make much,
00:08:20
much, much more money than a reporter for doing more work.
00:08:25
If someone is complimenting Busby, I can say, that's gonna
00:08:28
work. There was, someone is
00:08:29
complimenting Busby for handling the Twitter thing.
00:08:32
Well, that's kind of the point of the dinner where I maybe I
00:08:34
get up and get these Twitter. Things is to handle them.
00:08:39
Well, is literally to try to pretend they didn't happen
00:08:41
because so I talked to somebody who is thinking about should I
00:08:44
go, you know, I want to go to Washington Post, or should I go
00:08:48
to the New York Times, the post's just had this issue and I
00:08:50
said, what do you remember? This thing that happened at the
00:08:54
New York Times that eventuated in the firing of the head of our
00:08:58
op-ed section. He literally couldn't remember,
00:08:59
it happened two years ago. So I think these things go James
00:09:03
Bennett and are forgotten, right?
00:09:05
As quickly as they like explodes, only the sickest
00:09:08
external is the remember that fire, right, right?
00:09:11
Yeah, that is not. So the funny thing about asking
00:09:14
you this question, Eric is like what everyone would want to say,
00:09:16
coming out of a conference was like, what was the temperature?
00:09:19
What was the sense of it? But either you weren't really in
00:09:21
like the, you know the riffraff you were just The elites, which
00:09:25
I may be gives you like the high level understanding what's going
00:09:28
on the mood. I mean, all the panels were
00:09:30
like, is the world ending but then the, you know, the
00:09:33
panelists themselves backstage, you know, want to like, have you
00:09:35
ever? No, stay stay upbeat so I think.
00:09:39
Yeah, I definitely sort of the market turning.
00:09:42
I mean, ever, that's everybody. Everybody's talking about that
00:09:46
and crypto taking a nosedive. I mean, that was definitely a
00:09:48
big Conversation Piece, you know, Wesley Chan was there, he
00:09:52
just started a new fun. So I mean even though the
00:09:55
world's ending people are clearly willing to like start
00:09:58
start new things. I mean, know those things
00:10:00
probably took a long time to get going.
00:10:02
It takes a long time for the world to end.
00:10:03
I think that's what people forget.
00:10:05
You know. Like even if you agree that
00:10:06
we're on like an inexorable March towards some sort of
00:10:09
dissolution, it's not going to happen overnight.
00:10:12
You know these things right funds will still be raised.
00:10:14
Its capital will be deployed Ryan Peterson and Flex for.
00:10:17
It was definitely the best speaker.
00:10:20
I mean he's just good at being history story in that he was
00:10:23
doing. So some of it it's like okay
00:10:25
I've heard this so many times now but he is good at he's like
00:10:29
oh we think we're going to do five billion in Revenue, you
00:10:31
know, he's just he drops in very specific stuff.
00:10:34
He was also really Self-flagellating when it came
00:10:38
to hiring Dave, Clark, from Amazon, you know, he's like,
00:10:41
Ryan's just like, you know, I was looking at everything, I
00:10:44
know how to do and everything he knows how to do, and he's better
00:10:47
me than all of it. So I was like, oh, I guess you
00:10:49
should be CEO with that but then he couldn't help using the
00:10:52
euphemism of. I'm stepping up to be executive
00:10:56
chairman. You know, like people love to
00:10:57
get promoted out of the CEO job but overall he was very good.
00:11:03
I think you re spoke I was promoted out of the top jaw.
00:11:06
Job. I was that's good.
00:11:09
Anyway, Ryan is great that we should have him on the show.
00:11:12
I feel like there's always it's Logistics lot going on there.
00:11:17
I feel like you're kind of at the Nexus of a low points in the
00:11:20
international capitalistic Market.
00:11:22
I just find it. So shocking that people still
00:11:24
want to go to things like Collision like this.
00:11:26
Pandemic was forced to make some of the worst things go away and
00:11:29
conferences are like back by the fact that Davos just happened.
00:11:33
I have always hated conferences. So this is my bias but I did
00:11:38
think to myself. Maybe people want to do
00:11:40
something else with their time. I was wrong.
00:11:44
I was so wrong. Conferences are back.
00:11:46
It's efficient way to see a lot of people that you would like to
00:11:49
talk to. I definitely feel like I made a
00:11:51
bunch of news sources. I did a hysterical small rent
00:11:55
Round Table. It was like me and like four
00:11:57
other people, explaining them, how to build lifelong
00:12:01
relationships with media, where like, I feel like if that if
00:12:05
that were Did I ever really gave all my my media dark arts to for
00:12:09
random people that I'd never met the random for people who showed
00:12:20
up at a round table for an hour where I just monologue to about,
00:12:23
you know, media you should have charged for that.
00:12:26
Are you still collecting business cards at conferences?
00:12:28
No, that was your thing for a while.
00:12:29
No, I don't bring mine, but now I just ask your peoples number
00:12:33
right, right there. Very personal, it is funny.
00:12:36
Conference, it's the sea adult. It's the last adult place.
00:12:39
You can go to have Camp friends. You know, you have those people
00:12:42
that you like meet up with early and then you're like, oh, we
00:12:45
should hang out at all the different events together.
00:12:48
Yeah. Yeah, they were Myself by
00:12:49
Southwest bloody. Right.
00:12:50
I think the reason conference is persist is that there's just
00:12:53
enough to make like to appeal to the weaknesses and narcissism is
00:12:56
of all the different types of person that goes to a
00:12:59
conference. But no one's really willing to
00:13:01
call it out for the uselessness that every other part of it is,
00:13:04
you know, right. Because nobody, I mean the
00:13:06
panels are sort of beside the point.
00:13:09
I'm not really sure what I've ever heard.
00:13:10
But execs like to be asked to speak on the panel there, like I
00:13:13
get to be on a stage, right? Because I have a microphone
00:13:16
enough to spell a plowed, dude, on CNBC, I need to say the same
00:13:21
thing, that doesn't say anything to it.
00:13:23
Even smaller group of people write, I write a truly insane,
00:13:27
though. The people who just fly in just
00:13:29
for their panel. I'm like, nobody loves consuming
00:13:32
this, like, what what's the point?
00:13:34
Because it's live, audiences you You get a here, you get to see
00:13:37
on their faces, the recognition, when they in take your
00:13:39
Brilliance, whereas when you're doing on CNBC you're talking
00:13:42
into a piece of glass. So our Executives like just
00:13:45
frustrated former theater kid. They talked down to the theater
00:13:48
kids. Like they definitely bullied
00:13:49
them but they also understood the core truth of what the
00:13:54
theater kids wanted, which was, you know, they want to be on
00:13:56
stage, they want to show. They need to fill that hole in
00:13:59
their, in their heart, and their and their soul.
00:14:01
So after you came out of collision, what are the, what
00:14:05
are the It's of the venture-backed world that just
00:14:07
don't really make sense anymore. We're not going to see as much
00:14:10
of, you know, I think I feel like when obviously I don't
00:14:12
cover Tech anymore but when I did it was Hardware with the
00:14:15
future and like, direct-to-consumer.
00:14:19
Woodstock some substance. I think, you know, a lot of
00:14:22
people are turning on crypto that wouldn't have been willing
00:14:25
to before or now, right. Well, you know, there are people
00:14:29
who are like, who are skeptical dipping their toes in it,
00:14:32
without it, who, you know, who now are seem Skeptical, trauma
00:14:37
on all in was talking about uh Chris Dixon and sort of the, you
00:14:42
know, Venture firms. Basically, you know, selling
00:14:45
tokens along the way and getting rich quick and like that being
00:14:48
sort of a big area, big question marks that super interesting, it
00:14:52
was hysterical to see each machine on someone else.
00:14:55
When of course, his SPAC performance has been totally
00:14:59
under scrutinized. It was like a bullet point of my
00:15:01
newsletter, but definitely on a permanent to-do list of hold
00:15:05
Shema. Ah, accountable for taking a
00:15:08
bunch of companies public that have seen their stocks, tanked
00:15:11
in the beauty, of course abuse sponsor, you get a cut of the
00:15:14
value, the company and it's only if you had to do the private
00:15:17
round and evaluation you really got screwed.
00:15:20
I think in most cases, he avoided doing that.
00:15:22
He got other people told the bag.
00:15:24
So I mean, the death of spax, is ongoing the death of not death,
00:15:28
but a sort of sinking values of crypto.
00:15:32
I mean, bird is down to like 160 160.
00:15:36
Yeah in yeah I just reported that even Sequoia, you know, has
00:15:39
held onto doordash and unity some two of their biggest bets.
00:15:44
Those are down significantly. BuzzFeed is a spec that's
00:15:47
obviously eating shit. Yeah, it'll be funny.
00:15:50
I'm interested which of these high-profile spax like eats it
00:15:53
first. Like if BuzzFeed is like the I
00:15:57
don't know. One of the iconic companies of
00:15:59
this downturn that would be really lame for media, but I
00:16:02
think I think you're onto something Erica.
00:16:04
I really do think that shimoff is going to Be held accountable
00:16:07
and sort of be seen as, like, one of the great, you know, snow
00:16:10
almost you could add. Some will say, I would not say
00:16:12
this, but some could say, kind of charlatans of the spec era.
00:16:15
And I think you'll see a real change, their somebody has to do
00:16:18
the math. Like, how much did he make?
00:16:20
And how much did other people lose?
00:16:21
And, yeah, I mean, yeah, the math there.
00:16:24
So, I think what's interesting is that Tech is the most visible
00:16:27
part of the downturn because the stocks for, it's a lot of public
00:16:30
market companies and they were doing so, so well, so it feels
00:16:34
like an early indicator but I I think that we live in a world
00:16:37
especially because we have the combination, very low, interest
00:16:40
rates and a lot of money. When I say a lot of money, I
00:16:43
made a lot of money being taken out of things like the stock
00:16:47
market and put into the hands of private equity.
00:16:50
And that the downturn that happens in other sectors might
00:16:54
not be as visible this early on, but we could see later and have
00:16:58
real impact later. It's almost like it for our
00:17:01
purposes tech stocks, or the canary in the coal.
00:17:04
Mine of something bigger, right? And the world is so
00:17:07
interconnected and at the very sort of like riskiest part of
00:17:11
the of the market. So everything from like public
00:17:14
companies out to private equity and Venture Capital that it's
00:17:18
hard for me to believe that this the this stops with tech stocks
00:17:22
and sort of a tech industry, right?
00:17:24
And then I guess the last thing is that the first the first like
00:17:28
would like really Clarion call about housing bubble and the
00:17:32
residential mortgage-backed security risk.
00:17:34
This started happening was probably a 20 2005.
00:17:38
So it took until September of 2008 for the collapsed.
00:17:44
I know these things are so slow. Being in the preview, read about
00:17:47
faith and it's about trust. And so, people will fall
00:17:50
themselves for a really long time, until they suddenly wake
00:17:52
up and say, we can't do it anymore, then they all label and
00:17:54
then the books. Don't even come until after
00:17:56
that. And that's when everybody
00:17:57
concludes would actually happen. So it is this amazing thing
00:18:00
where the reporters early on are like, oh, this is looking bad,
00:18:03
it's starting to happen and then the big Stories.
00:18:06
Come you know and then the final actions come and then the books
00:18:09
time your let you know I mean in the movies or even later, right?
00:18:12
Exactly. It's just like the movies about
00:18:14
the founders came exactly as we've been processing on this
00:18:17
podcast so long after you know years after and so yeah right
00:18:23
The Big Short came years after the last downturn.
00:18:25
So I think what's changed is we have this Twitter world where
00:18:28
people not just reporters would everybody is consuming the
00:18:31
narratives very quickly get the information right away but then
00:18:35
the sort of Entertainment, info, industrial complex.
00:18:38
Still takes a while to what I said, wonder about is like, with
00:18:42
the housing bubble and the collapse.
00:18:45
There was all of this interconnectedness and and
00:18:47
over-leveraged companies, over-leveraged assets and I
00:18:50
don't really see the same. I'm trying to find like, what is
00:18:53
the over-leveraged or like, what is the leverage here with time?
00:18:56
It was, the issue is that the banks were amongst the group of
00:18:59
over-leveraged, lenders and over-leveraged actors.
00:19:03
And the banks also had to do a lot of other functions.
00:19:05
Or the economy, keeping the money flowing all around the
00:19:08
world and like keeping keeping our savings accounts open.
00:19:12
I mean like there was. So part of the issue, is that
00:19:15
such a central part of the economy was in such big trouble,
00:19:19
and shirer and Banks, because of Dodd-Frank.
00:19:24
I mean, Jesus Christ, I can't believe I'm saying this if
00:19:26
nothing else that possible piece of legislation, if nothing else
00:19:30
but it did is it did Force big financial institutions to hold
00:19:34
cash on hand. To offset risky assets like if
00:19:38
even if that's all it actually accomplish, that's good because
00:19:41
it means it's less. Likely that a central player in
00:19:44
the economy, could go down in flames but so Tom, you're right.
00:19:48
What if it is just a lot of hedge funds that start
00:19:50
imploding. It's hard for me to argue that.
00:19:54
Even a very large hedge fund is so interconnected.
00:19:56
And so important to the world that its collapse will really,
00:20:02
really hurt Main Street. And the way that the Housing,
00:20:06
collapse and attendant. Securitized Finance.
00:20:09
Collapse hurt. Yeah.
00:20:11
Like the most that I could see here is the contagion sort of
00:20:14
spreading to quote unquote, non tech stocks because from my
00:20:19
perspective, what's really happening here is just a
00:20:21
revaluation of these companies. A lot of them have businesses
00:20:24
that are more or less the same. You haven't seen a huge downturn
00:20:27
and revenue quarterly that may happen.
00:20:29
But what's happened is, you know, investors basically said,
00:20:31
oh maybe they're not worth a hundred X multiples on their
00:20:34
revenue, maybe they're only worth.
00:20:35
Or 3x or 10x or something. And over the last couple of
00:20:39
years, I just saw this covering media.
00:20:41
There were a lot of companies that were looking very
00:20:43
longingly. At these insane multiples, the
00:20:45
tech companies had and they're like, oh, how can we pinch
00:20:47
ourselves in a tech like way in a growth like way?
00:20:50
So it seems like it's a, we can get the and that's what Disney
00:20:52
did, right? They basically said, actually,
00:20:54
we're streaming company and they one day just got valued at like,
00:20:58
you know, I can't remember that the multiple difference, but,
00:21:01
you know, significantly more than they were just because they
00:21:03
call themselves a streaming company.
00:21:05
And They're down along with, you know, the rest of the market
00:21:08
about. I mean, valuation, we says been
00:21:10
sort of a key key piece of this. I wanted.
00:21:12
I forgot a funny thing. I didn't tell you I was looking
00:21:15
at but finally my ears were figuring out the market painting
00:21:19
classic fashion, you know? You know, I was in here, I went
00:21:22
early for like the ventured a collision.
00:21:25
And, you know, there was a guy, you know, in shorts, right,
00:21:30
which of course, I think was the richest guy.
00:21:32
There he is. One of the top people.
00:21:35
Or if not the top people at multi coin.
00:21:39
Have you even heard of this one? Either of you heard of this
00:21:42
fund. I love the name, though.
00:21:44
Multi coin according to their last filing which I pulled up
00:21:48
while we're on this call. This was at the end end of last
00:21:51
year, I think so. So they've certainly sunk
00:21:54
significantly from this. But they had eight point nine
00:21:59
billion dollars in assets under management.
00:22:01
You never even heard of them. I mean that's how big some of
00:22:04
these crypto funds have gotten this.
00:22:05
Guys standing around shorts that I think there are 17 people that
00:22:09
work there. So this guy got they're huge in
00:22:12
Solana and they're huge in helium.
00:22:15
And I mean, it seemed like they were just holding it holding on
00:22:20
tight, you know. It's like we don't sell that
00:22:22
sort of. That was the attitude.
00:22:24
Yeah, it was he was amazed that you should follow up with that
00:22:26
guy that. Yeah.
00:22:28
Yeah, he may, he may lose his shorts with the last few minutes
00:22:31
before we catch her interview with Lauren.
00:22:32
Do you want to quickly talk about the overturn of Road?
00:22:35
Wade and all the tech companies that put out statements saying
00:22:39
that they will support their employees crossing state lines,
00:22:42
but Duolingo, did a good job, right?
00:22:43
Didn't they say he was threatening Pennsylvania?
00:22:47
I don't know. Katie Katie, do you have?
00:22:49
I think that there are tech companies.
00:22:51
There were also like larger companies like Dick's Sporting
00:22:54
Goods. I think, JP Morgan said we will
00:22:58
pay if our employees need to cross their minds on that
00:23:02
tangent portion. Yeah.
00:23:03
And and Susan will. She keep basically came out and
00:23:04
said, like, I understand? I run a company and I understand
00:23:07
there are a lot of different opinions on this issue in the
00:23:09
company but my personal opinion is terrible.
00:23:12
So I think the two questions Beyond like the making of the
00:23:16
statements, which being realistic people inside, those
00:23:19
companies are going to have a variety of opinions on.
00:23:21
They're not going to agree is for corporate.
00:23:25
America one do States passed a legislation.
00:23:30
We're doing something like providing that kind of funding
00:23:33
and transport violates law. Not that the I moved from one
00:23:37
state to another and cross the border, which I think have a
00:23:40
knot in his separate. Decision says, he does not think
00:23:43
should you know, he lets you can't go after people just for
00:23:46
leaving their state to obtain an abortion, but can a company be
00:23:50
attacked for aiding and abetting an illegal act.
00:23:53
So I think that's like a big gray area that have to be worked
00:23:55
out. The other thing is our will
00:23:58
companies be eager to headquarter in states, where
00:24:01
abortion is just straight-up illegal or highly restricted.
00:24:05
So so that throws Texas which has been the recipient of so
00:24:09
much business. So many people setting up
00:24:11
companies, they're so much investment.
00:24:13
What happens to Texas what happens to Florida and then what
00:24:16
happened? You know.
00:24:17
So there there are definitely bigger questions Beyond like the
00:24:20
making of the statement which of course would make sense that
00:24:23
that happens in the moment, but you were going to have to see
00:24:27
those bigger questions. Worked out.
00:24:29
And worked out pretty quickly. Yeah.
00:24:30
No, I completely agree. I'm actually more interested in
00:24:34
people Reckoning with that. That reality of so much energy
00:24:38
and effort. I mean, basically boosterism for
00:24:40
Texas and Florida by prominent people in The Tech Community.
00:24:44
Now, having to deal with the fact that, yeah, these states
00:24:46
are not politically aligned with what you claim to stand for.
00:24:49
And what are you going to do? I mean, you can shit all over
00:24:51
California for its anti business proposals, and statutes and
00:24:55
culture. But politically you're far more
00:24:58
aligned with the people that you are in those other states.
00:25:00
And what you going to do, I do, there will be another, I think
00:25:03
be to the story in that you Do a lot of the actual humans doing
00:25:08
the work for these. Big tech companies are employed
00:25:11
by outside contractors and they rarely get the benefit of tech
00:25:17
protections and so they're, they're all.
00:25:19
So, you know, I mean, what the poor people are more affected by
00:25:25
by these abortion rules. Obviously, they're not making
00:25:27
the high salaries and I think in a lot of critiques, the outside
00:25:32
contractor issue has sort of been met with.
00:25:36
Shrug is maybe too strong but I feel like it hasn't really hit
00:25:40
these companies. But I do think on an issue like
00:25:43
abortion where people, you know, really want everyone to have
00:25:47
access. I I would not be surprised if
00:25:50
companies like you on. Facebook got a lot more pressure
00:25:53
to make sure they're contractors.
00:25:56
Could get out to or not to have contractors in these, in these
00:25:59
states. And then, you know, yeah, we
00:26:01
talked about that in the Kiki Freeman episode that it's one
00:26:04
thing to kind of make make statements in favor of what your
00:26:07
employees want. But when you do start Crossing
00:26:10
into a world where yeah these contractors that you have are
00:26:13
not eligible for the same rights and you know, if they want to be
00:26:16
they choose to be unionized that is directly in contradiction to
00:26:18
your business interests and they have no interest in these
00:26:21
companies in furthering that at all.
00:26:24
And so they're going to walk very gingerly on this line.
00:26:27
Even though, you know, politically speaking, you know,
00:26:30
their Pappy to make statements, you know, in support of abortion
00:26:34
rights of their employees, you know, Freedom to get them, it's
00:26:37
terrible. I can say that hard hard not to
00:26:39
be like a legal realists. After this that it's just an
00:26:43
exercise of power and not sort of argument or coherency.
00:26:48
I don't know. Very, very disillusioned young
00:26:50
always hard. I don't know when these National
00:26:54
stories, sort of swamp. What's going on in?
00:26:58
Techland can be a little bit like well I think it's actually
00:27:01
just a very clear reminder When I got to think about something
00:27:07
other than Venture Capital, this is sort of the opposite.
00:27:10
It's like, how can you expect me to think about venture capital
00:27:13
and the days where I feel a little silly, sometimes, you
00:27:16
know, publishing thing. And then my cloud is so much
00:27:19
lesser in these nets, right? Or and I also feel dumb, I don't
00:27:22
know. I don't sometimes, it's good,
00:27:23
you know, you covered Tech, you repurpose it, you know, you
00:27:26
could talk about the contractor thing, but it can be a little
00:27:29
ridiculous. Every Tech reporter just trying
00:27:31
to recontextualize their bead into the national political
00:27:34
issue of And sometimes it's like you're not really the heart of
00:27:38
the story, you just happened to cover this other thing, I don't
00:27:40
know. It's a, you know, it's just an
00:27:42
awkward dance for. I also think it's just a good
00:27:44
reminder, for Tech reporters of what power really is and where
00:27:49
power really resides in this country and certainly business
00:27:51
has with Cal was awkward. Yeah, exactly.
00:27:58
Power resides in the Vatican, it's like, we think about like
00:28:01
the Chamber of Commerce or we think about big companies being
00:28:04
able to Lobby or Mark Zuckerberg.
00:28:05
Having private dinners with Trump.
00:28:07
But really it's about, you know, it's still about the three
00:28:11
branches and our state legislators but dang
00:28:14
Constitution. Well, we're going to get rid of
00:28:16
that soon enough on one level. I'm like, oh, I guess I do
00:28:20
believe in like I was thinking, oh, would I support?
00:28:24
Jeff Bezos for president, I think I would support Jeff.
00:28:27
Yes, I just had a meeting with somebody who is an executive and
00:28:31
he was so interesting. He was explaining why he doesn't
00:28:33
think the executives actually make Good political leaders
00:28:38
present, because a CEO, your job is to figure out what works
00:28:41
quote-unquote. And then do it over and over and
00:28:44
over again with only enough deviation to keep up with the
00:28:48
changes that are buffeting your business.
00:28:50
But at the end of the day, your you have one goal truly or if
00:28:54
you have multiple business line, each line has a goal but they're
00:28:57
all rowing in the same direction.
00:28:59
It's like if you are the mayor or you are the governor or
00:29:02
you're the president, you have competing Constituents not,
00:29:07
everybody is rowing in the same direction.
00:29:09
You are not supposed to the same thing over and over and over
00:29:11
again. Because you will fail.
00:29:13
And there is no measure of success, like pnl against like
00:29:17
and so people come in wanting to think it's actually very simple
00:29:20
and then they realize unfortunately that it's much
00:29:23
harder. I don't know.
00:29:24
And that was from somebody who is a CEO Katie, you know, you
00:29:26
need to go back and read him as on Unbound Brad's book on is a,
00:29:31
I mean, it really there really Hard or they're taking a lot of
00:29:37
time off because their knees hurt because I'm making them
00:29:39
pack your boxes on the floor. So I'm going to get them knee
00:29:42
pads and I thought, there you go.
00:29:43
Tactical exactly what I mean. Phasers comes off as someone
00:29:47
who's good at like okay, we hear all the fires burning.
00:29:49
I'm gonna push you on this but you and that you know I don't
00:29:52
know, fires burning around a single goal making money for the
00:29:57
company. It's not like a look at sure.
00:30:01
This is their fight because keep in mind that when Roe versus
00:30:04
Wade happened, there was a significant portion the country
00:30:06
that was very happy and felt that a goal had been realized.
00:30:10
So you're managing just on one issue, completely competing
00:30:16
constituencies because when you're president, even if you're
00:30:18
democrat or republican, it's still all the people.
00:30:21
I this tight, I can see your argument an abstract.
00:30:24
But then if I actually had to compare the strengths and
00:30:29
weaknesses of the, various top Democratic contenders or the
00:30:32
current president, I'd say, uh, I Of these people, you know, the
00:30:37
Caribbean. What, what's his name
00:30:39
Transportation? True P mayor.
00:30:42
Pete boot each Edge like that guy's next Consultants.
00:30:45
He's not even a good X. Business-minded at least basis
00:30:48
is done with the, I mean, No One's Gonna like Bezos
00:30:50
obviously, so it's sort of it's a moot point, but I was just as
00:30:54
a thought, exercise, if I could actually like, say, who would I
00:30:58
really want? Like, if I could install
00:30:59
anybody, that's the closest I come Bezos.
00:31:03
I think Tim I you know I go to Tim Cook.
00:31:06
I go Tim Cook because at least he's had to negotiate with
00:31:09
leaders around the world. Yeah, yeah, you're right.
00:31:12
He's done more of the foreign policy and he actually manages
00:31:15
like a huge Workforce. Has you be good at running an
00:31:18
Empire? It is sort of like
00:31:34
I see that. Not one.
00:31:36
Mark Zuckerberg suck forced himself to learn Mandarin.
00:31:40
So he could connect with the Chinese market that never wanted
00:31:42
Facebook in the first place. Whereas Tim actually operates in
00:31:45
China, and probably doesn't speak a word of maybe ruined.
00:31:48
So one is power. The other one is, you know,
00:31:51
goals. Anyway, on that front, we should
00:31:53
probably kick it on over to our interview with Lauren, editor of
00:31:56
Bloomberg and are fascinating discussion about the state
00:32:00
present and future of Jewel. And jewels already already
00:32:04
fought the Anning. I think temporarily.
00:32:07
So this is a story that some keep turning and she is the
00:32:10
expert. So it was you couldn't times.
00:32:12
Also keep in mind that as Eric and I were doing that interview,
00:32:14
both of us were like man, that actually sounds great like Kevin
00:32:17
Jewel. Like I said yeah I need more
00:32:19
vices, that's whatever. Yeah, because they go long take
00:32:22
a long drag on a mango Jewel pod right now.
00:32:33
We've got boring editor from Bloomberg who I've interviewed
00:32:36
once before about her book, The Devil's Playbook on Jule and
00:32:42
now, jewel is back in the news, I was hurt.
00:32:45
I was shocked to find out that the fda's thinking about or
00:32:51
intends to take them off the shelves, right?
00:32:54
What's was were you surprised by this or do you saw this one
00:32:58
coming? I definitely did not see this
00:33:00
one coming. In fact I was very And I've been
00:33:03
asked several times over the past year, what do you think the
00:33:06
FDA is going to do? And I really would have put
00:33:08
money on the FDA keeping Jewel on the market and we can talk
00:33:11
about the reasons why, but I was very surprised by the decision.
00:33:15
Yeah. I mean, you know, in some ways
00:33:18
it seems like as in lame, not as like in a scholar of the FDA or
00:33:22
something. It feels like very deserved in
00:33:25
that this was a company that, you know, as you can tell from
00:33:28
your book sort of flouted, the rules like Market it
00:33:32
aggressively Lovely. But we can you really be
00:33:35
punished for that? Sort of, I don't know when their
00:33:37
product today seems like in line with other e-cigarettes or I
00:33:40
don't know, what what have is this about I guess is this about
00:33:45
past Acts or is this about sort of the status quo a jewel?
00:33:49
Yeah, that's really interesting. I mean, going going into it, you
00:33:52
know I would have thought that the FDA would have used the
00:33:54
youth usage crisis as a way to sort of punished Jewel or to
00:33:59
seek retribution or to hold their feet to the fire.
00:34:03
But it turns out that in the decision by the FDA they didn't
00:34:07
even mention, I mean in the they sort of mentioned the youth
00:34:12
issue but that was not the reasoning that the FDA gave for
00:34:16
pulling Jewel off. The market, the FDA essentially
00:34:20
said that Jewels application that for having their product in
00:34:24
the market did not provide enough evidence and in fact,
00:34:28
sometimes provided conflicting data on some key health.
00:34:32
Shoes, including something called genotoxicity whether or
00:34:35
not the product could affect cellular change in the body of
00:34:39
potentially lead to cancer. And they mentioned that they
00:34:42
provided insufficient and conflicting data on the toxic
00:34:45
toxicology of the product. So inside of Jewel, inside of a
00:34:49
jewel pod, the little heating element that is essentially used
00:34:54
to heat up the beep to heat up the liquid, and turn it into a
00:34:56
vapor is made out of chromium and nickel and there's studies
00:35:02
out there. That indicate that when you
00:35:04
inhale the jewel Vapor, you're also inhaling some level of
00:35:10
heavy metals, so the FDA didn't specifically point to that.
00:35:14
They just said that they provided insufficient data on
00:35:18
the genotoxicity issue and on this potentially and leaching
00:35:23
issue related to the Pod. So to me it was really
00:35:27
interesting because it wasn't even, they did even conclude
00:35:30
that the data showed that there was a problem.
00:35:32
And the FDA, in fact said we don't believe that there's an
00:35:35
immediate harm associated with using this product.
00:35:38
We'd we just believe or we conclude that the that the
00:35:42
company didn't provide enough data or conflicting data so to
00:35:47
meet which seems like a technicality with their
00:35:50
application. So it's a really interesting
00:35:54
finding by the FDA. It didn't find that.
00:35:57
You know, this is a company that created a new generation of kid
00:36:01
teen nicotine addict. And therefore were punishing
00:36:04
you. So, it is actually very
00:36:06
surprising and interesting decision by the, by the FDA.
00:36:10
And obviously, Jewel has already filed a motion in court to try
00:36:14
to seek a stay to keep their products on the market.
00:36:18
And so, they're not going to go down easy.
00:36:20
There's gonna be a legal fight, the FDA could get sued.
00:36:23
So, it's definitely, you know, does not bode well for Jewel,
00:36:27
but it also, we still have some legal maneuvering.
00:36:32
In ahead of us, it seems like the story is, you know, this is
00:36:36
like the latest step in this long, slow Descent of this
00:36:40
company from its height, maybe four or five years ago to.
00:36:44
Now, whereas once, you know, they were this hugely successful
00:36:48
e-cigarette. Business that I just, as I was
00:36:51
following, it story, just as a tech reporter living in San
00:36:55
Francisco. Where, you know, there was a
00:36:56
whole controversy about them, even being headquartered in the
00:36:58
city. You know, it went from May, you
00:37:01
know, the jewel pod. Cells being banned flavor,
00:37:04
Jewel. Paul's being banned to just
00:37:08
they're generally, there was concern around at the beginning
00:37:10
of covid that vertical first, they came for our mango Jewel
00:37:13
pods. Now they writing that sort of
00:37:16
the red a. Yeah, it's been so interesting
00:37:18
to watch its paths from being, you know, what was maybe
00:37:22
arguably. One of the hottest.
00:37:23
Quote-unquote tech companies, we can get into whether you know
00:37:26
this is Tech or like what the tech connection is here to
00:37:29
something that it seems like nobody wants any part of and the
00:37:31
FDA is using Essentially technicalities to kill this
00:37:35
thing. It's quite an incredible story
00:37:37
over. Not that long a period of time.
00:37:40
Yeah, yeah, I know certainly arise.
00:37:42
Very stunning rise and fall. Remember this is a company with
00:37:46
that was valued at 38 billion dollars at its peak.
00:37:49
At one point it was bigger than the valuation of SpaceX.
00:37:52
I mean it was a huge, it was a unicorn, this kind of huge.
00:37:57
Success story investors piling in from Tiger Global to
00:38:01
Fidelity. You know, I mean the growth, the
00:38:04
growth potential and Prospect of Jewel on its Ascent was really
00:38:09
something that was stunni and it was, it was like, you couldn't
00:38:13
have a better product. In terms of customers, your
00:38:15
customer becomes highly addicted to your product and we'll buy it
00:38:20
first before food and anything else.
00:38:22
Like so they, they describe this them as sticky customers.
00:38:27
So yeah, it was a it was a very it was a very valuable tickets.
00:38:32
Nicky get that, right? Yeah.
00:38:33
That's between your fingers. All over your addiction is the
00:38:37
greatest business model of all time.
00:38:39
Yeah, Tom and I have been arguing, you see, I mean, it
00:38:43
sort of fits into the there are knows ambiguity or but you see
00:38:47
Jewel as a tech company or ever again, is this a text or a lord?
00:38:51
Yeah, I mean, it's definitely a text story.
00:38:53
You know, this is, this is a company that innovated on an old
00:38:57
product and innovated on a product and brought to bear
00:39:00
technology, if you want to call it that, I mean it you know is a
00:39:04
little essentially a little flash drive like that's it's
00:39:06
literally what they modeled their product after was a flash
00:39:09
drive. So you know, it is one of those
00:39:12
companies that kind of Falls in between the cracks, is that a
00:39:14
tech company is that a single cigarette company?
00:39:18
Is that a health company? Because there are all the really
00:39:21
there are all those Blurred Lines and there are people who
00:39:24
believe that this is a product that is for the benefit of the
00:39:28
public health because it can potentially theoretically help
00:39:31
smokers, Get off of there. They're addictive, smoking
00:39:35
habit, which we know to be very deadly.
00:39:36
So it is it is an interesting company that's for sure.
00:39:39
Blurs lies. I think it's a tobacco company.
00:39:42
At the end of the day you can't really ignore the fact that they
00:39:47
are selling nicotine clean and simple that is what they're
00:39:50
selling and to me that fits into the tobacco category.
00:39:54
But yeah, has a tech element. You got the you got the Silicon
00:39:57
Valley kind of element you. It you have the Stanford
00:40:00
creators so yeah, I don't know. I do think it's kind of falls
00:40:04
into two lines. Yeah, yeah.
00:40:05
Yeah. I know and it's funny as you're
00:40:07
going through the argument, I mean the theranos connection not
00:40:10
you know, as in this was an out-and-out scam.
00:40:12
But the fact that it was really pulling from The Playbook that
00:40:16
so many tech companies want like Stanford like raising from
00:40:18
Venture Capital like pitching it as a hardware, you know, like a
00:40:21
hardware type product whether or not it is a, you know, in its
00:40:24
Essence, a tech company or not the company Tom.
00:40:27
What is also spending a lot of energy on innovating on this?
00:40:31
Yeah, device And the flavors and it's easy to laugh at that from
00:40:35
the outside. But there was a lot of like that
00:40:37
was a big part of the come. And I want to point out that
00:40:40
this was a highly successful Innovation.
00:40:43
The cigarette hadn't been innovated in over a century
00:40:47
literally still rolling plant matter in paper and setting it
00:40:53
on fire that had not been changed.
00:40:55
So they actually did bring to bear a very a genius Innovation
00:40:59
part of which came from the tobacco industry's own.
00:41:02
Playbook from their secret files and as you document in your
00:41:06
bright and they, they did it brilliantly, their product
00:41:12
really delivered. What smokers were looking for?
00:41:15
Which was that, that throat hit that fairy quick spurred of
00:41:20
nicotine. That goes to your brain, Braga
00:41:23
surgery. Get that right.
00:41:24
All right, I gotta tell ya, I mean, I need to go for it.
00:41:26
So right now, the crazy crazy thing about it, their product
00:41:30
was highly successful. It It was in it arguably too
00:41:34
successful. They put too much nicotine in it
00:41:38
and then they didn't disclose the risks.
00:41:40
They didn't tell people that oh there's actually a shitload of
00:41:43
nicotine in there so much that you use it once and you're
00:41:45
getting it hooked right now, there are lots of copycats,
00:41:48
right? I mean that's that's relevant,
00:41:50
both for Jewel's business but also this sort of Crackdown,
00:41:53
it's interesting. They're going after Jewel but
00:41:55
not the copycats is that again one Theory would be their matted
00:41:59
tool. Another would be Jules just the
00:42:01
furthest along. So that, you know, there's more,
00:42:05
there's more history here. So, the FDA is ready to go after
00:42:08
them or that Jewels product is distinct in some way, from the
00:42:13
follow-on competitors. I mean, I know this is just
00:42:15
plain out but you have a theory of sort of which of those
00:42:18
buckets, this FDA action, sort of fits into.
00:42:20
I mean, I think there have to be a pretty big conspiracy against
00:42:23
Jewel inside the FDA that I don't know if that actually took
00:42:26
place. You know, you have to take them
00:42:28
at their word that they evaluated their application and
00:42:31
they found that their application was Is deficient,
00:42:33
and that's why they denied the application.
00:42:35
It is hard to imagine that there were no political kind of
00:42:40
aspects to this. And it's also impossible to
00:42:43
ignore the harm that Jewel inflicted on the American
00:42:46
public. And so, yeah, did that color?
00:42:49
The fda's decision. It's not supposed to.
00:42:52
This is supposed to be purely a scientific review.
00:42:55
So you got it. I at least take the FDA, the
00:42:57
word that they did. The set there were that they did
00:43:00
a scientific review and arrived at this at this.
00:43:02
Decision. So, so, yeah, I mean, in terms
00:43:05
of a copycats, it's a really interesting point in question.
00:43:09
I mean, the market is being flooded with brand new nicotine
00:43:12
products all the time and some of them fly under the radar.
00:43:16
They're not spending a hundred fifty million dollars to ask the
00:43:20
FDA for approval to sell their product.
00:43:23
They're just this product that's on the market, they end up in
00:43:25
vape shops. People are selling it, then
00:43:27
there's a black market, you can get it on the black market and
00:43:29
remember a lot of these products.
00:43:32
Are really built on the back of jewels Innovation, which is very
00:43:36
stinging for Jewel because some of them are literal copycats
00:43:40
Black Market. But others actually just derive.
00:43:43
Some of the Innovation from Jewel, for example, the the
00:43:46
nicotine salts that was jewels kind of discovery that really
00:43:51
made their product pop. Now, there are a million
00:43:54
products that have nicotine salts in them, some of the
00:43:57
products, even look like Jewel. So, you know, it is a little in
00:44:02
terms of Like, is this going to solve a problem?
00:44:04
Like, will taking Jewel off the market solve, some bigger
00:44:07
problem about youth, nicotine addiction?
00:44:09
It's just the fact is that there are so many products that are
00:44:13
currently on the market that came after Julian that are.
00:44:15
In fact, very similar to Jewel and the FDA doesn't really have
00:44:18
the enforcement resources to go to all these deep shops to see
00:44:23
what's being sold. You know, they are they actually
00:44:25
are a little bit stretched in terms of the enforcement
00:44:29
resources that they have. So yeah, it's a huge.
00:44:32
Huge loss for Jewel. They're going to fight it
00:44:35
obviously, but I will say it's a huge win for all of these other
00:44:39
companies and all of the end, the two companies that are so
00:44:43
Jules number one right in the market.
00:44:45
Yeah, number two is Reynolds views.
00:44:48
Number three is enjoy both of those products.
00:44:52
Receipt, their pmta authorization, it's funny.
00:44:56
By the way Lauren that you bring up Reynolds.
00:44:58
As one of the winners here, I've been bugging Eric and almost
00:45:00
everyone else about this recently but I I'm rereading
00:45:03
Barbarians at the gate and there's a hilarious passage or
00:45:06
section where they talk about their attempts to develop, you
00:45:09
know, 30 years ago, the smokeless cigarette, which was a
00:45:13
disaster back then, you know, it right?
00:45:15
It tasted like shit. He said, right?
00:45:17
Right, yeah, hilarious scene. Where the CEO of RJR Nabisco is
00:45:20
like making all of his wealthy friends try.
00:45:23
You know, an early prototype of the smoke was cigarette and
00:45:25
they're all like, dude, this is disgusting.
00:45:27
You cannot use that. And that would kind of ends up
00:45:29
precipitating, but, you know, the whole drama on the story
00:45:31
because they can't innovate at all.
00:45:32
But It is funny to see, you know, a cigarette company, not
00:45:35
able to do it a tech company, does it 30 years later?
00:45:38
Now it's getting fucked by the regulatory, you know, a
00:45:41
structure and big tobacco, whatever you want to call
00:45:43
Reynolds these days. Somehow, emerges Victorious, all
00:45:46
these years later to kind of leap off the, you know, the
00:45:49
technology and product that was built by another company.
00:45:52
So it seems like the establishment if you want to
00:45:55
refer to it as that kind of one in the end here.
00:45:58
Yeah, well yeah. And then that also the irony
00:46:01
layered on top of that Is that Altria, of course, formerly
00:46:05
known, as Philip Morris the maker of Marlboro, cigarettes
00:46:08
had this huge investment in Jewel were twelve point eight
00:46:11
billion dollars. It's now worth a fraction of
00:46:13
that like 1.6, I'm sorry billion now worth about 1.6 billion
00:46:17
dollars. They had their own product and
00:46:19
they took their own product off the market to back Jewel.
00:46:23
So not only. Yeah, not only did they have the
00:46:27
worst investment make the worst investment or one of the worst
00:46:31
in American history, history. But they also lost out on an
00:46:35
opportunity to develop their own IP, their own product and
00:46:40
basically bet on the wrong horse.
00:46:42
Yeah. Did the original on is what I
00:46:44
always wanted. Did they get away with it?
00:46:46
Did did the original sort of Jewel, Founders, truel, money
00:46:50
tiger, like, are there? So, I mean, they got paid out
00:46:53
big by Ultra and then had some steak or who's sort of still up
00:46:58
big time over this Jewel project and use who's out of the.
00:47:01
Yeah, I think so. This or this coming.
00:47:03
I mean the absolutely if you want to say they got away with
00:47:07
it fine. Absolutely.
00:47:10
The the founder, you're like your word Islanders habitual
00:47:15
made out like Bandits the board of directors made out like
00:47:19
Bandits on that twelve point eight billion dollar deal and
00:47:23
basically you know, they're not at the company anymore or have a
00:47:27
diminished role. Not really involved in the
00:47:29
day-to-day Affairs and became billionaires.
00:47:32
There's and then those that were already billionaires, including
00:47:35
Nick pritzker are, you know, even more billionaire, ask X
00:47:40
over 3 billion are rolling back. The clock a little bit to the
00:47:44
are aware tool was on the rise and I remember at when I was
00:47:48
working at the information at the time, we ran a couple
00:47:50
stories about the dithering among Venture capitalists about
00:47:53
whether or not they could even invest in Joule, because it
00:47:56
would be you run afoul of their advice Clauses that they
00:47:59
couldn't really be investing in a company, that was contributing
00:48:01
to, You know, addiction and well Nellie's nicotine addiction,
00:48:07
what is your sense of how those people might be feeling at this
00:48:10
point? I mean, you know, what do you
00:48:12
mean like, was the, what was going on among the VC Community
00:48:15
as Jewell is on the rise. So we know that Jewel was
00:48:18
brilliant at its marketing. Maybe, you know, obviously there
00:48:21
early marketing was ended up going down in history as being
00:48:25
maybe their original sin if you will.
00:48:27
But I'm only saying that because too good, but I will say in The
00:48:32
reason I bring that up is because they were also very good
00:48:34
salesman on these. The two founders of the company,
00:48:38
really, first of all, they believed in their product, they
00:48:41
believe, like why are we still smoking?
00:48:43
It's really stupid. It kills people, why can't we
00:48:45
find a healthier safer way to do it?
00:48:47
So they come up Jewel. So they really did believe.
00:48:51
And there's actually this very big Public Health movement,
00:48:54
that's been gaining Steam for the past two decades that argues
00:48:57
that if smokers really want to keep smoking because they're
00:49:01
addicted to nicotine. That's You continue smoking.
00:49:03
If we just find a way to give them nicotine in a way that
00:49:07
doesn't involve combustion, then like that would be great.
00:49:10
You could save a lot of lives. You could, you could, you could
00:49:13
render the cigarette moots. So they really sold that story.
00:49:19
They sold the story of this being not only an innovation but
00:49:23
it's an innovation that is a very promising for public health
00:49:28
and the greater good. So, that's the story that they
00:49:31
shopped around and I think that Really got the attention, a lot
00:49:33
of a lot of venture capitalists and that made them sort of like
00:49:37
set aside, this kind of like, dirty association with big
00:49:40
tobacco and you know, doesn't really run afoul of the vice
00:49:43
Clause because it's actually helping people.
00:49:46
So that's been always kind of like the twin kind of thing with
00:49:49
Jewel. It's like it's like the problem
00:49:53
is that they they packaged it as it as it having this health
00:49:58
promise but then they sold it like a Silicon Valley.
00:50:02
Company sells widgets like a Silicon Valley company sells
00:50:06
scooters, you know bird Scooters or you know, you name whatever
00:50:10
product and they sold it in a way that was, very
00:50:13
irresponsible, so the initial launching of it, and sort of
00:50:16
like the get the Gathering of the money and finding backers,
00:50:21
and Gainey earning, sympathy of them.
00:50:23
Like it was kind of all wrapped up in this package and I don't
00:50:28
think that it caused too many people.
00:50:30
Too many of these investors a lot of Heartache.
00:50:33
Honestly, because ultimately they could say, you know, this
00:50:36
is. Yeah, sure might be a
00:50:37
controversial product, but at the end of the day, it's going
00:50:40
to help a lot of people. If this truly were embraced by
00:50:43
Tech, you would have seen a lot more people out there right now,
00:50:46
you know, railing against the regulatory state for stopping
00:50:49
this Innovation from from, you know, continuing its March.
00:50:52
And instead there's really not been that much.
00:50:55
I've seen from the tech community.
00:50:56
So it again, puts it in this weird nether region.
00:50:59
I think, you know, a lot of people aren't really excited to
00:51:01
get out and defend Will they are certainly a lot of, you know,
00:51:04
the people, this Pro-V promote movement, that fair feel very
00:51:07
strongly about the right to vape and you know, that, you know,
00:51:10
come out in their defense but, you know, going forward.
00:51:14
Yeah, there's going to be a lot of legal maneuvering if they get
00:51:16
a stay that potentially means that they could keep their
00:51:18
product on the shelves. So remember, 90% of jewels sales
00:51:23
are in the United States. They have the res open the 90%,
00:51:27
so wiping out that market potentially wipes out Jewel.
00:51:31
They have some foreign It's but they're very tidy so if they
00:51:34
don't win or if they don't if they are able to push back or if
00:51:38
they are able to continue selling the product or screwed
00:51:41
but yeah so what does that mean? For Jewel bankruptcy potentially
00:51:46
likes. You know, it's it's definitely a
00:51:50
potential there but I don't think jewel is going to give up
00:51:53
that easily. They have an arsenal of lawyers,
00:51:57
they have a lot of very smart lawyers, who have litigated in
00:52:00
this space for It's and who are veterans of the Tobacco Wars and
00:52:05
know exactly how the game works. So I would have write them off
00:52:10
immediately, but it's definitely gonna spend it.
00:52:12
They're going to spend a lot of money to keep the product on the
00:52:15
shelf and it's gonna be, you know, it's going to be a cloud
00:52:17
that's continuing to hang over the company for, for quite some
00:52:21
time. So yeah, we shall see what
00:52:23
happens in the meantime. Nicotine isn't going away
00:52:26
anytime soon. If I'm, if I'm Jewel, my game
00:52:29
plan here is just get this tied up in the courts for as long as
00:52:32
possible. Possible until you have enough
00:52:34
Millennial judges on the bench enough like activists Millennial
00:52:37
vaping judges all their, we're going to be sympathetic to their
00:52:40
cause and then you've got it. I mean, we've seen we've seen
00:52:43
how this works the parties. Get more polarized.
00:52:45
We have some. All right Baker's?
00:52:47
That's that's the thing. That brings the fart.
00:52:49
That's the worst shooter series is Vey together.
00:52:51
Yeah, exactly. I don't belong.
00:52:53
The long-term plan is actually a very solid one for them, but
00:52:56
they just need to stick it through, not that I'm advocating
00:52:58
for it, but I see well, I guarantee it might.
00:53:01
It might drag Gone for that long.
00:53:03
So you make may end up being right in the at the end of the
00:53:07
aisle of the headline Jewel, drags on, there you go.
00:53:10
All right, thank you very much guys.
00:53:12
Hi guys, goodbye, goodbye, goodbye,
00:53:27
goodbye, goodbye. Goodbye.
