Staying Global (with Bejul Somaia)
Newcomer PodAugust 01, 202300:53:3849.11 MB

Staying Global (with Bejul Somaia)

Lightspeed Venture Partners can sometimes live in the shadow of its noisier rivals.

Andreessen Horowitz has a massive war chest, sprawling payroll, and insatiable appetite for attention. Meanwhile, Sequoia Capital is, well, Sequoia.

But Lightspeed has established itself as one of the top multi-stage technology investors of this era. In July 2022, Lightspeed announced that it had raised more than $7 billion to invest in startups. Now, as Sequoia spins off its Chinese and Indian venture capital arms and as Lightspeed builds out its presence in Europe, Lightspeed is looking like one of the most globally-oriented venture capital firms.

I invited Bejul Somaia on the Newcomer podcast to talk about Lightspeed’s investments in India and its global strategy. Somaia is one of the leaders of the firm and relocated to the United States after many years investing for Lightspeed in India.

“We want to see, access, and compete for the best opportunities wherever they are,” Somaia told me.

Venture capital investments in India fell to $25.7 billion in 2022 from $38.5 billion in 2021.

“Forcing capital into these companies is not necessarily the answer and I think we’ve learned that time and again,” Somaia said.

“2021 — we know was out of control everywhere. But in shallow markets, out of control is even more damaging because the asset price inflation is even more significant in shallow markets. The movements are more jarring,” he said. A correction was healthy, necessary, and painful.



Get full access to Newcomer at www.newcomer.co/subscribe

00:00:01
Welcome to the Newcomer podcast. I'm Eric Newcomer.

00:00:04
I had an awesome conversation with Bajol Somaya at Lightspeed

00:00:09
Venture Partners talked about two huge topics in the world of

00:00:12
venture capital India. Bajol spent many years investing

00:00:17
for Lightspeed in India and for the ups and downs of the venture

00:00:21
market. And then in the latter half hour

00:00:24
of our conversation, we looked at how venture capital is

00:00:28
becoming more like the private equity business, What happens to

00:00:32
venture capital in a world of rising interest rates And how

00:00:35
does he think about the future of a venture capital firm that

00:00:39
has more than $7 billion in funds raised to invest?

00:00:44
It's great conversation deep in the world of venture capital.

00:00:48
Give it a list, Bejil. Welcome to the podcast.

00:00:51
Thanks so much for coming on. Thanks, Eric.

00:00:53
It's great to be on. There's a lot here.

00:00:56
You've sort of taken the journey with Lightspeed and growing up

00:01:00
with what's become a huge firm. I thought part of the episode,

00:01:04
we just get to sort of look at what's going on outside the US,

00:01:08
especially since you spent a bunch of time in India, spent

00:01:10
some time thinking about Europe, and then get to the US but sort

00:01:13
of trying to make sense of the global venture landscape.

00:01:19
How did you get to Lightspeed India or get us to that moment

00:01:22
in time sort of working with Lightspeed India?

00:01:26
Yeah. And just before I do, you know,

00:01:27
something felt jarring to me, which is that, you know, this

00:01:30
idea of a huge firm and the reason it felt jarring to me is

00:01:33
because we don't think of ourselves that way and I don't

00:01:37
think we ever want to show up in the market in that way.

00:01:40
I think there's such an art to our business and there's such a

00:01:43
sort of relationship aspect to the business and a sense of just

00:01:48
a very high degree of personalization and often being

00:01:50
large can conflict with that. And that's actually, you know,

00:01:53
I'm sure we'll talk about later what's the total fund size?

00:01:56
So I lost set of funds that we raised early last year, Eric,

00:01:59
were just under 7 billion. Yeah, across early and growth

00:02:03
vehicles that we've raised over time and the growth vehicles are

00:02:06
global vehicles, you know, but it's just sort of more one of

00:02:09
the things we think about a lot, right, is how we continue to

00:02:13
operate in a very nimble, agile way.

00:02:16
Right. And that's while having what is

00:02:18
objectively a huge amount of money, yes.

00:02:21
That's fair. That's fair.

00:02:22
But anyway, we'll come to that. I know.

00:02:23
I know. I get it, you know.

00:02:25
So like my journey has been really, you know, as a

00:02:27
entrepreneur and operator, you know, and an investor or across

00:02:30
sort of different parts of my career in the US and in India.

00:02:35
I was in the US until I moved to India to start up Lightspeed

00:02:39
business in 2008. And out of Business School, you

00:02:42
know, was a participant in the.com craziness.

00:02:45
As an early member of a startup during that time, and I think I

00:02:48
still sort of have that, you know, etched into my memo was

00:02:51
the startup. It's a company called edu.com

00:02:54
that was creating a sort of a protected channel for brands to

00:02:57
sell to students at differential pricing and so integrated with

00:03:00
colleges to create a protected channel where brands could.

00:03:03
And that was in the Bay Area. That was actually on the East

00:03:06
Coast okbutduring.com. Yeah, yeah.

00:03:09
And I was an early member of the team there.

00:03:12
And that company was acquired, you know, really in an asset

00:03:15
sale in early 2001 by a then public company called Student

00:03:19
Advantage. And that's where I met the

00:03:21
General Catalyst team because they were one of the, you know,

00:03:24
early investors in that business.

00:03:26
And after I served out my six months of the transition, Joel,

00:03:30
over a General Catalyst, who I think understands entrepreneurs

00:03:33
very well, called me and said, hey, you must be pretty fed up

00:03:36
of doing that. Why don't you come over and join

00:03:38
us. And this is just when General

00:03:39
Catalyst was getting going. You know, as an institutional

00:03:42
fund and yeah, I loved it because it was my first exposure

00:03:45
to venture, but in a very entrepreneurial environment.

00:03:48
And that continues again to shape a lot of, you know, how I

00:03:52
practiced the Business Today and how we think about the business.

00:03:56
And then in 2003, I just was so envious of all of these

00:04:00
incredibly passionate founders building things and I stepped

00:04:04
out and I started a company focused on local search and

00:04:07
context specific search. This was before it was.

00:04:10
You know, it was as widely known as it is today.

00:04:14
And the idea being that, gosh, there's all of this information

00:04:17
out there, but yet I just bought a home and I was rifling through

00:04:21
the Yellow Pages and calling service providers who had bought

00:04:25
the biggest ads. This is crazy, You know, that

00:04:28
this cannot possibly be how I'm going to make a decision.

00:04:32
And so that kind of led me to think about how do we bring

00:04:35
technology to really understand the information that's out there

00:04:38
in a context specific way. And started that company with

00:04:41
actually the former CTO of edu.com who I got to know, and

00:04:45
then subsequently someone that's become a dear friend of mine,

00:04:48
Brad Gerstner at Altimeter. And Brad and I had cross pots

00:04:52
originally. He was an ambassador or a

00:04:53
cofounder. No.

00:04:54
So he joined as a cofounder and yeah, And we first met, Yeah,

00:04:58
when he was running. National Leisure Group which was

00:05:01
a general catalyst funded business and so you know we got

00:05:04
going and eventually we didn't raise any outside capital but

00:05:07
ended up selling the business to a public company called March X

00:05:10
at the time. And and that was kind of really

00:05:13
when I thought about my life and career in a slightly different

00:05:16
way And and I was really drawn to what was happening in India.

00:05:19
You know, the country was going through a very significant

00:05:21
period of economic growth, lot of innovation happening and I

00:05:25
moved out there and actually for the first few years I was

00:05:28
running a. You know what would typically be

00:05:30
described as a more traditional growth equity business, you know

00:05:33
a manufacturing business that you know here would be a GDP

00:05:37
growth business, but there was growing at about 3035% a year,

00:05:41
but was very myopic, very inward facing.

00:05:44
And I thought there was so much more that we could do with that

00:05:46
business and it was a wonderful way to learn that country and

00:05:49
that market and actually learn a lot about how applying a US lens

00:05:54
or a developed market lens is not only.

00:05:58
The wrong answer, but can actually, you know, be

00:06:01
problematic. And that was really valuable and

00:06:04
ultimately sort of brought that to bear And in what we ended up

00:06:07
building at Lightspeed, how long were you investing in India and

00:06:11
how much was deployed? So look, I you know today Eric,

00:06:17
we have now we think of the region as India, Southeast Asia

00:06:20
because there's actually a lot of talent movement between those

00:06:24
regions, founder movement. And companies from India, when

00:06:27
they're thinking about getting out of India, often Southeast

00:06:30
Asia is the next frontier. So I think about that region,

00:06:33
you know, we have today 19 investment professionals in the

00:06:37
and then an operating team or a platform team that supports our

00:06:40
portfolio of about 10, So quite sizable across 4 offices, Delhi,

00:06:46
Bangalore, Mumbai and Singapore. And you know, since we started

00:06:51
investing in India, we've invested approximately 1 1/2

00:06:54
billion dollars in the market. So it's, you know, it's

00:06:57
meaningful, but kind of always I think timed to how the market

00:07:01
was developing. So actually up until 2015, we

00:07:05
continued to invest out of our global funds at a very measured

00:07:08
pace. And you know, again, many of our

00:07:10
peers had raised dedicated fund vehicles and there were a set of

00:07:13
local homegrown funds as well. You know, we knew this was a

00:07:18
market we wanted to be in, but we didn't think it warranted A

00:07:21
dedicated strategy up until sort of I'd say in 1314.

00:07:25
We began to see changes on the ground, founder quality, more

00:07:28
risk capital and sort of really now the beginning of significant

00:07:32
Internet adoption, right, which is really the trend line that

00:07:35
we're investing behind. And so in 2015, we raised our

00:07:38
first dedicated early stage fund for the market, but it was still

00:07:42
a very. I think a very disciplined size

00:07:45
at 135 million. You know, fund two was 175, fund

00:07:50
three was 275 and the idea was really to keep the bar high, you

00:07:55
know, to focus on the highest impact opportunities, you know

00:07:59
and then over time as we've raised our growth funds if we do

00:08:02
miss things at early, which obviously we do.

00:08:04
Then we do have the ability now to hopefully still be able to

00:08:07
partner with those entrepreneurs later in their journey.

00:08:09
What were the key companies or like?

00:08:11
What successful investments did you see?

00:08:14
So early on an early investment in a company called Tudor Vista,

00:08:17
which was essentially one of the first companies that was

00:08:20
connecting in that case tutors in that market with students

00:08:24
globally. So a very early incarceration of

00:08:27
Ed tech. That company was acquired in a

00:08:29
trade sale by Pearson. What was one of the early exits

00:08:33
in the market And then an investment that I led in 2010 in

00:08:36
a company called the Indian Energy Exchange, which was

00:08:39
building an electronic market for power.

00:08:42
You know, and this is an example actually of where, you know,

00:08:45
when we talked about it in the partnership and the natural

00:08:47
thing to do is to seek analogs, Where else has this been built?

00:08:51
And the answer was nowhere. And then it can be very well.

00:08:54
If there's no examples of success, we shouldn't do it.

00:08:56
It obviously can't be successful.

00:08:58
But we should have got into being very first principles

00:09:00
about what's happening in the power market in India and why

00:09:04
does something like this need to exist.

00:09:06
And I won't bore you with the details, but there was a set of

00:09:09
reasons why something like this needed to exist and it was a

00:09:12
classic example of how we could think about getting venture type

00:09:16
exposure to a sector like energy or power, right.

00:09:21
That was going through a massive investment cycle.

00:09:24
And so we Co led the company's Series A and actually the only

00:09:28
round of external capital that they ended up raising in late 20

00:09:31
and and that company we took public in 2017 and the local

00:09:35
Stock Exchange and then over time fully exited over the

00:09:39
subsequent few years. So that was one of our sort of

00:09:42
early investments and it helps right when you go to a new

00:09:44
market to to know that you can, you know, invest but also take

00:09:49
money out and get a company public and see the full life

00:09:52
cycle. Is this strategy generally like

00:09:55
looking for companies that can be global players or do you

00:09:58
invest in startups that could just sort of dominate the Indian

00:10:03
tech market and would that be sort of large enough?

00:10:06
It's all of the above, right? Typically on the consumer side

00:10:09
and on some B to BI wouldn't say B to B software.

00:10:13
I don't think the Indian market for software is large enough to

00:10:16
support a high impact company. But those are those companies

00:10:21
tend to get outside India. For example, we have a company

00:10:24
called Innovasor which is focused on the healthcare

00:10:26
segment in software that got outside India very early or

00:10:30
Darwin Box and HR SAS you know that you know built in India now

00:10:34
has gone to Southeast Asia. But in I would say in consumer

00:10:39
that tends to be almost exclusively focused on the

00:10:41
domestic economy and you know, B to B networks or B to B

00:10:45
commerce. You know will typically be

00:10:47
focused or B to B fintech. You know on the local economy

00:10:51
what we're now seeing more recently as the founder universe

00:10:58
has sort of become more confident I think bolder

00:11:00
building better products is we're seeing more of them today.

00:11:04
Start off with A we want to build for the world kind of you

00:11:08
know mindset which is really energizing and one area that

00:11:12
we're specifically seeing a lot of that and if invested behind

00:11:15
is. Are sort of B to B marketplaces

00:11:17
that are connecting supply in India and other markets with

00:11:22
demand globally, you know, primarily starting out with the

00:11:26
US and the idea being that you have, you know, with the

00:11:29
disruption from COVID of supply chains, right.

00:11:32
And then the geopolitical issues with China, there's a very

00:11:35
strong movement towards China plus one sourcing, right?

00:11:39
And a lot of the supply base is actually in the Southeast Asia

00:11:42
region and India region, India, Vietnam, Thailand, so on.

00:11:46
And so how do you now connect that supply right with buyers

00:11:50
anywhere in the world? And so we're beginning to see

00:11:52
ideas like that emerge and investing actively behind that.

00:11:56
Again, it's one of the reasons that we're so excited about

00:11:59
continuing to build a global firm because we see ideas like

00:12:03
this. I feel like a lot of the like

00:12:05
India's story that trickles back to Silicon Valley has been know

00:12:08
the Flipkart Wars and like Amazon diving in and all the

00:12:13
investment around that space. What was the impact of that

00:12:16
enthusiasm on sort of the Indian like startup ecosystem and how

00:12:21
did you guys sort of navigate? That, yeah, you know, I think

00:12:24
the first, I mean this is sort of an observation now with

00:12:27
hindsight across various different markets is the first

00:12:30
generation of companies often tends to be copycats, right, for

00:12:34
better or for worse. And that's okay.

00:12:36
You know, we saw in India it would be the online travel

00:12:39
agents in e-commerce, Flipkart, Amazon ride sharing and.

00:12:44
Online booking for shows and movies and so on.

00:12:49
There were the deal a day businesses at one point until

00:12:51
folks realize that it is a different market that doesn't

00:12:54
work there, right? And it's really interesting

00:12:55
because I think investors are equally culpable, right?

00:12:58
Investors will oh, that's an idea that's working in market X.

00:13:03
So I will invest in market Y, except market Y may not support

00:13:08
that particular idea. And then if founders sense that

00:13:12
investors want to invest there, well, guess what, they'll start

00:13:15
a company and they'll go raise money.

00:13:16
And so that's invariably the first set of companies.

00:13:19
And then we started to see, and I EX was an example, another

00:13:23
company that we've invested in and you know very early and has

00:13:26
grown a significant scale is a company called Oyo, which is a

00:13:28
virtual hospitality network. You start seeing founders build

00:13:32
companies with a lot more nuance and understanding of how those

00:13:37
models need to be adapted for the local market.

00:13:40
And I would actually go so far as to say that in most

00:13:44
businesses where there is sort of a real world component or

00:13:47
linkage including ecommerce or ride sharing, the Indian

00:13:51
startups have competed very strongly with what are the best

00:13:56
companies out of the US. So whether it is Flipkart and

00:13:59
Amazon or Ola and Uber or Makemytrip and Expedia.

00:14:05
The Ornokri, which is the job site and early on Monster,

00:14:09
actually what you see is that the Indian companies are winning

00:14:14
or are certainly very strong competitors on the food side,

00:14:17
Swiggy and Zamato, right. And so I think that's been very

00:14:22
energizing for the startup ecosystem where the products

00:14:25
tend to be more fully virtual and catering to, let's say the

00:14:30
80 to 100 million English speaking population.

00:14:34
Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, there it will typically be and

00:14:38
is the global products that dominate because there isn't

00:14:41
this real world nuance and component.

00:14:44
Although once you get beyond that English speaking population

00:14:47
again there's probably a need. And you know, we're investors in

00:14:49
a company called Share Chat, which is a social network for

00:14:52
actually none of the English speaking audience.

00:14:55
You know and so I think then what you start seeing is these

00:14:58
businesses that are being built actually that are very unique to

00:15:01
the market and that's really exciting to us because those

00:15:04
businesses will typically also have higher defensibility and

00:15:07
stronger capital efficiency. And so today what is the level

00:15:11
of enthusiasm for like India with the firm.

00:15:15
So you just for context for listener when get into this, you

00:15:18
know you come back eventually to the US to sort of focus on the

00:15:22
firm and investments here, but yeah, you're still very involved

00:15:25
in sort of the strategy. Absolutely.

00:15:28
So what is the sort of approach at the moment or what's your

00:15:30
sense of the market and how much capital you're putting behind

00:15:34
it? I think this is true about

00:15:35
technology. Investing in general, which is

00:15:38
the long arc, is really a one way street right?

00:15:41
This is something that is chatting with one of my

00:15:43
colleagues about earlier In 2000, the digital economy in the

00:15:46
US represented about 6% share of GDP.

00:15:50
You know, today that's at 10.2% and obviously absolute GDP has

00:15:53
grown. This is in the US, right.

00:15:54
So there's just significant growth and it will be no

00:15:57
different in the other markets that we invest behind.

00:16:00
And so you know in India when we think about just overall GDP

00:16:04
growth, population growth, but adoption of the Internet and

00:16:07
digital technologies, it is a one way St. and so kind of over

00:16:12
the right horizon. You know, I think that our level

00:16:15
of excitement remains very high. Although not rose colored for

00:16:20
lots of reasons that we can talk about right and it sort of

00:16:23
reflects why we've paced the way that we have.

00:16:26
That said you know I think anytime you over index on a

00:16:28
point in time and that could have been 2022 or 2021 in

00:16:33
technology you know or 2022 in global technology you know or a

00:16:38
point in time like you know 2223 in India.

00:16:42
You know clearly activity is lower.

00:16:44
I would argue that's really healthy.

00:16:46
You know, 2021. We know was out of control

00:16:50
everywhere, but in shallow markets, Eric, out of control is

00:16:55
even more damaging, right, because the asset price

00:16:59
inflation is even more significant in shallow markets,

00:17:03
right. And sort of the movements are

00:17:05
more jarring. And so I think it's healthy,

00:17:08
it's necessary, it's painful, But again, if I draw from my

00:17:13
experienceinthe.com, boom, you know, in the US and then the

00:17:17
subsequent. You know, bust in 2001, I

00:17:19
remember looking at these numbers.

00:17:21
So the peak of US venture capital in 2000 was about 180

00:17:26
billion. In 2002 that number was 20

00:17:30
billion. Brutal, brutal, right.

00:17:33
And I remember it because it was like, Oh my gosh, I mean this is

00:17:36
when I was at GC kind of early and it's like, do we need to

00:17:40
exist, You know, it just wasn't clear what was investable and

00:17:45
what was going to come next and. You know, and what we know today

00:17:49
is during those periods of capital scarcity, you know, true

00:17:53
innovation happened and true builders were still drawn to

00:17:56
solving problems using technology.

00:17:59
But in that moment in time, I remember it was entirely

00:18:02
possible to think that nothing was happening, right.

00:18:06
And so again, I tend to sort of want to be able to see what's

00:18:09
happening today clearly so that I can be and we can be

00:18:13
intellectually honest. But I think equally importantly,

00:18:16
to be able to pull up and say okay, what is the trend line

00:18:19
here? You know, what's happening?

00:18:21
Where is that going? And to consistently question

00:18:23
whether there's a challenge to that thesis, whether it's

00:18:26
technology more broadly or the development of India's digital

00:18:29
economy and SE Asia's digital economy, do you have a dedicated

00:18:33
amount of capital? On the early stage side, we just

00:18:36
raised Lightspeed India for that, we started investing out

00:18:39
of early this year, which is a $500 million vehicle.

00:18:42
And that reflects our view of how the opportunity has

00:18:45
continued to grow, but we still want to be measured, right.

00:18:49
And then on on the growth side, there's no allocation.

00:18:52
You know, we tend to focus on the best opportunities.

00:18:55
And so, yeah, if you think about the dedicated pool, it's that

00:18:58
500 million, you're probably more of a scholar of this than I

00:19:01
am. But you know US venture has sort

00:19:03
of a history of diving into regions and then sort of pulling

00:19:08
back with you know like Europe like a benchmark I think used to

00:19:12
have a presence in Europe and you know they're all sort you

00:19:14
know in and out like China, India have sort of been hot and

00:19:19
then not. And I totally hear what you're

00:19:21
saying about overtime like technology continues to eat more

00:19:24
markets but then you you need like or at least the traditional

00:19:27
venture ecosystem depends on follow on rounds and other firms

00:19:31
playing and you know obviously you and me but to put it out for

00:19:36
the listener like at this moment in time, you know Sequoia has

00:19:38
just sort of spun off its China and India fund sort of moving

00:19:43
away from a global firm like focusing on those regions.

00:19:48
Yeah. So I guess where are we in this

00:19:50
sort of venture mood in India right now?

00:19:54
Or do you see sort of other investors sort of as dedicated

00:19:58
at this move? Yeah, I can't comment on Sequoia

00:20:02
and I'm not Privy to, you know, sort of the thinking behind

00:20:05
their decisions, but I can sort of comment on how we think about

00:20:08
this. It's really hard to build a

00:20:10
global firm, you know, and it's really hard to attract the right

00:20:15
kind of talent to inculcate again that shared vocabulary and

00:20:20
sense of of mission and values and culture.

00:20:23
And do you see what I see and trust which is so foundational

00:20:27
to our business, It's difficult and I think that's one of the

00:20:31
main reasons I would suspect that firms that have gone

00:20:35
internationally, you know, may subsequently have sort of

00:20:38
retrenched and anytime something is, is really difficult, really

00:20:41
hard. Naturally the right question to

00:20:43
ask yourself is it worth it? You know, and I think that's a

00:20:47
very personal question. In many cases, it's personal at

00:20:51
the individual level, right. Because for a firm to go to

00:20:54
another market does require, you know, someone that has political

00:20:59
capital within the firm at that point in time to put their hand

00:21:02
up and say, I'm going to invest my time and energy, you know, to

00:21:05
do this right. And so that individual will ask

00:21:08
them whether it's worth it, will ask themselves whether it's

00:21:10
worth it. The firm will ask themselves

00:21:12
whether it's worth it. And you know, that argument can

00:21:16
be made well if within a 30 minute drive from Sand Hill Rd.

00:21:20
as was the case not so long ago. If I can, you know, find a set

00:21:25
of companies that are great, why do I need to go beyond that?

00:21:29
Right. And I would argue then that that

00:21:30
thinking would apply to why go to New York, why go to LA,

00:21:35
right. Why go to Europe?

00:21:37
Why go to Lat Am? I mean, why go beyond 30 minutes

00:21:40
of Sandhill Road? And that's what Venture used to

00:21:42
be. Why go to Boston, right?

00:21:45
There was this long period where, you know, it was like

00:21:47
totally cool to just say like, we love San Francisco, Silicon

00:21:52
Valley, like startups and everything else is sort of like

00:21:54
a distraction. And that was something you would

00:21:57
hear pretty regularly, I think, the pandemic.

00:22:00
Blew a lot of that up. You know, all of a sudden people

00:22:02
were excited about Europe. It was easier to do deals

00:22:06
abroad. I mean, obviously there have

00:22:08
been other moments where people were, but I think the pandemic

00:22:11
in particular was like there was a brief period where it was like

00:22:14
everything's global. Everybody can invest everywhere.

00:22:17
Like there's an arbitrage. Like people started, you know,

00:22:20
sending partners out to Europe and now like, I mean.

00:22:24
Some of the, you know, Hoppin is sort of more challenged UI path

00:22:28
didn't sustain like some of the actual companies that were

00:22:31
fueling the narrative didn't sort of live up.

00:22:34
And then at the same time now we're seeing that so much

00:22:37
adventure is in AI and AI is really centralized, you know, in

00:22:44
Silicon Valley and San Francisco.

00:22:45
I don't, yeah. So what do you make of?

00:22:47
Sort of the return to, sort of? Silicon Valley exceptionalism in

00:22:52
in sort of the adventure world at the moment.

00:22:53
Yeah, I don't think there's a right or a wrong answer right.

00:22:57
I think different firms, different people, different

00:23:00
personalities, different strategies, different ambitions,

00:23:04
different levels of hunger and kind of fire to go build

00:23:08
something. Remember again, part of what you

00:23:10
need to even consider in a sense, you know going and doing

00:23:14
something and building something larger and expanding the

00:23:17
cannabis is the same way with a founder, right?

00:23:19
They'll be founders who will build a company that they want

00:23:22
to own 100% of and they're fine if that company grows 15% of a

00:23:26
year and throws off a certain amount of cash.

00:23:28
And then there are some founders who want to change the world and

00:23:31
we're not judging, you know one is better than the other.

00:23:34
We know that for venture Capital One is more of the type that we

00:23:37
would back than the other. And so I think it's the same in

00:23:40
venture which is it's a function of what the firms and the

00:23:44
individuals aspiration is, right.

00:23:47
And if you don't have people that are willing to say, geez, I

00:23:50
have a burning desire to go do this because I see this

00:23:53
opportunity, well then you know that will be as big a part of

00:23:57
the discussion as where a I is or where the opportunity is.

00:24:01
You know what I would tell you is the way we think about it,

00:24:04
Lightspeed is what are we optimizing for, right, because

00:24:07
we've got to have that clarity and that then drives our

00:24:10
decisions. So it's three things.

00:24:13
We want to see access and compete for the very best

00:24:17
opportunities wherever they are, because to generate the best

00:24:21
returns, we think we need to be in the best companies.

00:24:25
And if a significant proportion of those companies are now

00:24:27
outside the US or outside Silicon Valley, then we need to

00:24:33
be able to see them in order to perform right.

00:24:36
Again, part of this is also a choice about scale.

00:24:38
Sure. If you raise $200 million, you

00:24:41
don't need to, but it's also because of learning.

00:24:44
I mean, a lot of what we bring to our companies is because of

00:24:46
the journeys that we've been on, you know, and the different

00:24:49
models that we've seen and how our conceptual models get

00:24:53
challenged because you've seen something somewhere else.

00:24:55
I would argue that actually, you know, markets like India where

00:24:58
there's UPI and Latdam where there's pigs are a little bit,

00:25:02
you know, showing us what the future of fintech could be, you

00:25:05
know, with these very low cost or 0 cost payment rails, right.

00:25:09
I think, you know, we saw virtual goods models and kind

00:25:13
of, you know, monetization models that came out of China,

00:25:16
right, that innovated around kind of how social media

00:25:20
companies could monetize and generate revenue.

00:25:22
So for the learning and the experience, we think that's

00:25:25
important. So we want to see access and

00:25:27
compete for the very best opportunities wherever they are.

00:25:30
The second thing is we want to serve founders and companies in

00:25:34
the most impactful way, right, in a way that moves the needle

00:25:37
for them. So that's sort of another design

00:25:39
principle. And the third is that we want to

00:25:42
attract the best talent to Lightspeed and enable them to do

00:25:46
their best work. Those are the three things we

00:25:48
want to do. Now for any other firm, those

00:25:52
things may be different and that's okay, but this is what

00:25:55
we're building towards. And then the question becomes,

00:25:59
you know, well, do you get distracted, right?

00:26:02
And I think in my mind, anytime I'm presented with this idea of

00:26:07
a trade off, you can either do X or Y.

00:26:11
The first thing at least I want to do is I want to challenge

00:26:15
that trade off. I don't want to just accept it,

00:26:17
right, because then we go deeper and understanding why there is a

00:26:20
trade off. Is there a trade off, you know,

00:26:23
we say to companies, well either you grow fast or you have

00:26:27
compelling unit economics really.

00:26:30
Is that really the choice, You know to build value you have to

00:26:34
do both and the best companies will figure out a way to do both

00:26:38
and some will not. And so for us, I think it is,

00:26:42
you know, it is well, how do we, our enterprise team is we think

00:26:46
one of the best in the business. Well, they are deeply focused on

00:26:50
enterprise, right. They're not getting distracted

00:26:54
by necessarily what the India team is doing, but then

00:26:57
organizationally, how do you create points of intersection so

00:27:00
that we're exchanging ideas, right, and experiences.

00:27:05
So to me that comes to firm design and being very mindful of

00:27:09
the risks and obviously we're still building this, but you

00:27:12
know we. People, is it right now

00:27:14
globally? Yeah, Total headcount will be

00:27:16
north of 200 and I think we have about 70 investors you know

00:27:21
globally across the US, Israel, Europe, India, Southeast Asia,

00:27:28
you know in the China is an affiliate.

00:27:29
So in a sense separate business and so that would be the size

00:27:32
and we've been at it since I think Israel was a first in the

00:27:36
national market in the early 2000s.

00:27:39
So this isn't a new thing for us.

00:27:42
It's not something we've done quickly.

00:27:44
You know, we've not tried to do things overnight.

00:27:47
Are you still gung ho about the China affiliate?

00:27:50
I mean, the tensions there have. You know become more

00:27:54
complicated. Yes, certainly and we have to be

00:27:56
you know mindful of that. I think you know it is a in a

00:27:58
sense of benefit that is an independent entity and I think

00:28:02
sort of their investment strategy primarily centers right

00:28:05
now around sustainability, climate and the EV ecosystem.

00:28:09
And so there's some learning there.

00:28:11
But you know, I would say that it's a good relationship that we

00:28:14
have and you know we are very sensitive to kind of everything

00:28:18
that's happening globally. And you know it'll be something

00:28:21
that we continue to think about what the right answer is.

00:28:24
But you know, as of now it is run separately, but you know

00:28:29
they're friends of ours, just like you know any other firm

00:28:31
would be. And you can collaborate and

00:28:33
share notes you know and learnings about things.

00:28:35
But you know in essence it is a separate business.

00:28:39
Just before I totally move off India and start talking about

00:28:41
like firm construction all that. What do you think are the most

00:28:44
promising areas in terms of India like startup investments

00:28:48
right now or where are you guys deploying sort of the most money

00:28:52
or what sort of the promise? So you know one area that I

00:28:55
mentioned earlier is a lot of these cross-border businesses

00:28:58
beyond software, so cross-border marketplaces, cross-border

00:29:02
payments and in payment infrastructure.

00:29:05
And so if if five years ago, if we talked about what businesses

00:29:09
were getting outside of India, those were primarily SAS

00:29:12
companies. You know, today I would say

00:29:14
there's a lot more in these other categories and I think

00:29:17
that's a very compelling theme. The other is we're beginning to

00:29:20
see a fair amount of activity around the EV ecosystem there

00:29:24
and we've made an initial set of investments.

00:29:27
Like manufacturers or no. Again, we'll think about a

00:29:30
little bit like our India Energy exchange, you know, kind of lens

00:29:33
which is gosh, there's this very compelling trend line, but you

00:29:37
know the bulk of it is not really a venture play, right.

00:29:43
But how do we think about getting venture like exposure.

00:29:46
And so for example, we've invested in a company called

00:29:49
Exponent Energy which is building fast charging batteries

00:29:52
and intellectual property and then a fast charging network in

00:29:56
a sense that's tied to their batteries.

00:29:59
And so think about Intel inside, you know the Exponent battery is

00:30:03
now being adopted by OE M's you know so that their customers

00:30:07
don't have to think. This is primarily in commercial

00:30:09
applications where downtime can be very expensive.

00:30:13
And so you know OEMs are adopting their batteries with an

00:30:17
Exponent battery inside makes it more marketable.

00:30:19
You know those batteries then work at the Exponent franchised

00:30:23
fast charging network. So that's an example, it's

00:30:25
really an IP business you know within the you know the network

00:30:28
being franchised. So that would be an example of

00:30:32
the venture play on that sector. We are looking at financial

00:30:36
technology in particular in Southeast Asia.

00:30:40
We've invested fairly actively in India there as well.

00:30:43
But you know there's a lot to be built in Southeast Asia and

00:30:45
that's an example of you know, kind of global themes, right.

00:30:49
The CFO suite or you know, these financial products for small

00:30:53
businesses, right, with different insertion points.

00:30:56
It could be a credit insertion point or a banking insertion

00:30:59
point. That's an area that we've

00:31:00
invested across geographies in the US and Europe and India and

00:31:04
in Southeast Asia. And wealth management, digital

00:31:07
wealth management is an area that we're looking at too.

00:31:10
What do you think is sort of the biggest strength of the Indian

00:31:12
market right now, the opportunity and the biggest sort

00:31:15
of like blocker or like barrier to making sort of investments at

00:31:19
the moment? It's really interesting

00:31:20
question. I think the biggest strength is

00:31:25
the raw material for our business which is the founders.

00:31:28
You know, it's really interesting.

00:31:29
When we started investing in India, I would have

00:31:31
characterized the typical Indian founder as a somewhat defensive,

00:31:38
risk averse control oriented founder archetype, right, which

00:31:44
is not great for venture capital.

00:31:45
And I would characterize today, you know, the founder archetype

00:31:49
is no different than what we would talk about here, which is,

00:31:53
you know, wanting to change the world really can lean into not

00:31:57
everyone but leans into risk and they've sort of seen this first

00:32:01
wave of venture scale companies get built, right.

00:32:03
And so there's a repeat flywheel and founders really are and

00:32:07
talent is the raw material of our business, right.

00:32:10
And so you know, for me that's the most exciting change instead

00:32:14
of the, if you will, the superpower of the market.

00:32:17
And I will say the work ethic. I mean you've got to realize

00:32:20
that many of these folks or almost all of these folks are

00:32:23
from Indian middle class families.

00:32:26
Now when I say Indian middle class, I do not mean US middle

00:32:29
class, right. I mean, you know, families with

00:32:33
income levels of of $3000 to $15, like they're from those

00:32:38
families, insanely driven, you know, and what they've had to

00:32:42
accomplish to get to this point. You know, is it self evidence of

00:32:46
really what's under the hood and the work ethic, you know, the

00:32:50
intensity, the hunger, it's sort of you know, like gives me

00:32:54
whatever, you know, shivers up my spine because there is this

00:32:57
sense of this is their moment, right.

00:33:01
And then obviously the rapid digitization of this country and

00:33:03
the government's commitment to that, you know, rides along with

00:33:07
the development of talent. You know what are maybe some of

00:33:10
the biggest challenges. I think it is the time it takes

00:33:14
to build these companies and the just the challenges in the

00:33:19
economics and and these are related.

00:33:21
So here's a really interesting thing, which is because GDP per

00:33:25
capita is so much lower in a market like India than in the

00:33:28
West, to build a billion dollar revenue or scale company in

00:33:34
India means that operationally you are building an 8 to $10

00:33:40
billion scale company in the US, right?

00:33:44
Because the terms of like people you touch, right, whatever in

00:33:47
terms of the volume of transactions, the number of

00:33:49
people you acquire touch, the number of shipments, the supply

00:33:52
chain scale, just think about that, right.

00:33:56
So the complexity of that, you know it's really high and what

00:34:02
it means is it will take longer and we can't force it beyond a

00:34:06
certain point. Capital forcing capital into

00:34:08
these companies is not necessarily the answer and I

00:34:11
think we've learned that time and again.

00:34:14
So that's one. And then because you know

00:34:17
typically GDP per capita is lower, that translates into a

00:34:21
smaller absolute profit pool, right.

00:34:24
And so you know in terms of the unit economics, it can be tough

00:34:28
and so profitability actually takes longer for many of these

00:34:32
companies especially if you're trying to scale and build

00:34:36
leadership. So I think those are important

00:34:38
challenges that we have to be mindful of as we're company

00:34:42
building. And then as it relates to

00:34:43
investing, look liquidity, this is not a market that is as

00:34:48
developed as the US or China. And so you know we've been very

00:34:53
mindful of this. We've distributed you know, over

00:34:56
a billion dollars of liquidity from the market, you know, but

00:34:59
it's tough to come by. You have to be very switched on

00:35:02
to it. And so I'd say as a venture

00:35:04
investor, you know that's another challenge that we think

00:35:07
a lot about. As a global firm, how much do

00:35:10
you force sort of consistent multiples or you know, you're

00:35:15
just sort of saying the challenge like if you looked at

00:35:18
sort of users, you might think one thing if you tried to model

00:35:21
out, you know. Profitability or whatever, you

00:35:23
would come to a different assessment, but how much is

00:35:27
there an effort to say, oh, we want not think about like, oh,

00:35:32
what this sort of game on the field is in any particular

00:35:34
market. We want to think about what a

00:35:35
company is worth on some global metric or do you end up having

00:35:39
to look at it region by region? So substitute region for sector,

00:35:44
Eric. OK, right.

00:35:46
Would we apply consistent multiples to AI companies?

00:35:53
Mature enterprise software spaces?

00:35:56
Ecommerce, Social media? Right.

00:35:59
The answer is no. You can make some argument that

00:36:02
on a fundamental level, like their ability to eventually

00:36:04
produce cash flow, they should root out.

00:36:07
But I understand sort of in the early stage that becomes like

00:36:10
very difficult and so you have to, yeah, it's sort of I think

00:36:13
there always is nuance. Now should we be aware of that?

00:36:17
Yes. If we see a significant

00:36:19
difference in multiple, should we question why?

00:36:22
Yes. Should we understand why?

00:36:24
Yes. You know, should we apply our

00:36:26
own judgment? Absolutely right.

00:36:29
But you know, one of the things you'll notice is that scaled

00:36:33
companies that become market leaders and have high quality

00:36:36
teams with strong governance in India trade at significant

00:36:41
premiums to their peers almost anywhere in the world.

00:36:45
Interesting. All right.

00:36:46
Now early on, we as a global firm, we just couldn't reconcile

00:36:50
that. We're like, no, it seems too

00:36:51
expensive, seems too expensive. Well, 15 years in, it hasn't

00:36:56
changed, Okay. So then you sort of say why?

00:36:59
Well, there's several reasons. One is that those companies are

00:37:05
so difficult to replicate because of the friction required

00:37:10
to build them and the time that it takes, right, that there's a

00:37:15
certain kind of gravity that those businesses have and

00:37:19
there's a scarcity of those kinds of businesses, right?

00:37:22
And so now when you think about capital allocators in the world

00:37:26
that want to have exposure to those kinds of companies,

00:37:29
there's a limited set, right? And so this is what I mean by we

00:37:34
don't just want to accept it and we'll never just say, well, it's

00:37:36
sort of like in 2021 when we were investing, we weren't

00:37:40
assuming 2021 multiples on exit. You're still questioning it.

00:37:44
You're saying what are normalized multiples.

00:37:46
And OK, let's be eyes wide open that we may be overpaying on the

00:37:49
way in, but let's not think this is normal, right?

00:37:53
Right. Part of what you're saying is

00:37:54
the multiples that are rational to pay to win the deal and the

00:37:57
multiples that you're sort of giving it to assess sort of the

00:38:01
payoff in the long term and you sort of need both.

00:38:04
That's right. And as a result there is a lot

00:38:06
of companies that we will pass on because ultimately it doesn't

00:38:09
make sense you know based on the entry multiple.

00:38:12
But my point was more that, yeah, I think each market, each

00:38:15
sector you know has its own dynamics, right.

00:38:19
Life sciences different, Fintech different, you know enterprise

00:38:23
software different and the same for geographies.

00:38:25
And it's actually that thinking for us Eric that every time sort

00:38:28
of these questions, it's often like we think of geos as these

00:38:31
you can think of, oh geez, it's very different things.

00:38:34
But literally if you if you start substituting sector for

00:38:38
Geo, right, because as venture firms we've had to reinvent

00:38:43
ourselves, we've had to go to new sectors, we've had to

00:38:46
understand new opportunities and often they look different and

00:38:52
we've got to challenge ourselves and adapt our mental models and

00:38:56
then either embrace or reject that's OK.

00:38:58
But we can't say well it's different.

00:39:00
So let's not, you know, at least that's how we think about it.

00:39:04
What motivated you to come back to the US and what is sort of

00:39:08
your focus at the moment? Lightspeed is a special place

00:39:12
and the ability to play a bigger role at the firm is really

00:39:16
exciting. I mean, you know, I think we're

00:39:18
all very lucky to be doing what we do, you know, but to have the

00:39:22
opportunity to kind of continue to help build on the growth of

00:39:24
the firm, you know, the platform that is built so far by the

00:39:27
founders and the team, that's hugely energizing.

00:39:31
And as you're probably hearing, I think there's a lot of kind of

00:39:34
learnings and observations from, you know, my journey and our

00:39:37
firm's journey outside of the US that are abstracted away from

00:39:43
India or a geography. They're really just about

00:39:46
learnings. Having invested, you know and to

00:39:49
think about how do we now bring some of those learnings to the

00:39:52
firm and along with the learnings of everyone else here

00:39:56
and to now build the next phase, you know, in a sense of the firm

00:39:59
and the firm has grown a lot incredible talent.

00:40:02
And so, yeah, just the opportunity to to do more.

00:40:05
How much time are you sort of internally focused versus trying

00:40:08
to do deals? Yeah, I mean if sort of

00:40:10
internally focused is I'll exclude from that let's say kind

00:40:13
of you know serving on investment committees, right,

00:40:17
where obviously that's part of the investment business probably

00:40:20
say it's, you know it's 25 to 30%.

00:40:23
So it's still mostly doing the deals, yeah, you know, serving

00:40:27
on deal teams and partnering with other investors.

00:40:30
But it's yeah, I'd say it's still predominantly, you know,

00:40:32
we are in the investment business and it predominantly is

00:40:35
still investing. But you know 25 to 30% really on

00:40:40
thinking about our business, our firm, our strategy, our people,

00:40:45
our systems, you know and what it takes to operate a firm of

00:40:48
this scale. But we've got to be more

00:40:50
deliberate about it. It won't just happen.

00:40:53
So you know, I think there's been this question percolating

00:40:56
now for a couple years, which is like.

00:40:58
Is venture capital going to follow some of the lessons of

00:41:01
like private equity, You know, it's going to become a more sort

00:41:05
of grown up asset class like maybe a venture capital firm

00:41:09
will like go public someday. They will get much larger.

00:41:13
You know, they're a lot, you know, you could organize

00:41:15
differently there. You know, the way the firms sort

00:41:18
of survive generational transition could change.

00:41:21
Like what do you think is sort of appropriate to take from

00:41:24
private equity and what do you think?

00:41:27
You know, venture capital is just like so different.

00:41:29
It's not the right comparison. One of the things that I'm

00:41:31
thinking about, so one is that, look, you know what you just

00:41:34
said has happened, right? So just look at the data, which

00:41:38
is 2022 venture capital, a UM was roughly 2/3 of total global

00:41:46
private market a UMA decade ago. Just think about that, just

00:41:50
venture capital, a UM in 2022, right.

00:41:54
And by total global private market, a UM, infrastructure

00:41:57
growth, all of that stuff, equity and credit, right.

00:42:01
So that's happened. I don't think, you know, I like

00:42:04
why are we debating it? It's happened now.

00:42:08
Will it shrink 80%? We should debate that.

00:42:10
We don't think it will, but that happened 2000 to 2002, right.

00:42:15
So there's precedent for that. I think technology, and this is

00:42:19
the second point I'd make, the technology in terms of its

00:42:24
importance and emergence as a sector, if you will, in the

00:42:29
mainstream economy has changed relative to 2000.

00:42:35
And that was a sort of share of GDPI mentioned.

00:42:38
It's not this little cottage industry anymore, right.

00:42:41
And so then this brings me to something we talk about here.

00:42:44
Is venture capital the right way to think about our business,

00:42:50
right. So when our business started,

00:42:53
venture capital was synonymous with technology investing,

00:42:57
right, because that was the innovation economy.

00:43:00
There was very small number of these companies.

00:43:03
You know the balance sheets are all intellectual property and

00:43:07
people, so they couldn't raise capital from anywhere else.

00:43:10
And so this type of capital called venture capital, risk

00:43:13
capital emerged to serve that part of the economy, right.

00:43:18
But today that part of the economy is changed radically.

00:43:23
And so then we think about, well, if we're serving our

00:43:27
customers, which are technology companies, should that not be

00:43:33
the lens through which we think about our business and what is

00:43:36
the business? The same way we would want our

00:43:38
founders to be thinking about how their industries are

00:43:40
changing, how their customers are changing and how they can

00:43:43
keep serving those customers better than anyone else can.

00:43:47
How can we keep serving our founders and our customers

00:43:52
better than anyone else can? And I think that if you just

00:43:56
assume that it's only venture capital, well, that's a fine

00:44:00
business, right? But I don't know this is sort

00:44:04
of. Just.

00:44:05
Yeah. No, this is this is more a

00:44:08
technology investor than sort of venture capital or I mean we saw

00:44:13
you know general Catalyst your Old Firm is.

00:44:16
Trying to figure out as third of their own type of debt for fund.

00:44:20
I mean I think there's a lot of talk of you know bigger firms

00:44:24
going out and raising and saying we don't need to invest to you

00:44:29
know a seed fund level returns. We need to prove that we can

00:44:34
consistently outperform, you know the stock market.

00:44:38
And if we can do that, it'll make sense for large investors

00:44:42
to come to us and we're doing a sort of.

00:44:45
Big enough fund size, is that the way you think about it or

00:44:48
what do you mean by saying not venture capital, It's about

00:44:51
different types of investments in different virtual profiles.

00:44:54
So I want to be clear, this is not about, well, let's just

00:44:57
scale to scale. It's working back from what are

00:45:00
the needs of the companies and founders that we serve and

00:45:03
recognizing that the core for Lightspeed still is an early

00:45:07
entry point, right. So, so we invest early even 2/3

00:45:12
of our capital, of the growth capital that we've raised

00:45:15
historically has gone into companies that we were earlier

00:45:19
investors in, right. And so that is, it's back to

00:45:22
that serves those companies and those founders, right.

00:45:26
And then a third is, gosh, you know, unfortunately, we do miss,

00:45:29
you know, companies early. But if we can catch them at the

00:45:32
Series B or the Series C, there's still, you know, the

00:45:34
prices have gotten bigger than they used to be and we still,

00:45:37
you know, want to be a part of those journeys.

00:45:39
So it really is just coming back to none of this means moving

00:45:43
away from early, I would argue. In fact, in our last fun cycle,

00:45:47
Eric, we doubled our commitment to seed through B, right.

00:45:52
And we've increased our early stage investment team and we're

00:45:56
doing more there because we think the opportunity has grown.

00:46:00
But it's just to say well over time, what do those founders

00:46:04
need and those companies need and that's where even as we

00:46:08
think about our platform teams, it's not, you know, we haven't

00:46:11
built an army. We're being very surgical about

00:46:14
what are we hearing from our customers, what is most needle

00:46:17
moving to them. And so it's defining back from

00:46:20
that. And when we do that, I would

00:46:22
just suggest that if you just apply a venture capital lens,

00:46:25
then arguably you will operate the same type of firm that you

00:46:29
would have 20 years ago. But in an industry that is

00:46:33
unrecognizable from 20 years ago now you can do that.

00:46:37
I'm not suggesting you can't. But what we think about is the

00:46:41
industry has shifted, our customers have shifted.

00:46:44
What is it that they want today and how can we provide that?

00:46:47
And then let's not label it like yes, a part of that is venture

00:46:50
capital, but why do we provide talent, capability, You know,

00:46:55
why do we use data and have a, why do we have a data science

00:46:58
group at our firm, You know, why would we build an in house

00:47:01
corporate development group? Well, it's it's because we've

00:47:05
got to think about what's the right business to build in 2023

00:47:09
and looking forward to the next decade.

00:47:11
But would you look at like rather than?

00:47:12
Buying out or I guess it poses so many questions about If it's

00:47:17
not just VC, what are the other things that you would seriously

00:47:21
sort of consider? Yeah, it does.

00:47:24
And I think the key is really to have a true north, right and to

00:47:28
you know anything that we do sort of be leveraging our

00:47:31
capability and we think we're good at okay.

00:47:34
So you know it's interesting you ask about buyouts.

00:47:36
Well, I think there's going to be a way of a venture recaps

00:47:41
that are going to be coming, right.

00:47:43
Those are companies we understand.

00:47:45
Those are domains that we understand, right.

00:47:48
But there's going to be a slightly different kind of

00:47:51
mindset, right, to the work that's going to need to be done

00:47:54
there. Should we be thinking about

00:47:56
that? I think we should, right?

00:47:59
But are we gonna go and next year, are we gonna start doing,

00:48:03
you know, buyouts control deals in IT services companies?

00:48:07
No. There are people that that do

00:48:09
that far better than we ever will.

00:48:11
It's not what we're good at. It's not who we are.

00:48:13
You are thinking about products around sort of the downturn of

00:48:17
unicorns and that what's it, I mean that's like convertible

00:48:20
debt type deals or well not necessarily.

00:48:23
I mean again I think there are structured finance specialists

00:48:26
that we'll do that better than we can.

00:48:29
I mean playing straight, you know converts are fine, but you

00:48:33
know as you get into more structured products there are

00:48:36
folks that it's a different skill set.

00:48:38
You know, we'll still come at it from understanding the domain,

00:48:42
understanding the trend lines at depth, the technical shifts, the

00:48:47
founders, the people, the products.

00:48:50
That's still going to be at the heart of any investing that we

00:48:53
do as opposed to is this more of a, did you make your money

00:48:57
because you've figured out a structure that gives you a

00:49:01
kicker in the event of X, right? Like, that's not what we're

00:49:05
really good at. And so we'll leave that to the

00:49:08
experts to do that. You've sort of alluded, well,

00:49:11
first of all you're not gonna, you haven't announced something

00:49:14
so you're not telling me specifically what you're exactly

00:49:17
you have in mind in terms of the new structure, right?

00:49:19
I just wanna make sure I'm not missing.

00:49:21
Oh no, I'm riffing with you. But you have, is there a

00:49:24
particular like fund or something that you're raising?

00:49:26
No, there's nothing. I mean we our most recent set of

00:49:28
funds are what they are, which is kind of early through, you

00:49:32
know, through late stage. No, I'm riffing with you about

00:49:35
really under this sort of, hey, I think we are a firm that looks

00:49:39
to embrace where the opportunity is going.

00:49:42
And so we think about that and we work back from our customers

00:49:45
and the opportunity. But yeah, this, no, there's

00:49:48
nothing there's. Not one that I have to like go

00:49:50
figure out after this call. No, no, no, no, no.

00:49:52
Philosophical like we're open to yes.

00:49:54
You've sort of talked about how large the retrenchment was

00:49:58
after.com that sort of framed the beginning of the

00:50:01
conversation. You know, to put it another way,

00:50:03
just interest rates have gone up significantly.

00:50:07
You know, we were in a 0 interest rate environment and

00:50:10
now? We're not and nobody knows for

00:50:13
sure what that means for the venture capital asset class.

00:50:16
Like I'm asking you to compare venture capital to private

00:50:19
equity. But like nobody, private equity

00:50:21
is not loved right now because of the interest rate problem.

00:50:24
Yeah. So to put it directly to you, I

00:50:26
mean how do you think venture capital changes in this world of

00:50:29
like you know higher interest rates and can it sustain if

00:50:34
interest rates go up. So, so you know the reason I

00:50:36
would I'd separate this from again in 2000 is that part of

00:50:42
the challenge with the inventory of the set companies that were

00:50:45
built during that boom was a lot of them simply didn't work

00:50:49
right. So the retrenchment was that

00:50:51
there was just a bunch of stuff that was upside down okay.

00:50:55
I think you know today there's certainly some of those, but the

00:51:00
vast majority is there a real companies there arguably they

00:51:04
can't sustain the rates of growth they were operating at if

00:51:06
they have to drive more free cash flow And the change in the

00:51:10
interest rate environment will impact what those companies are

00:51:13
worth, right, as opposed to you know just they're going to go

00:51:17
away, right. And so I think that the set of

00:51:21
companies that obviously you know will have to go through

00:51:24
those value adjustments, those valuation adjustments that will

00:51:28
happen, that has started to happen.

00:51:29
More will happen through the rest of this year and likely

00:51:31
2024 is more of those companies come to market.

00:51:35
As it relates to going forward, you know the opportunity to buy

00:51:43
10 to 25% of companies that are potentially disruptive to very

00:51:50
large markets and over time we'll build companies worth

00:51:53
billions of dollars remains as true now as it did five years

00:51:59
ago as it did 10 years ago and certainly more true than 20

00:52:03
years ago, more true, right. And so then the question is

00:52:07
really about you know, entry discipline on the way in and

00:52:12
doing the building and all the things that we have to do.

00:52:14
You know, arguably you have again a more educated season

00:52:18
talent base, technology is a broader part of the economy.

00:52:21
So I would say that we remain optimistic, you know about the

00:52:27
opportunities for venture capital and it's sort of why I

00:52:30
would say it's different than 2000.

00:52:32
That is not to say that the adjustment will not be painful

00:52:36
for the companies that you know that were funded in a different

00:52:39
environment and in a sense tuned their businesses right, far more

00:52:44
tilted towards growth and the capital efficiency was not great

00:52:47
as a result. And that will need to happen and

00:52:50
that will be a painful adjustment.

00:52:53
Great. Thank you so much for coming on

00:52:54
the show. This was a lot of fun.

00:52:56
Thank you, Eric. Yeah, I enjoyed it too.

00:52:57
Time Flu. That's our episode.

00:52:59
I'm Eric Newcomer. Thanks so much for listening.

00:53:02
Thank you to Bejol Somaya Lightspeed for coming on.

00:53:07
Shout out to Tommy Herron, our Audio Editor, Riley Catsella, my

00:53:10
Chief of staff, anyone, our intern who's been booking a

00:53:13
bunch of guests helping with the podcast and young Chomsky for

00:53:18
the wonderful theme music. Please like comments, subscribe

00:53:21
on YouTube, register, review on Apple Podcasts and of course,

00:53:25
subscribe to the sub stack newcomer.co.

00:53:29
See you next week. Goodbye.

00:53:31
Goodbye. Goodbye.

00:53:32
Goodbye. Goodbye.

00:53:33
Goodbye. Goodbye.

00:53:35
Goodbye. Goodbye.