Venture Capital Gravitational Physics (with Ravi Mhatre)
Newcomer PodMarch 29, 202300:43:1429.7 MB

Venture Capital Gravitational Physics (with Ravi Mhatre)

Ravi Mhatre co-founded Lightspeed Venture Partners just before the technology industry unraveled in the dot-com bust. Lightspeed weathered the dot-com crash and became one of Silicon Valley’s top venture capital firms, known particularly for many of its enterprise software investments.

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Over his two decades at Lightspeed, Mhatre has invested in Nutanix, MuleSoft, AppDynamics, Zscaler, and Rubrik to name a few.

On the Newcomer podcast, Mhatre and I talked about Silicon Valley in the wake of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. We discussed how the gravitation physics of the startup business has changed.

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00:00:01
Hey, it's Eric newcomer author of newcomer this week, I have a

00:00:04
great guest for the top behind the scenes venture capitalist.

00:00:08
Robbie Matra, who co-founded light speed in 1999, ravi's

00:00:13
invested in new tannic Smule soft app Dynamic, Z, scalar

00:00:16
Aurora, and blend labs to name a few.

00:00:19
He's perhaps the key partner at light speed, which is raised

00:00:23
seven billion dollars an ounce seven billion dollars in 2022

00:00:29
and we Talk about the Silicon Valley Bank debacle, how the

00:00:34
laws of gravity and Venture Capital world may or may not be

00:00:39
changing and generally talks about what it's like to run a

00:00:44
venture capital firm and invest at the same time.

00:00:47
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00:01:22
Ravi great to have you on the podcast.

00:01:23
Thanks for coming on. Yeah, thanks for having me.

00:01:26
Are happy to be here. I feel like you don't do a ton

00:01:28
of podcast. I've had a couple behind Find

00:01:30
the scenes players now and I was very happy to get you on the

00:01:33
podcast. I wanted to start off just like,

00:01:36
you know, really zooming out because you're someone who

00:01:38
understands sort of the Venture landscape, you know, built light

00:01:42
speed U Co founded in 1999. Is that right?

00:01:45
Yeah. So that's pretty.

00:01:48
That's just as the.com is unwinding.

00:01:51
What was that? Like, founding our firm, right?

00:01:53
Ahead of.com. In 1999 and what inspired you to

00:01:56
start light speed at the time? Well, I guess the first sort

00:02:00
Observation with hindsight and you know it's the same with

00:02:03
founders of our companies. Sometimes it's better that you

00:02:05
don't know what you don't know. Had we known there was going to

00:02:08
be sort of an existential downturn that affected every

00:02:11
corner of Technology, you know, 9 to 12 months, after we started

00:02:15
the firm I'm certain we would have done some things

00:02:18
differently. Certainly we started the firm we

00:02:21
raised a relatively large fund wine, even by today's standards,

00:02:26
it was in the high hundreds of millions, you know, and our

00:02:29
Focus This was at the time, there's a high velocity Market,

00:02:33
but was to work with early-stage Founders and really be high

00:02:37
conviction. And if you feel like you might

00:02:39
not make it through like the chasm, when we really realized

00:02:42
how severe the trough was going to be, we probably had deployed

00:02:45
about a third of a fund already and you know with hindsight when

00:02:50
you get into sort of downturns that big it's like the rules of

00:02:53
gravity. Just somebody made that, you

00:02:56
know, change them and the rules of gravity that you were

00:02:59
penciling out all your ass. Sue just don't apply anymore.

00:03:01
So you're in the state of a little bit of vertigo and

00:03:04
weightlessness where you've invested money in companies,

00:03:07
their premise of how they're going to spend that money to

00:03:10
build a product and frankly, even who's gonna have a sort of

00:03:13
money in the market to buy your product, everything from the

00:03:17
root assumptions up and the top assumptions down have changed

00:03:21
and so you're in a position where you're sort of staring at

00:03:24
it and saying hey we did all the things, you know, we think Kaya,

00:03:26
right. But when the kind of fundamental

00:03:28
laws of physics change, You have to reorient our way and frankly,

00:03:32
some of the things you've done, you just can't get the math to

00:03:34
compile in a new unit. In a new environment, we are

00:03:37
weightless and floating. And before you knew that there

00:03:39
was some, you know, kind of pulling Force to keep you

00:03:41
grounded. That is like the perfect

00:03:42
metaphor for the question of this podcast, like the rules of

00:03:46
gravity changing, the rules of physic changing.

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Does it feel like we're in that type of world?

00:03:51
Now, where the rules of gravity have changed?

00:03:55
I need to sketch it out. Briefly 2022 was sort of a

00:03:57
brutal correction for tech stocks To me, it seemed like

00:04:01
early 2023. We had hope and now we have this

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sort of SV B Silicon Valley Bank crisis and broader banking

00:04:09
situation. Summing that all up is that

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rules of gravity have gone away level situation, to you, or not

00:04:17
quite now. Having, you know, personally

00:04:21
seen and at Lightspeed having experienced, you know, three

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major. I'd say, cyclical events for

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technology first, the 1999? Nine through 03.com burst, then

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the financial crisis in 08, 09 most recently covid.

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You know there's some things that are the same about

00:04:41
companies having and I'll get to this fundamentally retool how

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they think about what they need to do to operate their

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businesses. So there are some laws of

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physics that have changed and they are going to be more or

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less painful you know to realign to depending on how much a

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business. It was optimized for the 2021

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and before environment. But what I would say is

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different at this point in, this is really more about the

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technology industry as a whole. When we started light speed in

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ninety, nine of the top ten most valuable companies in the world.

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One was a technology company was Microsoft is valued around 200

00:05:18
billion I think today if even in the sort of depressed Market

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environment, if you looked at the 10 most valuable companies

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in the world, it's something like seven or eight our

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technology companies in this is As, you know, Google Facebook,

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Amazon Baidu, Tesla apple, and there's a couple, I'm probably

00:05:37
forgetting. But these are companies that are

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valued in, you know, summer in the trillions and many are in

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the high hundreds of billions. So if you just do that math,

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it's an example or a barometric reading of how much broader and

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secular technology. You know is today it pervades

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every industry. It's not really a vertical

00:05:54
industry anymore. So you know, when you say that

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and there is a downturn and there are things that come

00:06:00
companies have to do to retool to the new physics on the other

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hand. If you are a technology

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innovator it is not a situation where every you know kind of

00:06:11
potential buyer or consumer of what you do.

00:06:14
You know, is essentially gone into a mode where they're in a

00:06:16
defensive posture and that is good news because it means that,

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you know, it's not like somebody said you went from having

00:06:22
gravity to being weightless. It's more saying, hey, we went

00:06:27
from an environment where We were at, you know, kind of five

00:06:30
gravity's in terms of a pool in the market in 2021, and you

00:06:33
didn't have to worry about, you know, whether you were making a

00:06:36
profit because with low interest rates, and the ability literally

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for Capital to be available on demand at a higher price at a

00:06:43
very, you know, non diluted basis.

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You could make those assumptions about the fuel, you are going to

00:06:47
have and you could build product and you could grow and I'd say

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that the laws of physics that have changed now are hey, maybe

00:06:53
we're in a half gravitational, pull environment and know your

00:06:58
Like based on the way you ran your company before your feet

00:07:01
are slipping a little bit on the ground but if you take a

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hard-nosed look at what you need to do, there are still buyers

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there. But one needs to look at how you

00:07:09
operate a business in a way that is fundamentally more operating

00:07:12
efficient that, you know what people are buying allows you as

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a company to extract value back from your customer.

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And then in terms of how you operate, your business flow that

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through to something that can generate, if not profit, only

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sort of a much smaller. Arjun of loss.

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And so that can be a pretty traumatic exercise in terms of

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the DNA of the company organism. But it is a doable transition,

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it is, it is not as much of a binary transition.

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Where I really feel like in the 99 downturn.

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There were just many companies where, you know, the rules of

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gravity have changed so much. There was never going to be a

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scenario where what they were proposing a value would make

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sense in the new world post the downturn.

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I mean, you know, specifically you've invent what you'll soft

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appdynamics Amex, you 10x like sort of software and software as

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a service business is, you know, you get this world.

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One of my favorite stories that I wrote was like November 20 21.

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I had this list of like seven companies that had raised at a

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billion dollar valuations with less than 10 million dollars in

00:08:16
AR are. Right?

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I mean when this SAS multiples just like went to the Moon, it

00:08:21
felt like anything was possible. I mean if somebody raised, I

00:08:25
don't know a series C round. You know 2021 late 2021 like is

00:08:32
that recoverable or how are you helping these sort of South if

00:08:35
you just happen to have a good company, but raised sort of at

00:08:38
the wrong time or you you thought it was a great time.

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You raised it, wonderful prices but now looking back you raised

00:08:44
it super high prices. Are you seeing those companies

00:08:47
find a way to sort of, get on the right footing?

00:08:50
Yeah, I think, essentially, what you're asking is we went through

00:08:54
a period of cheap Capital availability for all kinds of

00:08:57
companies. And then in 2022 that

00:09:01
availability of capital on an inexpensive, basis went away,

00:09:05
right? And so you're sitting here with

00:09:07
a lots of companies that had, you know near-term, you know,

00:09:11
pre fat balance sheets and what 2022.

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And now in your 2023 has become is a period where nobody wants

00:09:20
to raise money, because the immediate spot market for

00:09:23
raising money, the prices are just much lower, it's like the

00:09:26
real estate market. The first thing that happens in

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a For real estate market is when prices go down, everybody takes

00:09:31
their home off the market because nobody wants to sell if

00:09:34
they're going to get a lower price and there's some analog to

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the private company, you know, funded in Market

00:09:40
revenue-generating, you know, technology startup or Growth

00:09:44
Company. Essentially, everybody took

00:09:46
their took their company off the market and in the ensuing year

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and a half, you see a wedding or separating process that happens

00:09:55
sort of naturally where the companies that have Have

00:09:58
arguably stronger product value. Propositions the companies that

00:10:02
can retool and get their models closer to being operating

00:10:06
efficient, so they burn less cash, they're creating more time

00:10:10
to run the experiment of, hey, as I let time pass and I'm able

00:10:14
to get more customers. Am I able to kind of grow my

00:10:16
revenue and grow my business in a way that looks operating

00:10:20
efficient relative to the new Norms?

00:10:22
How far can I get to catch up to that valuation?

00:10:26
I raised in 2021 which again, As the laws of physics changed now

00:10:30
say was too high, relative to the maturity, my business, and

00:10:34
some are making it. I think it's probably not the

00:10:37
majority. I think there are a lot more

00:10:40
companies that in the 2021 environment.

00:10:43
When was either raise money was probably frankly easier to sell

00:10:45
the product, even if it wasn't at the very top of the, you

00:10:49
know, the food chain in terms of value the customer.

00:10:52
But they're able to grow somewhat, they maybe have made

00:10:56
some improvements in their operating model, but there are

00:10:58
not getting to the point where the state of the business today

00:11:03
in the new physics. Environment means that you've

00:11:06
crossed over the valuation where you last raise money.

00:11:08
And I think we see that those situations are now starting to

00:11:13
happen. And I think companies are

00:11:15
basically good news for the companies that have strong

00:11:17
businesses is. I think in today's environment

00:11:19
there was so much, investor Capital raised.

00:11:22
Those companies are still able to raise money at, you know,

00:11:26
sort of flat, or many cases up rounds.

00:11:28
Again, the aperture for Tech Innovation is still broad the

00:11:31
Technology Innovation Cycles, they really are decoupled from,

00:11:34
you know, the kind of macro economic Innovation cycle so

00:11:37
that March forward is happening and you're seeing good examples

00:11:40
of company and arose One Life speed invested.

00:11:42
But I mean, it's a very interesting company again, where

00:11:45
you just look at the kind of adoption of the product set that

00:11:48
they have and they were able to raise a large up around, there

00:11:50
are others, but you see that in some cases.

00:11:52
But I think you see many other companies where the Reckoning is

00:11:55
hey we have a business, it feels like Like one that is creating

00:12:00
in value but we have to accept that the Norms of this macro.

00:12:03
Environment are such that whatever.

00:12:05
You know the pricing was we did in 2021 or before, you know,

00:12:08
it's like my home, maybe I will, you know, decide to sell it for

00:12:11
a lower price. So how does that manifest?

00:12:14
You're seeing a lot more speed of these converts which are

00:12:17
really an ability for money to come into a business that has

00:12:20
value. But nobody wants to try to

00:12:22
pinpoint. The value of the business today

00:12:24
is too hard to do, the founders and management.

00:12:27
Don't want to take it down round.

00:12:28
Investors you know aren't ready to commit to an up round.

00:12:32
So you kick the can down the road and say I'll give you money

00:12:34
and I wanted to turn to Silicon Valley Bank.

00:12:37
Depositors have been protected now.

00:12:40
Well do you think a lot has been lost?

00:12:42
Are you worried about sort of just the absence of I mean I'm

00:12:45
you know they're trying to run as usual.

00:12:47
Now I'm just curious from what you can see at the moment.

00:12:51
Yeah. How much is Silicon Valley?

00:12:53
Going to be disrupted by the troubles Silicon Valley Bank?

00:12:56
Yeah there's absolutely Something that's been lost at

00:13:00
this point that I don't think can be regained.

00:13:03
And, you know, Southern Valley Bank, their impact extends,

00:13:05
well, past Silicon Valley, they've been obviously a

00:13:07
critical part of the Innovation, you know, ecosystem and economy

00:13:11
for, you know, nearly 40 years. You know, we have a strongly

00:13:16
held view that in light of what they have done for the

00:13:20
Innovation economy, Silicon Valley remaining in some form.

00:13:25
You know whether it's as an independent spun-out entity or

00:13:28
as a Independently operating subsidiary of a larger financial

00:13:32
institution, you know, we think that would be really good for

00:13:36
technology. Ecosystem, technology, startups

00:13:39
going forward. You know what a Silicon Valley

00:13:41
Bank do. I mean, some of it is

00:13:42
qualitative when you have an institution that is focused very

00:13:47
specifically on the needs of Founders who are building Tech

00:13:51
forward or Tech Innovative companies, they develop some

00:13:54
level of expertise around understanding not just sort of

00:13:58
Simply had a bank, those companies but what the financial

00:14:02
needs and you know, potentially you know, how to underwrite, how

00:14:05
to whether it's Venture loans, whether it's providing, you

00:14:09
know, extensions of credit, whether it's introductions to

00:14:12
other investors, they understand by seeing a very large

00:14:16
cross-section of those companies who are banking clients,

00:14:20
something about how to help those types of companies evolve

00:14:23
that larger financial institutions, that are Hiding,

00:14:27
you know, pure financial banking services will not understand two

00:14:30
and that is helpful in which more expensive for startups.

00:14:32
Is that one thing I dead will be more expensive or frankly not

00:14:35
available. Yeah, and that again will just

00:14:39
create a little bit more of a chill on the vibrancy of the

00:14:45
tech ecosystem because if you Capital look is, the reality is

00:14:49
part of how you fund The Innovation economy because the

00:14:54
vast majority almost all Tech startups.

00:14:57
Going to run on profitable for some period of time while they

00:14:59
build product and figure out what their businesses.

00:15:01
And so if you take a platform that is fundamentally focused on

00:15:07
providing Capital to that ecosystem, its risk Capital at

00:15:11
some level and you eliminate it and you take bigger institutions

00:15:15
who don't focus and have the expertise on.

00:15:18
Hey, you know, maybe this is a company building a really

00:15:22
Innovative product back by, you know, three or four really well,

00:15:25
known and established. VCS, and some really smart

00:15:28
Partners. If your Silicon Valley Bank,

00:15:30
you'd understand that, that company May deserve the

00:15:33
opportunity to have more Capital so it can really lean into what

00:15:36
is building. But a larger institution just

00:15:38
would have difficulty getting to that granular level of

00:15:41
expertise. So I think it will put some kind

00:15:43
of a chill. I don't know how much but on the

00:15:45
ability for this ecosystem to be vibrant and you know more

00:15:49
importantly I think Silicon Valley Bank just they understood

00:15:51
that you know what their role was in this ecosystem.

00:15:55
Some of it is when your bank it's like Like a community

00:15:57
Banker Co-Op part of your job is to be a connector and it's to

00:16:01
have events for the community. I mean they would, you know

00:16:04
their sponsor of my upcoming cop.

00:16:06
That's what there's some element level sponsor.

00:16:09
I know. I was like begging them like

00:16:10
Silicon Valley Bank sponsors everything I can't.

00:16:13
I can't get you guys. And then literally I mean I feel

00:16:16
like I must be one of the last things they sponsor before.

00:16:19
You know they went under because my game was quick to do that to

00:16:23
understand. That's right for an event that

00:16:24
brings people together in the ecosystem is It may not result

00:16:28
in Direct business for them. Maybe The Branding is helpful

00:16:30
but also that's really valuable. I mean they're great, they

00:16:32
understand the ecosystem, it at a pretty horizontal level and

00:16:35
their agenda is not necessarily that of anyone investment

00:16:39
institution and so there's just some lubricant and some notion

00:16:43
of creating a sense of identity and Community around technology

00:16:47
startups that is it's absolutely valuable.

00:16:49
You know what? I also think they've been great

00:16:51
at following, you know, the kind of innovation curve globally.

00:16:54
You know, they understood that Tech innovation.

00:16:56
Happening. You know, in Silicon Valley in

00:16:59
Boston and in a lot of important parts of the US but then also in

00:17:02
India, you know, in China in Israel, you know, I just look at

00:17:07
what they have done is an institution.

00:17:09
And I mean, if we're, you know, believe that Tech forward and

00:17:14
Tech Innovative companies are important to how, you know, the

00:17:19
world economy functions and where we go in the future.

00:17:22
I think they've been an instrumental part, and there's

00:17:25
something about the collective institutions.

00:17:26
To tional. Wisdom of that firm that it

00:17:29
would be a shame. If it goes away, we did you have

00:17:31
a strong point of view on the VC Bank?

00:17:34
Run like both whether I don't know how advice-giving was

00:17:38
handled and whether yeah you know, the actual fear was a

00:17:42
primary driver here. I don't actually know what

00:17:45
you're, you're probably. Yeah, I don't know exactly how

00:17:49
to comment on that other than to say, You know, some of it, I

00:17:56
think VCS who were, you know, vocal and I'm not saying they

00:18:01
were wrong, but vocal about their fears and anxiety.

00:18:03
It's like, any kind of bank run. If you, if you have someone yell

00:18:07
fire in the middle of a crowded movie theater, you've created a

00:18:10
crisis of confidence where everybody makes for the exit.

00:18:13
So, I think we've got to own as a venture industry, Venture

00:18:18
community that some of that happened for sure.

00:18:20
And, you know, we don't Matt and be at some level accountable or,

00:18:25
you know, just sort of understand how we do better next

00:18:27
time. On the other hand, I think that

00:18:31
was not the only thing that precipitated the crisis reality

00:18:34
was that there was a balance sheet hole that has Phoebe, you

00:18:37
know, tempted to fill. I'm not an expert.

00:18:39
But I think there was a unsuccessful attempt to

00:18:42
initially fill that, you know, that was spearheaded by the

00:18:45
large large financial institution.

00:18:47
So there were other compounding factors.

00:18:49
But once the crisis of confidence, Happened.

00:18:52
I think my perception is from Venture firms, we know I believe

00:18:58
Lightspeed our peers, you know, acted in a fiduciary responsible

00:19:02
way, which is, if, you know that an institution where you know, a

00:19:06
undiversified, all of your funds are all of a company's funds are

00:19:10
deposited and they may not have access to it, you have a

00:19:13
fiduciary obligation to, you know, do anything, you can to

00:19:17
help these companies to move some of their funds or have a

00:19:20
way that they can have confidence to.

00:19:22
Remember, these are all companies that are By definition

00:19:24
most are losing money. The capital is not money that

00:19:28
they're trying to invest. It is the lifeblood of how they

00:19:30
are going to operate their businesses, how they make

00:19:32
payroll. And so I think it and it

00:19:34
happened very quickly. So it did you feel real real

00:19:37
fear like was it a scary moment or you thought it would?

00:19:41
Let's just say I mean this crisis unfolded over a Thursday

00:19:44
and Friday and over the weekend by the weekend, you know and I'm

00:19:48
sure I wasn't the only one but you know most of the partners at

00:19:51
Lightspeed worked. Round the Clock over the

00:19:53
weekend. I'm sure other firms did too to

00:19:55
really understand where, you know, we were going to have our

00:19:59
company's. We're going to have payroll

00:20:00
issues. And we were, you know,

00:20:02
frantically trying to find Solutions zooming out to sort

00:20:05
of, you know, the Venture landscape.

00:20:07
Basically, you know, as somebody who co-founded, the top Venture

00:20:10
firm and is managed in seen, you probably could tell the story of

00:20:14
Silicon Valley through Venture firms, better than I could.

00:20:16
But, you know, you had sort of like the old guard firms and

00:20:20
then, you know, light speed Exxon and certainly by the time

00:20:24
I started covering Silicon Valley and like the 2010s, you

00:20:27
were sort of a super established firm by then then we have sort

00:20:32
of, you know, and driessen sort of flooding in and the market,

00:20:36
sort of the pricing competition. And then I think into the late,

00:20:40
you know, to the end of this cycle, we had the sort of solo

00:20:44
capitalists and just lots of different sources of money,

00:20:47
like, individuals and new funds. I'm curious where you think into

00:20:52
Two years or four years like where we'll be I mean especially

00:20:56
with the Silicon Valley Bank situation, you sort of saw the

00:20:59
lack of control. There wasn't like oh there's a

00:21:02
limited set of venture firms that can sort of come together

00:21:05
and decide what happens. It felt very diffuse, do you

00:21:08
think that's where we were remain?

00:21:10
So calm valleys just grown up like private Equity.

00:21:12
There going to be a ton of different firms competing or do

00:21:15
you think we're going to see more of a retrenchment from LPS

00:21:18
and they'll be sort of a smaller group of venture funding.

00:21:22
One's going forward, you know, it's a good question.

00:21:25
I mean, the Venture fund model allows for fun formation and

00:21:30
then Capital commitments and flow through to happen, over a

00:21:34
10-year period usually with a couple of extensions.

00:21:36
So when you're really talking about Venture funds and

00:21:39
therefore Venture firms that have become established, their

00:21:42
Capital bases, aren't going to go away overnight, that overhang

00:21:47
will exist the money. They got raised on the other

00:21:49
hand. I do think there's.

00:21:53
The roots of consolidation are going to start to you know form

00:21:56
and I think there will be that cross current Dynamic.

00:22:00
And what I mean by that is it's just that in this environment.

00:22:05
If you raise the fund and you let me put it this way in this

00:22:10
environment. Companies are going to have to

00:22:14
take a much longer view that idea that if you are a more

00:22:18
recent firm whether it's a small, you know, Angel oriented

00:22:22
firm or a larger firm if your investment experience has always

00:22:27
been about. I am going to deploy capital in

00:22:30
a growth environment where there's always an assumption of

00:22:33
more Capital available at higher prices.

00:22:35
And frankly, the companies in the ideas and the founders, I

00:22:37
back, I am very focused on their ability to Simply Lee raise more

00:22:44
money and and grow faster but not necessarily have the

00:22:47
expertise around how you ultimately create a

00:22:50
mathematically operating efficient organization around

00:22:53
their business around that that compiles if that's essentially

00:22:56
the totality of your experience. And frankly a lot of friends, I

00:22:59
won't say all but you know we've been in an upmarket environment.

00:23:02
I've been on record about this before largely since 2008 9 and

00:23:06
that's a long period of time. And so if all your institutional

00:23:08
wisdom is is about sort of growth with Out the notion of

00:23:14
operating discipline in whatever entity you create, I think it

00:23:19
becomes tough. You may have Capital that

00:23:21
overhang exists, but your understanding of how to take the

00:23:24
Investments you've had and help them evolve to the new laws of

00:23:28
physics or gravity. I think it's more limited than

00:23:30
firms. And people who understand this

00:23:33
sort of cyclical transition, and these are literally are a lot of

00:23:37
things that need to change. That's both in how you think

00:23:40
about, you know, how you work with your A couple days inside

00:23:43
all of these companies, it's sort of some tough transitions.

00:23:46
That Founders who may not have ever been through a layoff

00:23:48
before. The founders need to do a lot of

00:23:50
different things now, and they'll need to get out of their

00:23:53
comfort zone and some will be able to do that.

00:23:55
Some won't, and for the ones that won't, it's going to be

00:23:57
helping them figure out who they can bring in as partners to help

00:24:00
do these things. So, I just look at the Venture

00:24:04
landscape and I think you'll see it's a time of separating

00:24:07
function. Some of the people with that

00:24:11
type of experience to store I think, you know, have seen it

00:24:14
before, it'll be more a natural adaptation.

00:24:16
They'll be able to do the things that allow their companies as an

00:24:20
investment firms, their portfolios to feel like they

00:24:24
continued to be interesting vibrant portfolios that are

00:24:28
going to create value in The New Normal environment.

00:24:30
And I think some of the firm's that are newer who don't have

00:24:33
that Priory investment experience.

00:24:35
If they don't figure out how to adapt, I think what will happen

00:24:38
is, they'll look like they have Capital, but they're going to

00:24:40
have portfolios that don't look like they They have adjusted to

00:24:44
the new environments and so, you know, nothing will have changed

00:24:46
about the companies they back, but if he was, were all like,

00:24:49
kind of growth at all cost, they're not going to look as

00:24:51
interesting as firms to LPS going forward and that won't

00:24:56
play out in 12 to 24 months, but as we get into new fundraising

00:24:59
Cycles, you know you'll see that drift start to happen where you

00:25:03
know, firms it really are, you know, transitioned and then, you

00:25:07
know, by association. They've really influence their

00:25:09
companies to transition to this new environment are more Later

00:25:12
raise more capital and you'll see a trail off in firms or you

00:25:16
know, frankly sometimes early stage investors where they

00:25:19
didn't really think about getting into the investment

00:25:22
business to sort of have a Long View and and think about how

00:25:26
they're working with Founders, through all parts of these sort

00:25:29
of economic cycle, they were really more just backing people

00:25:31
where they assumed other money was available and things would

00:25:34
grow. And you could kind of get in low

00:25:36
and maybe get out higher. I think for those kinds of

00:25:39
platforms, there will be a pull back and they'll be less Capital

00:25:41
available. It'll take time to play out.

00:25:43
It's hard starting not to hear Andreessen, Horowitz a lot in

00:25:46
some of the behavior. You're saying firm that is I'll

00:25:50
tell you this and I don't, you know, I think they built a

00:25:53
really great firm. That's had a lot of success.

00:25:55
I do think that the firm started, you know, posts the

00:25:58
last major economic downturn. And so they built a firm that

00:26:01
has had a strategy where it is had to succeed and grow value in

00:26:06
kind of a macro up environment and Technology up environment.

00:26:09
But I will say about Ben and Mark, you know, I know them a

00:26:11
little not that well You know, I know the journey they went

00:26:14
through at cloud, cloud that became opsware and I think that

00:26:18
the two of them had to endure as kind of operators and Founders.

00:26:23
One of the most severe, you know, kind of downturns that

00:26:27
this was, it was partly that, you know, 99, throw 3 downturn,

00:26:31
that killed most businesses trying to do what they were

00:26:33
doing and they were doing and they found a path through that

00:26:37
again. If you go look and look back at

00:26:39
the sort of hard decisions, they have to make, I have an enormous

00:26:41
amount of respect. They did and the hard thing

00:26:43
about hard things. You know, actually have been

00:26:45
wrote that book. I think that, you know, I would

00:26:48
just sort of sense that from that experience, you know, they

00:26:51
understand a lot of the hard lessons and they may have to

00:26:53
make the adaptation to the Venture firm they built.

00:26:56
But they are not without experience and I say some track

00:26:58
record of knowing how to make very, you know, I just say

00:27:02
significant and acute transitions to the business,

00:27:05
they're in to sort of survive and then ultimately go on to

00:27:07
thrive Lightspeed, you know, announced I think it was like,

00:27:10
more than seven billion dollars in Ones.

00:27:12
I think July 20, 22 you referenced earlier.

00:27:16
The.com, you know, a third of it deployed and how you sort of

00:27:21
navigated that similarly. Now like how do you think about

00:27:25
sort of the pace of deployment with the 7 billion?

00:27:27
I mean, I think Founders fund said they were going to if not

00:27:31
give back to their LPS like shift some of the money I think

00:27:35
too like future funds. Like that.

00:27:36
Certainly set a ripple through. I think VC world.

00:27:40
I'm curious. Yeah how your Thinking about

00:27:43
sort of the big set of funds that you raised and how you're

00:27:46
deploying them and your strategy in this down.

00:27:48
Yeah, I think the pacing of deployment generally whereas

00:27:53
funds in over the past five years have been on more of a to

00:27:58
two-and-a-half year cycle, we are moving back to a deployment

00:28:02
cycle. It looks frankly, more like it

00:28:04
did historically of three to three and a half years /, fun

00:28:07
generation and I think We are thinking a lot, you know, we

00:28:11
were very deliberate about the amount of capital.

00:28:13
We raise across our early stage, our mid growth, and our

00:28:17
crossover funds. And in the new environment we

00:28:21
have been really Bottoms Up and saying, hey, if we wanted to

00:28:24
deploy this Capital, how would we do it in light of the new

00:28:27
circumstances in companies that we think are, you know, able to

00:28:31
get operating efficiency and what is all that kind of

00:28:33
compiled to in terms of a length of deployment?

00:28:35
We think three and a half years is realistic for us and You

00:28:39
know, again, I think we feel really good about, you know,

00:28:42
this time around unlike in, you know, they're the late 90s, we

00:28:46
really have built in some sense what we think of as a platform

00:28:50
where to make these changes to the environment.

00:28:52
There's a lot of telemetry about our companies about how we think

00:28:56
about even what is, you know, required.

00:28:58
If we are going to make an investment that can flow through

00:29:01
pretty quickly. So if we need to adjust, it's

00:29:04
not a seat-of-the-pants adjustment.

00:29:06
It's more like a you know, like our company's we're being very

00:29:09
Livid about saying, hey what do we need to change about, you

00:29:11
know, our behaviors, what do we need to change about when we

00:29:14
talked for our Founders? What they need to achieve and

00:29:16
therefore from that what it is going to take for them to unlock

00:29:19
more Capital, whether it's from us or others and you know that

00:29:22
ultimately ripples through. But we don't feel like again

00:29:26
from what we raised before it was done in a pretty deliberate

00:29:28
way with a lot of, you know, I'd say planning underneath.

00:29:32
So we're feeling we're feeling like it's very manageable again.

00:29:36
I think there's still the tech Innovation cycle and a lot are

00:29:39
Is still very healthy, right? You know, Investments,

00:29:43
particularly the early stage are there.

00:29:45
Absolutely. All out of things.

00:29:46
We continue to be excited about where it's very smart.

00:29:49
People who have pretty ambitious views of how, yeah, whatever new

00:29:53
product or architecture. They want to deliver could be

00:29:55
transformational. We're not seeing a shortage of

00:29:57
those ideas either across our different, you know, kind of

00:30:00
global Gio's where we play or, you know, a lot of the different

00:30:03
sectors were light speed as expertise now.

00:30:05
So I think we feel good about that but I think the pace of

00:30:08
deployment will be long. Or than it was, you know, kind

00:30:10
of a circuit, 20 morning, 20, 21.

00:30:12
And before you know, we went through this period of crypto.

00:30:16
Hi now, for any period of AI hype that, you know, I guess I'm

00:30:21
personally a little more enthusiastic about the AI than

00:30:24
crypto. Hi.

00:30:24
I don't know. I'm curious.

00:30:26
I mean Tech investing in Venture sort of just clearly goes

00:30:30
through moments when something super hot.

00:30:33
How do you think about sort of like investing through these

00:30:37
hype cycles? And then in particular, I like,

00:30:39
What do you make of like all the enthusiasm around generative?

00:30:44
AI companies at the moment? Yeah, it's the old saying that

00:30:49
if something seems too good to be true, and I would

00:30:53
characterize any technology Trend where we're at the peak of

00:30:56
the high point in the life cycle of these things?

00:30:59
We then go through the, I don't know, the trough of Despair and

00:31:01
then back up to real deployment. But if something in terms of how

00:31:04
people are narrating, it seems too good to be true.

00:31:07
It probably is that doesn't mean there aren't Aren't core, you

00:31:11
know, fundamentally interesting things happening and I feel like

00:31:15
that just sort of phenomenon of how new technologies become

00:31:18
absorbed and ultimately deliver you know kind of existential

00:31:21
value is happened again and again and again.

00:31:24
And so you know my view on generative AI is just we're at

00:31:29
the peak of the hype cycle where there is absolute, I think

00:31:33
promise. And you know there's a

00:31:34
fundamental and we can talk about it set of breakthroughs

00:31:37
that are going to enable. I A lot of productive benefit to

00:31:41
the world broadly society, as we know it.

00:31:43
But I think the kind of the conversations about how this

00:31:47
will play out right now, are a little bit hyperbolic and, you

00:31:51
know, some of the kind of endpoints people are talking

00:31:53
about. I think our I know if it's too

00:31:55
good to be true, some people are talking about AGI which is a

00:31:58
little dystopian, may be too bad to be true.

00:32:00
I just feel that you have to kind of be able to Discount that

00:32:04
you need to be able to invest now because there is a lot of

00:32:06
the Innovation happening but you need to really Have a calibrated

00:32:10
view of, hey, 7 to 10 years from now.

00:32:12
What do we think is a more measured through line and how do

00:32:15
we take that kind of a view if we're going to invest now, and

00:32:18
not kind of get on the ride at the peak of the hike cycle,

00:32:21
where we buying all the assumptions.

00:32:23
And then I think the reality is we're going to have like a, you

00:32:25
know, the carts going to go down a pretty steep drop off before

00:32:28
it then kind of in Flex back up. And I think crypto looked script

00:32:32
has been through many cycles I continue to believe and we have,

00:32:35
you know, people who are continuing to, you know, look at

00:32:37
an actively invest in crypto. Light speed in it, you know the

00:32:40
joint venture we establish called faction.

00:32:43
If you look at the fundamentals again about developer activity,

00:32:46
user activity on, you know, some of the more notable blockchains,

00:32:50
whether it's aetherium or polygon, you know, there's

00:32:54
absolutely a steady March of increase in the amount of

00:32:57
activity there. And yes, some of the

00:32:59
applications that got built in the hype cycle.

00:33:01
Are, you know, they no longer work the laws of gravity do no

00:33:04
longer apply and you're seeing fall out, but I do think that

00:33:08
there are fundamental Reasons why again this sort of trust

00:33:11
Lewis distributed Ledger where people can anonymously exchange,

00:33:15
things of value, or exchange digital things that are truly

00:33:18
unique that has a place in the world.

00:33:21
And it is, you know, something that is going to take awhile to

00:33:25
be absorbed because consumers need to understand it, you know,

00:33:28
these chains even they just need to get to the point where

00:33:30
they're reliable and secure and scalable and a billion people

00:33:33
can you know orchestrate a transaction on it at one time.

00:33:36
The maturity just is in there yet and so but at that end state

00:33:39
I absolutely believe based on 25 years experiences as an investor

00:33:44
and doing a lot of things in kind of core, Enterprise

00:33:48
infrastructure and distributed systems that will create value

00:33:50
in a set of applications that are faster better cheaper or

00:33:54
enable new things that are very hard to do today.

00:33:56
And so I would say that with AI, we are, you know, at the point

00:34:00
where the Euphoria and yeah them is Amar, you know, they're kind

00:34:04
of fun to see or you know maybe the dystopian worried, you know,

00:34:07
less fun to see. But I think these things Things.

00:34:09
They kind of overshadow. The fact that underlying, that

00:34:12
there is fundamentally, I think a major technology on log around

00:34:15
generative a. I right, I think it's the idea

00:34:18
that really you've created a much better natural language

00:34:22
interface where people who, you know, are not technically at all

00:34:26
knowledge workers or people who don't have technical,

00:34:28
education's are going to be able to have a massively more

00:34:32
productive way to engage, with computers and machines at its

00:34:35
core. And that's the thing that we

00:34:36
can. All I hope optimistically use

00:34:39
Imaginations for. You know, I was a huge Star Trek

00:34:42
junkie when I was in my teens and, you know, I guess the more

00:34:45
recent analog Iron Man with Jarvis but where you really can

00:34:48
anyone speak to a machine and it can reflect back to you things

00:34:52
emotive lie that you know they're going to make you the

00:34:54
human feel better. It can have at it's sort of

00:34:58
fingertips the world's knowledge in a way that it is you know

00:35:01
sort of curate Apple for you. It's just there things that

00:35:04
allow people to take advantage of the best of what computers

00:35:08
and machines. Machines, and, you know, kind of

00:35:10
infinite memory have to offer in a way that is natural to a

00:35:14
person to feel that they want to engage with these machines and

00:35:17
that doesn't exist today. Now, the reality of how that

00:35:21
ultimately, I think manifests in terms of value and Society is

00:35:24
going to be that we, you know, there's a long learning curve

00:35:28
of, how do we take that new language so to speak?

00:35:31
That's just a better more fluent language that computer speak.

00:35:34
And how do we attach that to all of the existing things in the

00:35:37
world that are already built? Lot of like technology

00:35:40
scaffolding, you know, a lot of things that our systems, you

00:35:44
know, physicals used tubes that exist.

00:35:46
I mean, corbet's in the, you all are trying to make or have you

00:35:51
seen the, those sort of manifesting companies yet?

00:35:54
It's very early days, but I think the core again Longview

00:35:58
premise, we have again Lightspeed were always trying to

00:36:01
think about. Hey, who are people who have a

00:36:03
view past the hype cycle of something that really could have

00:36:06
you no NE value and meaning in the world, I guess.

00:36:08
So. You know, some of those are it's

00:36:10
very early but you can start to see, you know breadcrumbs you

00:36:15
know in Enterprise were light speed at, it has traditionally

00:36:17
been strong, it's the again core idea that you know of hey if I

00:36:23
had this better interface and somebody is a designer or

00:36:27
somebody you know as a copywriter how do I allow that

00:36:30
person to do the things that they would do today in a

00:36:34
business Enterprise? But just in a way that's more

00:36:37
natural and I do think with generative a You know, they

00:36:40
could kind of have 10x the capability.

00:36:42
Maybe it's 10x the ability to write 10x, more copy or to

00:36:45
generate 10x more derivative images of the Coke brand on a

00:36:49
bottle because that helps the business connect with users in a

00:36:53
more personalized way. It turns out as an example, we

00:36:56
back to company called typeface or not, don't want to show for

00:36:59
them, but it's I think it is a very clear example.

00:37:01
Of if you said, hey generative, AI is this just amazing

00:37:05
technology. If you look at how in a company

00:37:08
context, You know, designers and copywriters and brand

00:37:11
ambassadors. Think about connecting with

00:37:13
consumers. They are limited by the ability

00:37:17
of when they have a new idea. It's a pretty needy greedy

00:37:19
process to take that idea in their head and go to somebody

00:37:23
who can create a new concept or, you know, maybe take that idea.

00:37:27
And if it's needs to be normalized for a campaign,

00:37:30
that's going to happen in India because it's Diwali.

00:37:32
Just there, all kinds of things in just the rollout of that.

00:37:36
New idea, it requires collaboration it.

00:37:39
Price data, sharing, generative AI, if you could create a new

00:37:43
application, where generative, AI sits at the court, it could

00:37:47
allow people and we've seen this is what typeface really

00:37:49
understood, you know. Could I mean, literally 10x

00:37:54
faster or, you know, 10x more of the iterations.

00:37:57
You know, they could in a company context, allow

00:37:59
generative AI to. It's not take the human totally

00:38:03
out of the loop, but it is allow the people who are doing, you

00:38:05
know, the kind of ideation in the creation and the

00:38:08
collaboration around. Around how to make this happen

00:38:10
for consumers to move much more quickly and have something

00:38:14
that's going to feel a lot more, you know, attractive and unique

00:38:17
to Consumer Venture funds are always Coy about talking about,

00:38:20
you know, who's in charge, but you're sort of in charge and I

00:38:25
see, I would say no. I would say though to your

00:38:27
earlier question, do I? If you ask me about the

00:38:30
portfolio, which is now large it is, you know, I think I have to

00:38:34
come active companies in, you know, the 400-plus range and we

00:38:37
have seeds. And I would see that I could

00:38:41
give you sort of a short form on, you know, I mean I remember

00:38:44
all the names but on the founders on the core product or

00:38:48
sort of, you know, kind of Technology idea on why we

00:38:51
aligned with that founder of want to invest in probably 80%

00:38:54
or more of the company's. Yeah.

00:38:55
I mean, it's more that is my passion point and I think it is

00:38:58
one but not, you know, the only thing that is allowed Lightspeed

00:39:01
notwithstanding Federation to kind of scale in the way that

00:39:05
we, I think our approach to investing and, as you know,

00:39:08
anyone, Who's you know, a Lightspeed investor, how they

00:39:11
show up that. It's consistent because you

00:39:13
know, you need some people who kind of are Keeping the Faith

00:39:16
and are able to if we get, you know, really too far out of

00:39:19
position grunting. Hey, is this really what we do?

00:39:20
And I'd say, you know, that's probably a strength I have, but

00:39:23
there are definitely. I'm, I don't know when you

00:39:24
define in charge. We are not a hierarchy as an

00:39:27
example. I'm not on the comp Committee of

00:39:29
the firm. There is a set of senior leaders

00:39:30
in The Firm who, you know, we Federated that who are

00:39:33
responsible for compensation. There's a separate set of people

00:39:36
who, you know, are committee that are responsible for I don't

00:39:40
know marketing and other functions that in the business.

00:39:43
But, yes, you know, I am a Founder at the firm, right?

00:39:46
I'm one of, you know, a smaller number of people who are most

00:39:50
tenured at the firm obviously, given that I started in 99 and I

00:39:53
think, you know, with that. It's less of the theory X of

00:39:56
management. It's not really so much of a

00:39:59
top-down as it is, but more, it is sort of, we think about it,

00:40:02
is anyone who becomes senior here at service leadership and

00:40:05
it's the idea that, you know, yeah, we should be leading by.

00:40:09
Apple. And yes if there are times when

00:40:11
somebody needs to raise their hand and say, hey is that if

00:40:14
this is a decision that's important, if there's a conform

00:40:17
to our values that could be in terms of how the firm operates,

00:40:19
it could be in terms of an investment we make.

00:40:21
And yes, you know, there is needs to play that role and I'm

00:40:24
want a much smaller group of people who, you know, who does

00:40:27
play that role that's needed. But I'd say the idea is, it

00:40:29
shouldn't be needed. A lot.

00:40:30
Should Founders be chasing you down for New Deals or how much

00:40:33
are you focused externally versus internally?

00:40:37
Are you trying to do II? Definitely again.

00:40:39
And I'd say, you know, probably thing that has been more in my

00:40:43
wheelhouse is, you know, I'm going to just I love and I love

00:40:46
to learn and that's kind of a lifelong thing.

00:40:48
So I spent a lot of time trying to be engaged with new companies

00:40:53
that the firm is looking at. But my role now, I am not trying

00:40:57
to make investments individually in the sense of being an

00:41:00
individual full stack craft investor.

00:41:02
I am trying to combine the things I do as it relates to

00:41:06
Investments with working with other partners at the firm so I

00:41:09
can play. Say a mentorship role and

00:41:11
frankly for Founder's I tell them they are the best thing

00:41:13
they can get out of me is really you know maybe the benefit of my

00:41:17
experience and that's part of what a platform like Lightspeed

00:41:20
out to offer. But you know, the 80% of what

00:41:22
the, you know, if platforms really about access to the

00:41:25
network, if it's help with recruiting, it's great

00:41:27
connectivity. You know, there are other

00:41:29
partners who are much better suited to doing that on a, you

00:41:32
know, literally on a daily and weekly basis.

00:41:34
So I partner with other Founders and, you know, it has to be, it

00:41:39
has to A situation where the found where there really is

00:41:41
value of founder, really a pretty sees that there would be

00:41:43
value and I'll get involved with another partner, light speed in

00:41:46
a kind of more of a dual relationship but I'm I'm not

00:41:49
trying to be an investor individually and companies

00:41:52
anymore because I don't think that helps it founder get the

00:41:54
most out of the platform and and I don't you know, in terms of

00:41:57
the scale of things I have to do both.

00:41:58
Yeah as a leader of the firm and and kind of helping other people

00:42:01
in The Firm. It's not a you know a way that's

00:42:04
scalable for right. I'm one person I haven't, I

00:42:06
haven't figured out this sort of science that I give helping

00:42:08
myself. So, What's the last board you?

00:42:10
Stepped up. Yeah, the last sport I joined

00:42:12
was in partnership with one of my partner's name, Robbie

00:42:15
Rogers, Jane. So the founder has to

00:42:17
technically ravi's on his board from light speed.

00:42:19
But this was typeface. This was a company started by,

00:42:21
ah, be a person who was a chief product officer to do be who,

00:42:25
you know, is really trying to make a generative AI with the

00:42:28
next generation of how, you know, Enterprises do brand

00:42:32
design and, you know, brand localization to their customers.

00:42:36
So we thank you so much for coming.

00:42:39
The podcaster. Yeah, and thank you for having

00:42:43
me Eric. Yeah, it was a pleasure to do

00:42:44
it. And yeah, I'm looking forward to

00:42:47
spending more time together in the future.

00:42:49
That's our episode. I'm Eric.

00:42:50
Newcomer thanks for listening to newcomer shout-out to our

00:42:53
editor, Tommy Heron, my chief of staff Riley, kinsella Young,

00:42:56
Chop scheme, created. The theme music, like, comment,

00:42:59
subscribe on YouTube. Follow us along at newcomer

00:43:02
dotco And subscribe to the newsletter.

00:43:05
See you next Tuesday? Thanks for listening, goodbye.

00:43:08
Goodbye.